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SCP-4106 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4106
Expected annual
$3.3M
One-time setup
$2.7M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
12
Initial one-time program setup is estimated at approximately $2.67M, driven by secure infrastructure, targeted apprehension and legal/covert operations; ongoing annual costs are ~ $3.19M/yr dominated by monitoring, research/R&D, legal/cover and personnel.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7M
Targeted Apprehension $750K
[#14] Budgeted one-time international apprehension/raid operation (transnational capture scenario mid-range).
Legal Covert Operations One Time $400K
[#9] One-time cross-jurisdiction legal and covert takedown operations, emergency payments and PR suppression play for initial operation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#4] Initial funding to staff a reverse-engineering / software research effort (3–6 person effort for 6–12 months) and lab/lab-instrument setup specific to research.
Interrogation Initial Surge $200K
[#15] Initial surge costs to detain and secure a captured creator/subject for early-stage study and containment setup.
Emergency Takedown $150K
[#1] Rapid cyber-OP, emergency forensic capture, covert Tor ops and 24–72h response team surge (one-time operation).
Equipment $130K
[#3, #2] Hardened virtualization hardware and forensic/archive hardware purchases (part of air-gapped compute and imaging storage hardware).
Translation Backlog Processing $125K
[#17] One-time expense to process backlog of chat logs, transcription and translation for initial evidence corpus.
Protective Relocation Initial $120K
[#8] Initial safehouse and relocation logistics for high-risk models (program-level assumption: multiple relocations as needed).
Facilities $100K
[#3, #5] Secure-room fitout and ritual chamber construction costs (portion of air-gapped SCIF and controlled ritual chamber).
Counter Memetic Development One Time $100K
[#12] One-time development of filters, viewer-side sanitizers and anti-memetic tooling prototypes.
Public Relations Playbook One Time $100K
[#22] One-time PR/cover-story playbook development and seeded narrative creation for initial containment phase.
Data Handling Compliance One Time $60K
[#18] Initial documentation, chain-of-custody tooling and audit-trail infrastructure setup.
Ritual Reproduction And Consultants $50K
[#5] Specialized occult/anthropological consultant fees and secure reproduction chamber staging (one-time consulting and buildout portion).
Secure Communications Setup $40K
[#20] Smartcards, multi-factor devices, air-gapped transfer hardware provisioning (one-time).
Honeypot Setup $30K
[#10] One-time development and hardening of a Foundation-hosted honeypot/mirror site for deception/containment.
Forensic Imaging And Archival $15K
[#2] One-time capture, air-gapped forensic image creation and initial cold-storage purchase (50–200 TB scale).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#2, #3, #6, #10, #11, #12, #17, #23] Ongoing monitoring tooling and operations (digital account monitoring), honeypot hosting/ops, Tor-threat intel tooling, counter-memetic deployment updates, translation services, long-term species-detection R&D and non-wage research expenditures.
Logistics And Transport $715K/yr
[#7, #8, #13, #15, #19] Physical surveillance rotations and safehouse costs, ongoing protective relocation support, device collection/destruction admin, ongoing detention/study logistics, and victim assistance transport/resettlement logistics.
Staff Wages $600K/yr
[#4, #11, #15, #16] Salaries for core research/support staff (continuing reverse-engineering team, Tor/INT analysts, interrogation support staff, and on-call personnel).
Contingency Fund $300K/yr
[#21] Annual reserve for re-emergence, escalation, or urgent kinetic/technical operations (10–30% style reserve).
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#9, #22] Ongoing legal upkeep, covert-ops contingency retainers, PR maintenance and misinformation operations.
Facilities Maintenance $75K/yr
[#3, #5, #20] Ongoing maintenance, electricity and minor upgrades for air-gapped SCIF, ritual chamber upkeep and secure communications hardware.
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#5, #17] Ritual materials, PPE, staging consumables, and transcription/analysis consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with continuing monitoring, research, legal upkeep and no major incidents.
steady-state monitoring ongoing R&D no significant breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $3.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$445K vs baseline
Localized reappearance or limited breach requiring emergency takedown, forensic surge and legal/PR surge.
site briefly reappears small group of patrons exposed rapid emergency forensic takedown required
🚨 Major Breach $5.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Large-scale re-emergence or exposure requiring transnational apprehension, mass relocations, victim assistance and extensive legal/forensic response.
creator identified and resistant widespread public exposure transnational manhunt/raid required
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 4 [#4, #23] Reverse-engineering, memetic research, species-detection R&D and translation oversight.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#7, #14, #8] Physical surveillance, raid/apprehension teams and protective-relocation security rotations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#9, #21] Program oversight, legal/covert coordination and contingency decisions.
Medical Officer 1 [#15, #16] Medical/psych support for exposed personnel and detainee health.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#3, #20] Maintain air-gapped compute, secure comms and facility hardware.
Administrative Staff 1 [#18, #22] Compliance, chain-of-custody, PR liaison and logistical coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derived from analyst ranges and program-scale assumptions; major uncertainties include number of patrons requiring monitoring/protection, frequency of re-emergence events, and variability of raid/apprehension costs, so figures are indicative but not precise.
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