SCP-4137 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4137
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$2.8M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
9
Initial setup is dominated by facility retrofit, contingency reserve, and extraction-team setup (~$2.77M one-time); ongoing annual operations are driven by specialist staff wages and continuing research/testing (~$1.58M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.8M
Reserve Contingency Fund $1.0M
[#20] Recommended insurance-equivalent contingency/reserve fund to cover catastrophic scenarios, long rescues, medical catastrophes, or infrastructure rebuilds.
Facilities $600K
[#1] Containment/storage bay retrofit: structural reinforcement, anchor points, padded interior, blast-proof observation window, HVAC and EM isolation; includes engineering hours and construction.
Equipment $410K
[#2, #9, #10, #17, #18] Tension/pulley harness system (installation + spare sets), non-lethal/alternative weapon procurement, monitoring/sensor installation, simulator hardware procurement, electronics/console upkeep initial hardware.
Extraction Team Setup $400K
[#7] Dedicated rapid-response/search & rescue team setup: equipment, specialized retrieval rigs, team training and initial readiness setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#8] Ballistics and kinetohazard testing initial setup and laboratory/instrumentation for initial characterization and controlled tests.
Documentation Course Development $45K
[#16] Development of SOPs, entry/exit checklists, training curricula and certification course development.
Evidence Coordination Setup $10K
[#12] One-time coordination/setup costs for evidence handling and interagency liaison (Toronto Police coordination setup).
Medical Kit One Time $5K
[#6] On-site emergency medical kit procurement for immediate treatment during training/extraction.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $780K/yr
[#4, #5] Specialized four-axis/navigation operatives (3 operatives at ~$150k fully loaded = $450k) plus on-site security (4 guards), 1 full-time medic, 1 safety tech aggregate (~$330k).
Research And Monitoring $250K/yr
[#8, #11] Ongoing ballistics testing, instrumentation, controlled testing and mid-scale research into tire/hypercylinder behavior and paneling properties (lower-scope annual program estimate).
Extraction Team Readiness $150K/yr
[#7] Maintain rapid-response search & rescue readiness: training, team retainers, equipment maintenance and on-call availability.
Intelligence And Pursuit $100K/yr
[#13] Baseline monitoring, tracking and surveillance resources for PoI-9090/9091; does not include rare major operations (contingency).
Medical Support And Treatment $100K/yr
[#6] Annual consumables, imaging, psychological care, and routine medical treatments related to training exposures (does not include large incident contingencies).
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#12, #15] Ongoing legal liaison, evidence paperwork, inter-agency travel and routine cover/black-budget costs for plausible non-anomalous explanations.
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#3, #9, #10, #17, #18, #19] Routine harness/webbing/rigging consumables and recertification (~$6k/yr), non-lethal training consumables (~$10k–50k/yr), monitoring/storage maintenance (~$10k–40k/yr), simulator updates and electronics upkeep, evidence/waste handling consumables.
Administrative Overhead $40K/yr
[#21] Admin staff, background checks, badge issuance, scheduling and coordination overhead.
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#14] Annualized transportation/special-move budget (assumes ~1 relocation/year or equivalent movement of the van to testing ranges using padded, climate-controlled transport).
Periodic Audit And Compliance $20K/yr
[#23] Periodic safety audits, external/internal compliance reviews, and certification renewals.
Energy And Utilities $15K/yr
[#22] Power, HVAC and basic utilities for the containment bay and support systems.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine training, research, and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_training_and_research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Single non-protracted medical/rescue event or equipment failure requiring emergency care and repair.
medical_event short_rescue_operation equipment_repair
🚨 Prolonged Rescue Or Major Operation $3.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Protracted search-and-rescue or major interagency operation (lost personnel, complex recovery, legal exposure).
lost_personnel_protracted major_rescue_operation interagency_response
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Four-axis operative / Instructor 3 Dedicated navigation operatives/handlers required for all entries; salary accounted in staff_wages [#4].
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 24/7 site security presence; salaries included in staff_wages [#5].
Medical Officer / Paramedic 1 Full-time medic for training operations; salary included in staff_wages [#5].
Safety Technician / Rigger 1 Inspects harnesses, rigging, and equipment before entries; salary included in staff_wages [#5].
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use analyst-provided ranges and mid-range assumptions for staffing, research scope, and contingency posture. Many items (rescue cost per incident, research scale) have wide ranges, producing medium confidence.
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