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SCP-4104 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-4104
Expected annual
$20.8M
One-time setup
$99.6M
Annual recurring
$16.7M
Personnel
76
Initial capital/setup costs are dominated by property acquisition, contingency reserves, and robotic/research program development (roughly $100M one-time); steady-state annual operations are driven by staff wages, research/monitoring programs and logistics (~$16.2M/yr). Main cost drivers are personnel (security and MTF), recurring research & monitoring, and large contingency reserves for catastrophic events.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $99.6M
Contingency Planning Reserve $50.0M
[#27] Planning allowance / reserve for large-scale worst-case manifestations and reconstruction.
Insurance And Liability Reserve $20.0M
[#26] Establishment of insurance/liability reserve fund for large claims and legal defense.
Evacuation Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#10] Contingency reserve recommended for large evacuations and temporary housing funds.
Facilities $9.2M
[#6, #20] Property acquisition of affected campus and specialized containment pens / structural work.
Equipment $4.2M
[#3, #4, #8, #9, #13, #22, #23] MTF expedition gear, robotic platforms development/hardware, perimeter hardware/CCTV, generators/UPS, ambulance/vehicle procurement, vehicle fleet and drone procurement.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.1M
[#11, #18, #19, #25] R&D seed for Penrose-object neutralization, specialized measurement/mapping instruments, data/simulation compute hardware, research program seed funding.
Community Relocation Payouts $2.0M
[#30] Initial relocation payouts and lump-sum settlements for displaced students/staff.
Monitoring Center Build $750K
[#5] One-time buildout of centralized monitoring center, software and integration.
Amnestic Initial Stockpile $300K
[#15] Initial Class-F stockpile for hundreds of trespassers.
Medical Screening Equipment $50K
[#12] One-time purchase of screening scanners and equipment for enforcing prosthetics/implant exclusion.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.7M/yr
Staff Wages $7.1M/yr
[#1, #2, #5, #24, #28] Salaries/benefits/hazard pay for perimeter security, MTF personnel, analysts, research staff and program/admin personnel (guards, agents, analysts, scientists, engineers, medics, admin).
Research And Monitoring $3.7M/yr
[#5, #25, #18, #19, #24] Monitoring center operations (non-salary), ongoing advanced simulation/research program, instrument calibration and data/storage maintenance, visiting fellowships/training costs.
Logistics And Transport $1.9M/yr
[#2, #11, #13, #22, #23] MTF operational readiness costs (non-salary training/travel/consumables), ordnance/permits per operation, medevac standby contracts, vehicle/drone operations and maintenance.
Treatment And Rehabilitation $1.2M/yr
[#14] Budget for acute trauma care, prosthetics, long-term rehabilitation for staff and civilians.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#6, #16, #30] Ongoing legal/PR maintenance, payments to local governments/insurers, small ongoing stipends and cover-story obligations.
Evacuation Fund Annual Allocation $500K/yr
[#10] Annual allocation to replenish evacuation and temporary housing funds.
Supplies And Consumables $350K/yr
[#29, #12, #15] Consumables, repair parts, screening operations and annual amnestic restock/administration.
Medevac Contracts $300K/yr
[#13] Contractual ambulance/helicopter standby and rapid extraction contracts.
Facilities Maintenance $290K/yr
[#7, #20] On-site building mothballing/upkeep and containment pen upkeep.
Psychological Support $200K/yr
[#17] PTSD counseling, debriefing and cognitive testing for staff and MTF members.
Robotics Ops And Maintenance $200K/yr
[#4] Recurring operations, maintenance and R&D support for tethered robots and remote manipulators.
Ordnance And Permits $150K/yr
[#11] Annual budgeting for per-operation explosive/ordnance costs and permits (expected ops).
Medical Screenings $100K/yr
[#12] Annual cost for pre-deployment medical checks, ongoing screening and record maintenance.
Environmental Remediation Annual $100K/yr
[#21] Expected annual allocation for hazardous waste disposal / remediation following destructive operations.
Power Generation Maintenance $52K/yr
[#9] Fuel contracts, testing and UPS/generator maintenance for continuous site systems.
Perimeter Surveillance Maintenance $50K/yr
[#8] Annual maintenance, data storage and tamper-protection costs for fences/CCTV/sensors.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.7M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with steady monitoring, occasional small operations but no major incidents.
routine_monitoring scheduled_training_and_research minor_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $17.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$650K vs baseline
Single-campus manifestation requiring evacuation, targeted destruction of a Penrose object, and limited remediation.
single_campus_manifestation small_evacuations single_penrose_destruction
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $216.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$199.4M vs baseline
Large-scale propagation beyond campus requiring national-level response, mass evacuation, long-term resettlement and reconstruction.
city_scale_propagation multiple_penrose_objects mass_evacuations_and_reconstruction
👥 Personnel 76 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 30 [#1] 24/7 perimeter coverage with 2-hour rotations, hazard premium included.
MTF Agent / Operator 16 [#2] Dedicated Theta-90 rapid-response team (12–16 operators) for expeditions.
Research Scientist 6 [#24, #25] Mathematicians/topologists/physicists supporting research & simulation programs.
Data Analyst / Monitoring Analyst 12 [#5] Analysts for global monitoring, social/media triage and field liaisons.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#4, #22] Robotics/robot ops maintenance, vehicle and site systems engineers.
Medical Officer / Medic 3 [#13, #12] Field medics, medical screening oversight and medevac coordination.
Administrative Staff / Program Management 4 [#28, #6] Program managers, procurement, accounting and legal liaison support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#28] Senior oversight of containment program and external coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints and program-level allocations from analyst notes; many items have wide ranges and are highly location- and incident-dependent (property costs, frequency/scale of manifestations, and contingency drawdowns). Unknowns about SCP behavior and response frequency reduce confidence.
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