SCP-4139 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4139
Expected annual
$559K
One-time setup
$353K
Annual recurring
$555K
Personnel
6.2
Initial one-time setup is modest (~$0.35M) driven by containment modifications, test-chamber readiness, and equipment; main recurring costs (~$0.555M/yr) are staff wages (research + on-call response + security) and ongoing monitoring/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $353K
Facilities $162K
[#1, #14, #24] Containment cell modification, test-chamber outfitting, and contingency planning reserve for escalation.
Incident Contingency Reserve $50K
[#11] One-time contingency reserve for moderate incident response (equipment, quarantine setup, emergency replacements).
Insurance Initial Reserve $50K
[#16] Initial internal reserve for accidents/property damage related to containment (site policy dependent).
Equipment $40K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #12, #20] Combination lock & access hardware, CCTV hardware, environmental sensors (initial), magnet-detection hardware, secure storage trays, remote handling hardware, initial server procurement, and imaging hardware.
Poi 326 Hardware $28K
[#10] One-time option: procurement/maintenance hardware to maintain POI-326-like object on standby (alternate to personnel on-call).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K
[#21] Initial purchase/setup of specialized instrumentation for magnet-arrangement effect detection (baseline instrument package).
Training Initial $4K
[#17] Initial background-check/training costs for Level-2 personnel (one-time vetting/onboarding costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $555K/yr
Staff Wages $465K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #23] Research personnel (partial lead + technicians), security staffing, on-call POI-326 personnel readiness (personnel option), and administrative overhead/time for reporting.
Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr
[#18, #25] Legal/cover-story maintenance, MOUs/permits, FOIA responses, and discretionary PR/mitigation payments.
Facilities Maintenance $24K/yr
[#14, #19, #22] Test-chamber operation, physical maintenance & housekeeping of containment area, and depreciation/replacement reserve.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#6, #11, #13] Consumables for SCP-4139-1/6 handling and replacement copies, incident drill consumables/PPE, and experimental consumables.
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #12, #20, #21] CCTV/video storage, sensor maintenance/calibration, magnet-sensor upkeep, data backup/maintenance, archival storage, and instrument calibration/consumables.
Insurance Replenishment $10K/yr
[#16] Annual replenishment of internal contingency/insurance reserves.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#15] Expected annualized cost for occasional secure moves/transport (armored transport/crane/escorts averaged over time).
Training And Background Checks $2K/yr
[#17] Recurring rechecks and periodic training for Level-2 personnel.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $555K/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year: ongoing research, monitoring, and routine maintenance with no incidents.
no incidents routine testing only
🚨 Minor Incident $585K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Minor release/incident (e.g., low-rate amnestic venting or small medical/cleanup response) requiring overtime, medical supplies, and limited containment actions.
low-rate gas venting localized contamination or minor injury
🚨 Major Breach $1.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or escalation (POI-326 active involvement, large-scale relocation, major legal/PR action, or full containment upgrade).
POI-326 recapture/activation public exposure or loss of control requirement for high-containment upgrades
👥 Personnel 6.2 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Lead) 0.5 [#8] 0.5 FTE research lead (senior scientist) per analyst notes.
Lab Technician 2.5 [#8] 1–2 FTE technicians suggested; 2.5 FTE used to match recurring research wage estimate.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#9] Additional security burden; estimate assumes 2 full-time guards (site coverage + overtime contingencies).
On-call Response Specialist / POI-326 team 1 [#10] Personnel readiness option for POI-326 on-call team (represented as 1 FTE-equivalent readiness cost).
Administrative Staff 0.2 [#23] 0.1–0.3 FTE administrative burden for compliance, reporting, and approvals.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of provided ranges and include both hardware and personnel readiness options; uncertainty remains around POI-326's nature, frequency of testing, and how often moves/incidents occur, so confidence is medium.
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