SCP-4089 — SCP-4089 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4089 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-4089

Expected annual

$14.3M

One-time setup

$20.7M

Annual recurring

$13.7M

Personnel

One-time setup and contingency seed costs are approximately $20.7M, driven by lab buildout, amnestic R&D, and large contingency reserves; recurring annual operations are approximately $13.73M/yr, driven primarily by 24-person containment staff, medical care, continuous digital monitoring/takedown, and legal/cover operations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $20.7M

High Impact Contingency Fund $10.0M

[#30] Emergency contingency for rapid proliferation / major market manipulation (seeded fund)

Insurance Liability Reserve $5.0M

[#23] Establish reserve / contingency fund for large settlements / market interventions

Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M

[#8, #11] Lab equipment & fit-out (BSL-2/3-capable, imaging, CT, spectrometers) ~$1.5M and amnestic R&D/setup ~$2.0M

Io Yuze Development $1.0M

[#3] One-time development & deployment of I/O-YUZE monitoring bot (engineering, ML, integration)

Equipment $900K

[#6, #9, #18, #22] Digital forensics hardware ($250k), dental imaging & surgical equipment ($300k), secure transport fleet purchase ($300k), initial archive/storage setup ($50k)

Financial Containment Structuring $250K

[#13] One-time legal/structuring to create shell companies and cover financial operations

Facilities $50K

[#7] Secure evidence storage vaults, climate control and fit-out one-time setup

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.7M/yr

Staff Wages $3.6M/yr

[#1] 24 full-time dedicated containment/response personnel (MTF Mu-4 core team) at ~$150k fully loaded/year

Medical Care For Affected $2.0M/yr

[#10] Emergency and follow-up medical/dental care for affected individuals (example: 50cases/yr × ~$40k/case)

Cover Story And Legal $1.7M/yr

[#13, #14, #24] Recurring legal/accounting retainers (~$200k), legal & PR/cover budgets (~$500k–$2.0M; midpoint used), and public bribery/compensation (~$250k–$2.0M; portion included)

Research And Monitoring $750K/yr

[#8] Ongoing lab consumables, staff and research monitoring for dental/anomalous bio research (~$500k–$1.0M/yr; midpoint used)

Reserve And Overtime $600K/yr

[#2] On-call pay, overtime, temporary contractors for surge capacity and concentrated outbreaks

Financial Monitoring $500K/yr

[#12] Long-term monitoring of financial markets, forensic accounting, and data feeds (~$300k–$800k/yr)

Insurance And Reserve Replenishment $500K/yr

[#23] Ongoing replenishment to contingency/reserve accounts and liability insurance premiums

Informant Infiltration Program $500K/yr

[#15] Payments, training, and travel for deep-cover operatives in MLM/para-dentistry communities

Psychological Care $500K/yr

[#25] Long-term therapy and rehabilitation for compulsive users (example: 50patients × $10k/yr)

Operation And Hosting Io Yuze $480K/yr

[#4] Continuous crawling, hosting, storage, model retraining and staff review (~$30k–$50k/mo; midpoint used)

Amnestics Production And Administration $350K/yr

[#11] Recurring production/procurement and clinical administration costs for amnestics (~$200k–$500k/yr; midpoint used)

Facilities Maintenance $310K/yr

[#7, #27] Evidence storage utilities/maintenance (~$10k/yr) and energy/facilities overhead (~$300k/yr)

Logistics And Transport $300K/yr

[#17, #18] Postal/customs monitoring and secure transport maintenance (~$250k for monitoring + $50k vehicle maintenance)

Takedown Program $300K/yr

[#5] Automated and manual content takedown program (legal notices, contracts with hosts, manual review)

Social Engineering Campaigns $300K/yr

[#16] SEO manipulation, paid posters, counter-meme and content suppression campaigns

Physical Market Suppression $250K/yr

[#28] Sting operations, undercover buys, and marketplace monitoring to suppress black-market teeth trade

Training And Continuous Education $200K/yr

[#26] Regular cross-discipline training, tabletop exercises, and specialty courses

Public Health Surveillance $150K/yr

[#21] Contracts with dental associations, ERs, and poison control centers for early warning

Biosecurity And Ethics $125K/yr

[#20] Oversight committees, audits, external reviews, and compliance costs (~$50k–$200k/yr)

Data Retention And Logging $100K/yr

[#22] Long-term encrypted storage, logging, and e-discovery capabilities (~$50k–$150k/yr)

Dental Equipment Maintenance $75K/yr

[#9] Maintenance and supplies for dental imaging & surgical equipment

Digital Forensics Maintenance $50K/yr

[#6] Maintenance, updates, and SaaS licenses for forensic servers, sandboxes, and toolkits

Hazmat Disposal $50K/yr

[#19] Incineration and hazardous waste contractor fees for teeth/material destruction (~$20k–$100k/yr)

Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr

[#29] PPE and miscellaneous consumables (~$20k–$60k/yr; baseline midpoint used)

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.7M/yr

81.5% probability / year

Normal year with ongoing monitoring, routine takedowns, medical cases at baseline levels, and no major market events.

steady low-volume cases ongoing digital takedowns routine research activity

🚨 Minor Incident $14.7M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Localized spike in public use or a small coordinated leak necessitating extra MTF deployments, targeted amnestic campaigns, and additional takedowns.

localized viral post small-scale market exploitation cluster of serious medical cases

🚨 Major Market Manipulation $18.7M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Multiple actors exploit the tooth-to-value correlation causing significant illicit gains and requiring market intervention, large buyouts, and extended legal operations.

coordinated market exploitation high-value trading patterns detected large-scale financial trails

🚨 Catastrophic Viral Spread $63.7M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline

SCP-4089 becomes widely known/viral, generating mass civilian exploitation and overwhelming containment leading to large-scale emergency interventions.

viral global exposure mass-market manipulation simultaneous medical crises

👥 Personnel 24 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	10	[#1] Field operatives and core MTF agents for raids and containment
Digital Forensics / Analyst	4	[#1, #6] Analysts for digital monitoring, evidence handling, and forensic analysis
Para-dentistry Specialist	4	[#1, #9] Para-dentistry and dental surgical specialists for extractions and examinations
Medical Officer / Medic	3	[#1, #10] Medical staff for emergency care, follow-up, and amnestic monitoring
Team Leader / Commander	1	[#1] Team leader for MTF Mu-4 coordination
Administrative Staff	2	[#1] Logistics and coordination support for the team

📋 Confidence Notes

Many line items are given as ranges and depend on uncertain incident rates (medical cases, market exposure). Core staffing and monitoring costs are well-defined but high-impact contingency sizing is uncertain, yielding medium confidence.

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