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SCP-4152 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4152
Expected annual
$255K
One-time setup
$1.0M
Annual recurring
$248K
Personnel
2
Estimated one-time setup and contingency reserves total approximately $1.046M, driven mainly by contingency funds for advanced mnestic research and escalation; routine annual operations and minimal research are ~ $248k/yr driven by ongoing research, mental-health care, and site allocations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0M
Contingency Escalation $500K
[#25] Planning/upgrade reserve in case object class or containment needs escalate (vault upgrades, expanded security/medical intervention).
Contingency Mnestic Research $300K
[#14] Contingency fund for advanced mnestic research / contracted neuroscience / clinical-trial style work (one-time reserve; highly variable).
Compensation And Long Term Care Reserve $125K
[#24] Reserve fund for long-term care and compensation for harmed staff/subjects (one-time reserve allocation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#11] Initial pilot research program costs (fMRI/EEG scans, technician hours, analysis for a 10–20 subject pilot).
Equipment $10K
[#2, #4, #16, #15, #23] Archival mounting/framing and protective enclosure (#2), environmental monitoring devices hardware (#4 one-time), recording equipment (#16), secure server/setup for encrypted records (#15 one-time), professional digitization imaging (#23 one-time).
Initial Amnestic Supply $6K
[#13] Initial Class-C/Class-C-adjacent amnestic stock, secure storage and training (one-time stock purchase).
Sop Development $3K
[#20] Initial containment SOP development and documentation (one-time).
Facilities $2K
[#1] Minor locker installation/labeling or archival-quality locker upgrade (marginal capital).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $248K/yr
Research And Monitoring $90K/yr
[#5, #12, #9, #17] Periodic conservator inspections and repacking (#5), ongoing research/postdoc/analysis/data storage costs (#12), routine psychological screening related to research and staffing (#9), and per-study subject recruitment/compensation averaged into annual program costs (#17).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#21] Annualized reserve for legal counsel, PR/cover-up, and contingency settlements (pro-rated contingency allocation).
Mental Health Care Budget $50K/yr
[#10] Ongoing counseling/therapy/medication and follow-up care budget for exposed individuals (annual reserve/amortized treatment costs).
Staff Wages $32K/yr
[#8, #18] Marginal containment/custodial technician allocation (0.1–0.25 FTE) (#8) and on-call clinical team stipends/standby costs for rapid incident response (#18).
Facilities Maintenance $18K/yr
[#1, #3, #6, #15, #20, #22] Annual depreciation/allocation for locker/capital (#1), incremental HVAC/electricity for environmental control (#3), site security monitoring allocation (CCTV/guard pro-rate) (#6), secure server maintenance/backups (#15 recurring), training refreshers (#20 recurring), and site administrative/insurance overhead allocation (#22).
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#4, #16, #13] Sensor calibration and battery replacements (#4 recurring), recording consumables and small replacements/PPE (#16 recurring), amnestic replenishment & training supplies (#13 recurring).
Access Control And Clearance $3K/yr
[#7] Background re-evaluations, clearance processing, and access-control administration (annual recurring rechecks and admin).
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#19] Occasional secure domestic courier/art movement costs amortized per year (per-move cost budgeted as low-frequency annual allocation).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $248K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine maintenance, occasional conservator checks and small-scale research activity.
no incidents routine research only normal maintenance and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $323K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Localized unauthorized access or an exposure causing several individuals to require therapy and localized legal/administrative response.
unauthorized viewing several affected staff/subjects short-term legal/HR response
🚨 Advanced Mnestic Program $548K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Decision to fund a major one-time advanced mnestic research program or contracted neuromodulation trial to remediate resistant memories.
mnestic failure persists ethics committee approves advanced research requirement for contracted clinical trials
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Technician / Curator 1 [#8] 0.1–0.25 FTE marginal allocation at Site-28 to handle inventory checks, move object for approved testing and coordinate logistics (represented as one person on staff).
On-call Clinical Staff (Psychologist/Psychiatrist/Medic) 1 [#18] On-call clinical team/stipend coverage for rapid incident response and supervision during exposures (represented as one on-call role/team allocation).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item recurring and one-time operational costs are well-defined (archive, monitoring, conservator checks), but large contingent items (advanced mnestic research, escalation/reserve, settlement exposure) are highly uncertain, producing moderate overall confidence.
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