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SCP-413 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-413
Expected annual
$3.9M
One-time setup
$6.8M
Annual recurring
$3.8M
Personnel
20
One-time setup and acquisition are the largest costs (~$6.75M) driven by property buyout, sealing/hardening and research escrow; recurring annual costs (~$3.74M/yr) are dominated by staff wages (guards + research/analysts) and ongoing research, replacement, and contingency budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.8M
Facilities $3.3M
[#1, #3, #4] Property acquisition/buyout, sealing/hardening of entrances, and permanent perimeter security infrastructure (guard booths, K-rails, fencing).
Research Contingency Escrow $1.0M
[#25] One-time contingency/escalation escrow recommended for potential large-scale interventions or multi-year research funding bridge.
One Time Program Overhead $880K
[#30] One-time contingency/administrative overhead (15% of one-time subtotal) to cover administrative costs, inflation, and unforeseen purchases.
Equipment $755K
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #13, #14, #15, #16, #27] Initial purchase of CCTV and hardened NVRs, intrusion sensors, generators/UPS, armored vehicle(s), PPE winches/harness kits, IMU/UWB base-station and operator kits, tethered robots and winch systems, LIDAR/acoustic instruments, and communications hardware.
Insurance Reserve $300K
[#23] One-time insurance/liability reserve fund to cover initial indemnities or legal contingencies during takeover.
Contingency Demolition Reserve $200K
[#29] Low-level reserved fund for emergency demolition/structural intervention if needed.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#17] Initial acoustic research lab buildout, test rigs for mitigation experiments, and baseline instrumentation allocation for research teams.
Legal And Secrecy Fund $150K
[#2] Immediate legal/secrecy costs for acquisition: attorney fees, records sealing, NDAs, payments to local officials, and initial cover-story creation.
Decontamination Setup $15K
[#26] One-time setup of decontamination/forensic kits and evidence-control capability.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#5, #6, #11, #18, #28] 24/7 armed guard staffing (12 guards with contractor overhead), on-site security supervisor and admin, medic(s), analysts/research staff salaries, and internal oversight/audit staff.
Research And Monitoring $750K/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #25] Ongoing research experiments and program funding (lab operations, acoustic testing, mitigation R&D), instrument analysis/maintenance, and secure servers/cloud storage for mapping and acoustic data.
Program Overhead $488K/yr
[#30] Recurring administrative overhead (15% of recurring subtotal) to cover inflation, administrative support, and miscellaneous recurring expenses.
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#2, #23, #24] Ongoing cover-story maintenance, PR/payments to local actors, recurring legal/insurance costs and liability reserves.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#10, #20] Armored vehicle operations/maintenance, training/ops for rapid response team, and mission travel/logistics.
Replacement Budget $150K/yr
[#15, #22] Annual replacement budget for damaged/lost equipment (tethers, robots, sondes) and expendable probes expected to be frequently lost in the dynamic interior.
Long Term Medical Monitoring $100K/yr
[#12] Long-term neurological/psychological follow-up and neurology/psychiatry consultations for exposed personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#4, #7, #8, #9, #21] Ongoing maintenance of perimeter infrastructure, CCTV/storage/harware maintenance, intrusion/alarm servicing, generator fuel/service, and exterior structural inspections.
Supplies And Consumables $52K/yr
[#13, #20] PPE inspections and replacements, batteries, tether cable, lubricants, spare parts, sample containers, and other per-mission consumables.
Specialized Training $40K/yr
[#19] Confined-space, tethered-entry, medical response, robotics and extraction refresher courses.
Communications Services $10K/yr
[#14, #27] Recurring subscriptions, satellite uplink, encrypted comms service fees and tracking/positioning service licenses.
Decontamination Processing $10K/yr
[#26] Per-incident forensic/decontamination processing budget averaged into an annual baseline.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.8M/yr
85.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, research, maintenance, and scheduled replacements.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $4.0M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized breach or equipment-loss incident requiring rapid-response, forensic processing, and accelerated replacement/repairs.
small_breach robot_loss localized_damage
🚨 Major Breach $5.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring extended response: large-scale recovery, heavy repairs, major legal/medical costs, and possible controlled partial-demolition.
major_containment_breach structural_instability multiple_casualties
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $9.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.9M vs baseline
Worst-case event requiring full-scale demolition/stabilization of city block, mass medical response, large indemnities, and multi-year recovery.
city_block_demolition full_site_isolation major_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 Three-shift armed guard model (12 total) authorized to use lethal force; contractor overhead included in wages.
Security Supervisor 1 Site security manager responsible for guard coordination and clearance.
Administrative Staff / Logistics 1 Roster management, procurement, and liaison duties.
Medical Officer 1 On-site medic for vestibular/neurological incidents and emergency care.
Research Scientist / Analyst 4 Acousticians, robotics engineers, neuroscientists, and GIS/mapping specialists (combined salaries reflected in staff_wages).
Audit / Oversight Staff 1 Internal auditor/oversight to ensure containment protocols and record-keeping.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges for nearly all items and identify location as the dominant variable; reasonable mid-point choices were used. Uncertainty remains due to location variability, unknown frequency of incidents, and potential high-cost escalation scenarios.
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