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SCP-406 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-406
Expected annual
$847K
One-time setup
$362K
Annual recurring
$820K
Personnel
9
Initial one-time setup is moderate (~$361k) for facility fit-out, vehicles, IT/equipment and an initial contingency; annual recurring costs are dominated by personnel and Sector-25 overhead (~$820k/yr), with per-instance medical/transport and legal/cover costs as variable drivers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $362K
Initial Contingency Reserve $200K
[#23] Initial contingency/reserve fund (recommended multi-year reserve) chosen mid-range ($200,000 one-time).
Facilities $78K
[#1, #6, #7, #19] Converted industrial unit fit-out (~$60,000), gate/fence hardware & install (~$5,500), false-brick concealment install (~$2,000) and initial tunnel geotechnical survey (~$11,000).
Equipment $72K
[#4, #5, #8] CCTV/sensors/audio hardware & installation (~$18,500), secure servers / NVR & initial IT setup (~$10,500), vehicle purchase + outfitting (~$42,500).
Initial Training And Drills $12K
[#10] Initial training, certifications and simulation drills estimated mid-range (~$11,500 one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
Covert Monitoring Setup $0
[#17] Covert surveillance/setup in Illinois is optional; excluded from baseline one-time totals (setup would be $50k–$250k if activated).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $820K/yr
Staff Wages $464K/yr
[#3, #9] Front-company cover staff (~$44,000/yr) and Task Force Tau-6 aggregate payroll (~$420,000/yr incl. benefits/overhead).
Research And Monitoring $91K/yr
[#4, #5, #10, #14, #18, #24] CCTV/NVR storage & maintenance (~$2,750/yr), server hosting/security/admin (~$13,000/yr), annual training refreshers (~$5,500/yr), five-year remote monitoring amortized (~$3,000/yr for assumed baseline case load), research/analysis staffing and database access (~$50,000/yr), and administrative case management/archival (~$16,500/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $75K/yr
[#2, #6, #11, #19] Front-company lease/utilities and overhead (~$21,500/yr), gate maintenance & alarm monitoring (~$1,150/yr), Sector-25 debriefing/processing facility share (~$100,000/yr allocated) minus contingency reallocated to separate line; periodic tunnel inspections (~$2,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $55K/yr
[#16, #22] Covert witness handling/tampering baseline (~$20,000/yr) and legal counsel/public-affairs liaison (~$35,000/yr).
Contingency Topup $50K/yr
[#23] Annual contingency/top-up fund to replenish reserves and cover episodic high-cost events (~$50,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $42K/yr
[#8, #15] Vehicle fuel/maintenance/insurance (~$11,500/yr) and international transport/escort costs to origin amortized for baseline instance rate (~$30,000/yr for assumed 3 returns/yr).
Incident Response Readiness $25K/yr
[#25] Annual readiness allowance for public-facing incident response and emergency PR (~$25,000/yr baseline).
Per Instance Amnestics And Psych $9K/yr
[#13] Amnestic procurement/administration and psychological care estimated $3,000 per administration, baseline assumed 3 instances/yr → $9,000/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#7, #20, #21] Replenishment of emergency cache (~$450/yr), evidence consumables & storage (~$2,500/yr), PPE and small consumables (~$2,500/yr).
Per Instance Medical $4K/yr
[#12] Per-instance medical processing/forensics estimated $1,500 per instance, baseline assumed 3 instances/yr → $4,500/yr.
Covert Monitoring Il $0/yr
[#17] Covert monitoring of origin area in Illinois is optional and excluded from baseline recurring costs (low-intensity program would be ~$200k/yr if activated).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $820K/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, staffing, monitoring and a modest number of recoveries (baseline assumed 3 instances/yr).
routine_retrievals no_public_exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $870K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Single small public witness or a complicated medical/forensic case requiring extra travel, amnestics and legal work.
small_public_witness complex_medical_case
🚨 Major Breach $1.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant containment/operational failure with public exposure, fatalities or extensive legal/medical/engineering costs.
public_exposure fatality_or_large_anomaly
🚨 Covert Monitoring Activation $1.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Decision to activate a covert monitoring program in Douglas/Champaign County, IL (initial setup + first-year recurring costs).
policy_decision increase_in_disappearance_rate
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 Field operatives forming the bulk of Tau-6 shift coverage (included in Task Force payroll).
Task Force Supervisor 1 Supervisor/team lead included in Task Force payroll.
Medical Officer 1 Medic assigned to Tau-6 shift coverage (included in Task Force payroll).
Driver / Logistics 1 Driver/logistics staff for retrievals and transfers (included in Task Force payroll).
Front Company Retail Employees 2 Cover retail staff for Simon's Carpet Paradise (included in front-company payroll).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost ranges and many per-instance variables are provided in analyst notes, allowing mid-range estimates; uncertainty remains on instance frequency, optional cross-border monitoring choices, and low-probability high-cost incidents, so confidence is medium.
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