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SCP-4017 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4017
Expected annual
$7.1M
One-time setup
$43.7M
Annual recurring
$7.0M
Personnel
24
One-time capital and readiness costs are dominated by a large contingency reserve and initial WATCHDOG/implant rollouts (~$43.65M one-time). Baseline recurring costs are modest operational budgets and staffing for two thaumaturgy task forces and monitoring (~$6.985M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $43.7M
Contingency Reserve $30.0M
[#26] One-time readiness reserve for rapid scale-up if manifestation frequency increases (per note range $10M–$50M; midpoint used).
Equipment $5.7M
[#3, #7, #9, #19, #21, #25, #13] Implant hardware production/deployment (3), field/armored vehicles & secure transport boxes (7), spectral/thaumaturgic detection hardware (9), records/db initial setup (19), PPE stock (21), encryption/security hardware setup (25), amnestic stockpile (13).
Watchdog Development $5.5M
[#1] Initial WATCHDOG analytics/AI system development, ingestion pipelines and secure integration build (one-time software/platform development).
Facilities $1.6M
[#8, #24] Containment vault construction and archive long-term storage buildout (spectral-dampening vault, climate control, conservation-grade storage) combined.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#11, #20] Initial artifact conservation and materials analysis (11) and R&D pilot for predictive thaumaturgic modeling (20).
Task Force Training $400K
[#6] Initial specialized thaumaturgy/task-force training, contractor instructors, scenario drills and certification.
Amnestic Stockpile $50K
[#13] One-time stockpile purchase for amnestic compounds and secure pharmacy setup.
Consultant One Off Payments $28K
[#12] One-off case payments / retainers for occultology/linguistics/Church insiders (one-off items referenced within note #12).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.0M/yr
Staff Wages $3.5M/yr
[#5] Two standing thaumaturgy task forces (~24 FTE) including salaries, benefits, hazard pay and on-call premiums (per-analyst rounded estimate).
Research And Monitoring $930K/yr
[#2, #11, #19, #20] WATCHDOG operations/cloud & model retraining (2), ongoing artifact analysis (11), records/database operations (19), and recurring R&D into predictive thaumaturgic modeling (20).
Cover Story And Legal $850K/yr
[#18, #27] Legal/cover-story retainer and covert PR work (18) plus litigation/settlement reserve maintained yearly (27).
Implant Maintenance $350K/yr
[#4] Implant firmware updates, replacements, clandestine logistics, and payments to agency liaisons (annual maintenance for deployed devices).
Facilities Maintenance $275K/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #24] Yearly maintenance/utility costs: field equipment maintenance (7), vault utilities & maintenance (8), detector calibration/repairs (9), monitoring power/UPS/fuel (10), archive upkeep (24).
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#16, #17, #23] Evidence/secure transport readiness budget (16), hazardous/ectoplasm disposal readiness (17), and international liaison travel/operations (23) budgets combined.
Witness Program $200K/yr
[#14] Annual program budget for witness relocation, cover identities, stipends, psychiatric monitoring and long-term placements.
Staff Vetting And Countermemetic Training $150K/yr
[#22] Ongoing vetting, specialized counter-memetic training and psych screening for exposed personnel.
Psychological Care $125K/yr
[#15] Amnestic follow-up counseling, staff monitoring and memetic/psychic aftereffects care.
Cybersecurity Ops $120K/yr
[#25] Ongoing pentesting, key rotation, telemetry protection and secure operations for implants and WATCHDOG.
Incident Response Reserve $100K/yr
[#28] Small annual reserve to cover occasional single-appearance response costs; typical per-incident costs are modeled in scenarios (28).
Occultology Consulting $85K/yr
[#12] Yearly retainers and travel for subject-matter experts (linguists, Church liaisons, anthropologists) beyond one-off payments.
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#13, #21] Ongoing amnestic procurement/administration (13) and PPE/ritual kit replenishment (21).
Contingency Scale Operations $0/yr
[#26] Annual operating cost if running at high-frequency manifestation scale (note provides $5M–$20M/yr range). Set to 0 here for baseline; activation modeled in cost scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.0M/yr
94.8% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; WATCHDOG and implants operational, two task forces maintained, routine research and maintenance only.
no_manifestations routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $7.4M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$375K vs baseline
Single typical manifestation requiring standard task-force deployment, artifact recovery, amnestics for ~20 witnesses and short-term analysis.
single_manifestation standard_task_force_response
🚨 Major Incident $12.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Larger international incident with multiple manifestations or complicated artifact recovery, larger legal exposure and expanded deployments.
multiple_manifestations international_deployment significant_public_exposure
🚨 Scale Up $17.0M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Operational scale-up year: manifestation frequency increases significantly and contingency operations are activated (large additional recurring operating costs).
frequent_manifestations activation_of_scale_up_contingency
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Thaumaturgic Task Force Member 24 Two standing task forces (each ~12 personnel) including operators, medics, containment techs and squad leaders; staffing costs accounted in staff_wages [#5].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges and explicit line items; however many costs (WATCHDOG scale, incidence frequency, contingency drawdowns) are uncertain and scenario-dependent, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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