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SCP-4090 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4090
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
10
One-time capital and containment set-up costs are moderate (~$2.2M) driven by hardening, specialized remote-sensing hardware and redundancy for marine ROVs; recurring annual costs are dominated by staffing (security + researchers/medic) and operational research/expedition budgets (~$1.52M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Equipment $761K
[#2, #3, #5, #12, #13, #15, #20, #21] Archival sealed enclosure, environmental control installation, CCTV/intrusion hardware, expedition gear, ROV/AUV/drone acquisition, sonar/mapping hardware & software, tracking-beacon development, initial servers/forensic hardware.
Contingency Seed Fund $625K
[#26] Seed contingency/emergency fund for large-scale rescue, unexpected experiments, legal settlements or expensive anomaly responses.
Decommissioning Reserve $300K
[#29] One-time budget reserve for planning and execution of decommissioning/disposal should that be authorized.
Facilities $275K
[#1, #8] Secure anomalous-item locker construction and mantrap/biometric vestibule installation (vault, blast-rated door, site integration, mantrap install).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $130K
[#17] Mobile containment / portable lab setup for initial bio/chemical hazard readiness and first-stage on-site analysis.
Legal Retainer Initial $62K
[#22] Initial legal retainer and immediate FOIA/press/cover response budget.
Cover Company Setup $20K
[#24] One-time setup costs for cover company/shell identities, fake manifests, domain registration and front operations.
Training Program Setup $20K
[#18] Setup cost for search-and-rescue readiness and initial mock-drill/training program.
Artifact Conservation Reserve $18K
[#28] Reserve for professional conservation or fabrication if SCP-4090 (cardboard artifact) requires major intervention.
Initial Transport Operation $15K
[#9] One-time secure seizure/armored transfer operation cost for initial interception/transport.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#6, #7, #11, #19] Security monitoring staff, on-site armed security rotation, research personnel (senior researchers), and medic/counseling wages (salary + benefits).
Research And Monitoring $305K/yr
[#16, #23, #27] Annual sample-collection and lab analysis campaigns, counter-surveillance/investigative ops and annual long-term program/testing budget.
Cover Story And Legal $56K/yr
[#22, #24] Ongoing legal/PR budget and cover-company maintenance costs for FOIA/press and plausible-deniability operations.
Supplies And Consumables $42K/yr
[#25, #21] Routine operational consumables (fuel, ropes, PPE, replacement parts) plus recurring secure storage costs and small lab consumables.
Rov Maintenance And Consumables $40K/yr
[#14] Maintenance, spare parts, batteries and consumables for ROVs/AUVs and aerial drones.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#10] Recurring secure transport and contingency shipping budget for occasional moves, contract vehicles and logistics.
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#18] Ongoing search-and-rescue drills, scheduled extraction exercises and training refreshers.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#3] Ongoing maintenance for environmental control systems and small site integration upkeep.
Power And Energy $5K/yr
[#4] Incremental electricity for HVAC, dehumidifiers, cameras, sensors and charging equipment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing containment, scheduled research, routine maintenance and no major incidents.
routine operations scheduled sample campaigns no breaches or major legal events
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or extraction requiring short-term surge response, repairs, and legal/PR activity.
small-scale rescue/extraction equipment damage limited legal/FOIA exposure
🚨 Major Breach $2.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Significant containment failure, extended recovery operations, major legal exposure or large-scale evacuation/repair.
large-scale contamination or personnel injury public exposure/FOIA litigation extended multi-day recovery operations
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#7] On-site armed security rotation to maintain 24/7 physical access control (4 guards to cover shifts/leave).
Security Monitoring / Control Room 2 [#6] Dedicated monitoring staff for 24/7 alarm and camera monitoring (1–2 FTEs; modeled as 2).
Research Scientist 3 [#11] Senior/full-time researchers to run experiments, analyze samples and supervise entries.
Medical Officer 1 [#19] On-call medic for entries and post-entry medical/psychological monitoring (0.5–1 FTE modeled as 1).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing reasonable mid-point estimates, but many items have wide ranges (e.g., contingency, ROV fleet, staff posture) and some operational choices (heavy vs minimal posture) materially change recurring costs, so confidence is medium.
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