SCP-4140 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-4140
Expected annual
$16.5M
One-time setup
$22.8M
Annual recurring
$15.8M
Personnel
120
Initial capital/setup costs are estimated at approximately $22.81M, driven primarily by underground site build-out, BSL-4 lab/R&D setup and a dedicated contingency reserve. Annual recurring operations are roughly $15.78M/yr, dominated by specialized personnel (musicians, supervisors, MTF), power/facilities maintenance and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $22.8M
Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#27] Capital contingency / catastrophic-response reserve for demolition, large-scale blocking operations, or other one-off catastrophic interventions.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.0M
[#12, #20] BSL-4-capable lab buildout / access and initial R&D setup for containment/cure efforts.
Facilities $4.5M
[#1, #2, #4, #17, #23] Land acquisition/exclusion-zone establishment, underwater entrance stabilization works, subterranean modular build-out and initial blocking operations and perimeter/security hardware.
Equipment $2.8M
[#3, #5, #6, #7, #11, #14, #15, #16, #13, #25, #26] Initial boats/MTF equipment & decompression chamber, generator sets, ventilation systems, pumps, PPE initial stock, acoustic sensors, communications hardware, ROVs/sonar, incinerator access, environmental sensors and initial data/storage hardware.
Legal Cover Setup $200K
[#19] Initial legal/cover-story setup, permits and early PR/legal contingency establishment.
Training Program Setup $150K
[#22] Initial specialized training program setup (cave-diving, instrument protocol, biohazard handling).
Musician Recruitment And Vetting $125K
[#8] Initial recruitment, vetting and onboarding costs for Tau-8 musicians and rotations.
Stockpile Procurement $25K
[#18] Initial emergency sacrificial biological matter stockpile procurement & containment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.8M/yr
Staff Wages $8.7M/yr
[#3, #8, #9, #23] Salaries/hazard pay for MTF Omicron-2 dive team, Tau-8 musicians (pay + hazard/rotation), supervisory/monitoring staff and on-site security payroll.
Research And Monitoring $2.2M/yr
[#12, #16, #20, #25, #26] BSL-4 lab operational budget, ROV/remote-sensing maintenance & ops, recurring R&D program costs, environmental/geological monitoring operations and secure data storage/analysis.
Medical And Psychiatric Care $1.6M/yr
[#10, #21] Medical screening, ongoing psychiatric care, emergency evacuation/medevac, post-assignment rehab and intensive psychological mitigation programs.
Facilities Maintenance $985K/yr
[#1, #2, #4, #5, #6, #7, #14, #15] Ongoing enforcement/local-liaison, entrance & stabilization maintenance, underground site utilities/maintenance, generator fuel & maintenance, ventilation/filter replacement, pump/water-treatment operations, sensor upkeep and communications service/leasing.
Insurance And Overheads $600K/yr
[#28] Internal insurance reserves, indemnities, pension/disability reserves and audit/compliance overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal counsel, payoffs/compensation to local authorities, misinformation/PR and permit maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#24] Personnel rotation (bi-weekly), supply runs, transport (boats/vehicles/helicopter) and shipping of instruments/equipment.
Contingency Operational $300K/yr
[#17] Small annual contingency budget for occasional blocking operations or emergency emplacement tasks.
Supplies And Consumables $295K/yr
[#11, #13, #18] Recurring PPE replacement & training consumables, per-corpse hazardous disposal costs, and per-use sacrificial biological procurement/handling costs.
Training And Certification $150K/yr
[#22] Recurring refresher training (cave-diving, HAZWOPER, instrument safety) and certification costs.
Long Term Replacement Reserve $150K/yr
[#30] Annualized capital replacement reserve for modular facility and equipment due to corrosion/contamination (depreciation/replacement fund).
Cultural And Recruitment $60K/yr
[#29] Cultural/linguistic recruitment, translation and specialist anthropological support.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.8M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with continuous Auseuil protocol maintained and no major containment incidents.
continuous_music_maintained routine_turnover_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $16.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized interruption or short-term failure (e.g., brief lapse in music, localized SCP-4140-2 manifestation) requiring emergency response, replacement musicians, small blocking operation and extra medical treatment.
temporary_protocol_interruption small_blocking_operation additional_medical_evacuations
🚨 Major Breach $45.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Significant spread of SCP-4140-2 requiring large-scale engineering interventions, large use of contingency capital, mass evacuations and extensive legal/cover-up operations.
runaway_SCP-4140-2_expansion failure_of_Auseuil_protocol large_scale_blocking_or_demolition
👥 Personnel 120 total
Role Count Notes
Musician (Tau-8) 50 [#8] On-payroll roster to support 15 on-site at all times with rotations; includes hazard pay and allowances.
Research Scientist / Technician 8 [#12, #20] R&D staff, lab technicians and analysts supporting BSL-4 work and monitoring.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 27 [#3, #23] Combined MTF Omicron-2 technical dive specialists (15) and on-site armed security guards (~12) to maintain perimeter and guide cave access.
Supervisory / Monitoring Staff 30 [#9] Shift supervisors, psychologists/psychiatrists, medics, sound technicians and overseers monitoring Tau-8.
Medical Officer 4 [#10] Medics and medical support for on-site care, medevac coordination and long-term monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#2, #4, #5, #7, #16] Structural, power, pump and remote-asset maintenance staff for underground facility and remote systems.
Administrative Staff 3 [#1, #19] Local liaison, legal/administrative and logistics coordinators.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many cost drivers are well-described (personnel, facilities, power) allowing medium confidence in recurring estimates; uncertainty remains around mortality rates, frequency/scale of blocking operations, and BSL-4 lab/contingency sizing which prevent high confidence.
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