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SCP-4005 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4005
Expected annual
$33.5M
One-time setup
$69.5M
Annual recurring
$31.7M
Personnel
13
Initial one-time setup is capital-intensive (~$69.5M one-time) driven by secure vault construction, R&D and contingency/reserve planning; ongoing operations are substantial (~$31.67M/yr) driven by specialized staff, worldwide monitoring, detainee care and rapid-response capabilities.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $69.5M
Contingency Reserve One Time $20.0M
[#20] Initial contingency/catastrophe reserve for mass-conversion or large-scale portal events (planning reserve).
Initial Compensation Payments $15.0M
[#12] Upfront hush/compensation payments for families/local authorities (scaled to hundreds of affected cases in initial mass-conversion events).
Escalation Planning Reserve One Time $10.0M
[#25] One-time planning reserve for potential escalation / opportunity-cost planning for scaled/global mitigation options.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $9.5M
[#3, #8, #18] Memetic filtering development/validation and hardened deployment R&D, initial research & neutralization program lab buildout and equipment, and one-time provenance/forensic legal research costs.
Insurance Reserve One Time $5.0M
[#22] One-time legal/indemnity reserve to cover major claims or to secure contractors during setup.
Facilities $3.0M
[#1] Purpose-built opaque, flameproof display vault with blast/ram protection, biometric locks, redundant HVAC and decontamination airlocks; estimate chosen as mid-range new-build.
International Liaison One Time $2.0M
[#10] One-off larger diplomatic/bribe payments or clandestine agreements required at establishment or to resolve major foreign incidents.
Coverup One Time $2.0M
[#11] One-off large cover operations including staged events, payouts to journalists/agents, and major misinformation efforts.
Equipment $1.9M
[#2, #5, #15, #16, #19] Robotic handling and non-human sensors one-time hardware, rapid-response equipment purchase, initial generator/UPS install, initial IT/security hardware, and initial decoy/replica fabrication costs aggregated.
Decommissioning One Time $1.0M
[#24] One-time costs associated with secure neutralization/disposal should a neutralization procedure be developed.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $31.7M/yr
Detainee Care $5.0M/yr
[#6] Secure detention, memetic isolation, psychiatric care and specialized housing for SCP-4005-1 instances (scaled estimate; per-detainee costs noted).
Contingency Replenishment $5.0M/yr
[#20] Annual replenishment/contribution to contingency/catastrophe fund to prepare for potential mass events.
Worldwide Monitoring And Intel $4.5M/yr
[#9] Global monitoring, social-media analysis, HUMINT and targeted SIGINT for pilgrim tracking and portal detection (mid-range).
Research And Monitoring $3.0M/yr
[#8, #21] Ongoing research/neutralization program operational costs and long-term archival/field expedition support for SCP-4005-2 mapping.
Rapid Response Annual Costs $3.0M/yr
[#5] Annual cost for mobile tactical teams, training, vehicles and standby pay (mid-range of provided estimate).
Missing Persons Investigations $2.0M/yr
[#13] Administrative, travel and forensic costs for routing and managing large numbers of missing-persons cases and reimbursements to cooperating agencies.
Cover Story And Legal $1.7M/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #16] Ongoing international liaison, legal counsel, FOIA redaction work, recurring misinformation/media operations and potential recurring hush payments.
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#4] Salaries + benefits and overhead for specialized containment team (6 L2 guards, 4 L3 technicians, 2 L4 researchers, 1 site manager) at mid-range salary and ~40% overhead.
Medical Psychiatric $1.5M/yr
[#7] Ongoing medical/psychiatric treatment, screening and pharmaceuticals for exposed or partially-affected individuals.
Escalation Mitigation Planning $1.0M/yr
[#25] Ongoing planning and small-scale preparedness for potential escalation to larger mitigation postures.
Public Safety And Humanitarian $1.0M/yr
[#23] Ongoing funds to manage local humanitarian fallout, community mitigations and public-safety liaison.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#14] Secure transport operations (armored vans, charter flights, medics, mobile containment unit operations) budgeted annually.
Insurance Premiums $500K/yr
[#22] Annual premiums and legal fund for claims handling and indemnity costs.
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#1, #15] Ongoing vault, structural, HVAC and environmental-control maintenance, plus facility upkeep and security system servicing.
Memetic Pipeline Maintenance $200K/yr
[#3] Deployment/maintenance of memetic-filtering software and hardened air-gapped monitoring pipeline.
Data Security And Archival Maintenance $200K/yr
[#16] Encrypted archival maintenance, secure logging, backups and legal support for records redaction (recurring maintenance).
Training Drills $200K/yr
[#17] Regular memetic-safety certification, drills and field-team training programs.
Power And Environmental Contracts $150K/yr
[#15] Fuel contracts, generator maintenance, UPS servicing and environmental-control contracts to maintain containment environment.
Forensic Archaeological Liaison Recurring $150K/yr
[#18] Ongoing cultural-heritage liaison and provenance investigations with museums and foreign governments.
Supplies And Consumables $120K/yr
[#2, #15, #19] Consumables for robotic manipulators, glovebox supplies, HVAC consumables and decoy upkeep materials.
Decoy Upkeep $30K/yr
[#19] Annual upkeep for decoys/replicas deployed for public display and museum placements.
Robotic Maintenance $20K/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance, recalibration and spare parts for robotic handling system (explicit $20k/yr maintenance note).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $31.7M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; covers staffing, monitoring, research, routine maintenance and ongoing programs.
no major exposures routine operations planned research cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $33.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized exposure or equipment failure requiring emergency response, short-term detentions and targeted cover operations.
small public lighting event robotics/camera failure single-site exposure
🚨 Major Breach $56.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or large public lighting event requiring mass interdiction, large detentions and major operational surge.
site-wide spontaneous conversions major public mass conversion large interdiction and detention operations
🚨 Mass Conversion Event $231.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic mass-conversion or global spread that forces full-scale mitigation, mass detentions and international crisis response.
widespread lighting incidents multiple international portals active loss of local containment control
🚨 Political Exposure $41.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Diplomatic/legal exposure or major leak requiring intensive diplomacy, large hush payments and international legal defense.
media leak foreign government discovery major legal action
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 Level-2 guards for 24/7 coverage as specified in analyst notes.
Technician / Level-3 Technician 4 Level-3 technicians to operate robotics, sensors and maintenance.
Research Scientist / Level-4 Researcher 2 Level-4 researchers overseeing memetic research and containment protocols.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Site manager / program lead per analyst note.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes are detailed and provide ranges for most line items, but many estimates are wide and contingent (e.g., number of detainees, scale of international incidents, and contingency appetite). This produces moderate uncertainty in final totals.
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