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SCP-4006 Thaumiel ? low confidence
SCP-4006
Expected annual
$131.0M
One-time setup
$1.4B
Annual recurring
$116.5M
Personnel
550
One-time capital and contingency reserves dominate costs (site construction, widespread infrastructure, and a large emergency reserve); recurring costs are driven primarily by staff wages, covert cover/cyber operations, and contractor/operational expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.4B
Emergency Contingency Reserve $1.0B
[#16] Large one-time contingency reserve for extreme public-disclosure response (misinformation campaigns, national assets, mass interventions).
Facilities $360.0M
[#1, #2, #3, #10] Hardened primary Site build-out (Boston-area) plus 3–6 regional smaller sites, land/property acquisition/leases and physical road/urban mimicry work; includes excavation, structural, MEP, facades, and local physical modifications to match public maps.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15.0M
[#17] Supercomputing/HPC procurement, probabilistic modeling hardware, licensing and R&D instrumentation for studying SCP-4006.
Persistent Sensor Deployment $12.0M
[#18] Distributed statewide sensor network deployment (cameras, seismic, RF) with initial installation and remote power provisioning.
Fleet Procurement $10.0M
[#7] One-time purchase of unmarked cars, trucks and armored vehicles (100–300 vehicles) with secure comms installs.
Satellite Civilian Camouflage Setup $10.0M
[#9] Physical facade work for optical/IR camouflage plus initial cyber buys/access to seed or replace commercial imagery.
Backup Power Infrastructure $6.0M
[#8] Diesel/NatGas generators, on-site fuel storage tanks and installation, regulatory compliance setup.
Communications Infrastructure $6.0M
[#19] Private fiber, SATCOM, encrypted radio networks and hardened data links between Sites.
Data Centers And Archival Setup $4.0M
[#20] Physical/cloud infrastructure for archival records, fake civic databases, backups and redundancy.
Gnss Mapping And Spoofing Setup $3.0M
[#11] High-end GNSS equipment and safe testing infrastructure to align coordinate systems and provision spoofing/risk mitigation tooling.
Security Equipment Purchase $2.0M
[#6] Initial armor/weapons and tactical equipment procurement for on-site security and response units.
Medical And Bio Equipment $1.5M
[#23] On-site medical clinic equipment, quarantine hardware, PPE and bio/chem safety setup.
Identity Fabrication Setup $1.0M
[#21] Secure printing, forensic-level ID creation systems and initial identity fabrication capabilities.
Cyb Ops Initial Setup $500K
[#12] Initial content/website creation, seeded fake media assets and setup costs for persistent disinformation platforms.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $116.5M/yr
Staff Wages $55.0M/yr
[#5] Salaries, benefits and recruitment for operations, research, security, admin, cyber and support staff (estimated ~550 FTEs at weighted avg comp ~ $100k/yr).
Contingency Hush Fund $15.0M/yr
[#15] Recurring allocation to a contingency slush/hush-money fund available for crisis payments or sudden cooperation buyouts.
Cover Story And Legal $11.0M/yr
[#12, #13, #14] Ongoing cyber ops and social-media takedown efforts, public-facing cover businesses/sponsorships, legal retainers and liaison work (excludes hush-money contingency which is separate).
Security Operations $8.0M/yr
[#6] Recurring non-payroll security costs (training, ranges, armor maintenance, rapid-response readiness); payroll for security staff is included in staff_wages.
Contractor Outsourcing $6.0M/yr
[#22] Budget for cut-out contractors, local hires, offsite invoices and overhead for covert third-party work.
Research And Monitoring $5.5M/yr
[#17, #18, #11] Ongoing HPC/compute costs, sensor maintenance/analysis, mapping/GNSS operations and monitoring/data ingestion.
Logistics And Transport $4.0M/yr
[#7, #8] Fleet maintenance, fuel for vehicles and generators, vehicle outfitting upkeep and transport logistics.
Facilities Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#4] Electricity, water, sewer, HVAC, janitorial, pest control and environmental controls across Sites.
Supplies And Consumables $2.5M/yr
[#23, #27] Medical consumables, PPE, hazardous-waste handling consumables, everyday office supplies and petty cash.
Satellite Cam Operations $2.0M/yr
[#9] Ongoing image/imagery updates, seasonal facade refreshes and cyber operations to maintain commercial imagery cover.
Waste Disposal $1.0M/yr
[#24] Covert hazardous waste removal, incineration and transport, and environmental compliance costs.
Telecom Fees $1.0M/yr
[#19] Recurring SATCOM, fiber leasing, and encrypted link fees for the private communications backbone.
Data Storage And Cloud $1.0M/yr
[#20] Ongoing storage, archival maintenance and cloud backup costs for fake civic databases and records.
Seasonal Staging $500K/yr
[#25] Snow/seasonal mimicry operations (removal patterns, street salt, foliage management) and seasonal maintenance crews.
Audits And Internal Insurance $500K/yr
[#26] Internal operational audits, red-team penetration tests, and limited internal insurance/risk accounting.
Identity Renewals $500K/yr
[#21] Recurring renewals and creation of new cover identities, passport renewals and legal cover refreshes.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $116.5M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations, hiring, maintenance, and daily cover operations.
no breaches routine audits normal personnel turnover
🚨 Minor Incident $126.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized failure or exposure requiring targeted repairs, PR remediation, expedited staffing and limited covert interventions.
localized data leak small containment lapse imagery inconsistency discovered
🚨 Major Breach $416.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Significant containment or veil failure affecting multiple Sites requiring national-scale covert response, mass disinformation, and asset mobilization.
multi-site exposure major investigative journalism sustained public attention
🚨 Catastrophic Failure $1.6B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.5B vs baseline
Full or near-full public revelation of SCP-4006 requiring extreme national/international interventions and multi-year covert expenditures.
public scientific proof of anomaly nationwide disclosure legal/political escalation
👥 Personnel 550 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 150 [#5] Personnel conducting probabilistic modeling, anomaly research and data analysis; included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 200 [#5, #6] On-site armed security and rapid-response teams; salaries included in staff_wages; non-payroll security ops in security_operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 60 [#4, #19] Facilities, MEP, communications and generator maintenance staff; salaries included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff 50 [#5] HR, finance, cover administration and clerical staff; included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 10 [#23] Clinical and quarantine staff supporting on-site medical capability; included in staff_wages.
Site Director / Executive Staff 10 [#5] Executive leadership and program management for Site-4006 and regional nodes; included in staff_wages.
Cyber / Intelligence / PR Specialists 40 [#9, #11, #12] Digital operations, imagery/cyber cover, and media control staff; included in staff_wages and covered in cover_story_and_legal recurring.
Logistics / Transport Staff 20 [#7] Drivers, fleet managers and supply chain staff; included in staff_wages.
Facilities Maintenance Staff 10 [#4] Janitorial, grounds and seasonal operations staff; included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
SCP-4006 is anomalous and many cost drivers are scenario-dependent; large ranges and legal/operational uncertainty (degree of physical vs. cyber mitigation, contingency drawdowns) make precise costing unreliable.
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