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SCP-4151 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-4151
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$2.0M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
20
First-year capital outlay is roughly $2.03M driven by land/control acquisition, quarantine buildout, initial sequencing and an emergency reserve; steady-state operations are approximately $1.37M/yr driven predominantly by security wages, research/medical monitoring, and contingency/reserve replenishment.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.0M
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #2, #7, #16] Site acquisition/long-term lease and legal cover, perimeter installation/hardening, quarantine/isolation room buildout, and purchase of chippers/field equipment for fruit removal.
Emergency Fund Initial Reserve $500K
[#24] Initial contingency/emergency reserve to fund high-cost escalation responses (mass neutralization, large-scale incineration, rapid mobilization).
Equipment $247K
[#4, #5, #6, #17, #20, #29, #21] Purchase of response/escort vehicles, CCTV and sensors, initial medical kit, grounds/arboriculture equipment, -80°C freezer, safes/lockers for evidence and sample storage, and initial IT/server hardware for data security.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#10, #12, #20] Initial pathology/genetic sequencing campaign and basic laboratory setup items; endoscopy suite buildout set to 0 (outsourced procedures assumed).
Legal And Cover Setup $15K
[#1, #22] One-time local legal retainer and front-company / cover formation costs necessary for property/control paperwork and establishing plausible cover stories.
Initial Staff Health Baseline $10K
[#28] Initial staff baseline medicals / vaccinations and initial specialized PPE stock for staff health monitoring.
On Site Incinerator $0
[#14] On-site incinerator purchase intentionally not procured (outsourced cremation assumed); set to 0.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $820K/yr
[#3, #5, #6, #13, #17, #25] Salaries and benefits for security guards/response personnel, monitoring staff, medical staff (nurse/physician), research staff salaries partially allocated, groundskeepers, and partial site administrative overhead embedded in personnel wages.
Research And Monitoring $125K/yr
[#11, #12, #13] Ongoing R&D, reagents and lab consumables, pathology spot sampling and sequencing upkeep, and non-salary research program costs.
Facilities Maintenance $91K/yr
[#2, #7, #19, #20, #16] Annual maintenance for perimeter/fence, HVAC and quarantine room servicing, site utilities and generator fuel/maintenance, cold-storage electricity/maintenance, and equipment upkeep related to fruit-control equipment.
Cover Story And Legal $90K/yr
[#22, #27] Ongoing local government liaison, bribery/cover payments, PR front maintenance and public-risk mitigation operations.
Incident Investigation And Admin $60K/yr
[#25] Administrative overhead, reporting, incident documentation, partial site-director oversight and compliance review costs.
Annual Contingency Replenish $50K/yr
[#24] Yearly replenishment target to maintain the emergency/reserve fund at operational levels for medium-term contingencies.
Training And Refreshers $30K/yr
[#23] Recurring staff training, drills, and external trainer costs for sedation, amnestic administration, and anomalous handling.
Data Security Operations $30K/yr
[#21] Ongoing secure-server operations, encryption maintenance, identity-matching DB operations and IT staffing.
Supplies And Consumables $29K/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #28] Annual baseline consumables: medical disposables, baseline sedatives/PPE stock replenishment, amnestic storage/quality-control baseline costs and routine PPE replacement.
Biohazard Waste Contractor $20K/yr
[#15] Annual contract for licensed biohazard and medical waste disposal; per-event fees handled in scenarios if volumes spike.
Logistics And Transport $17K/yr
[#4, #10, #26] Annual vehicle fuel/insurance/maintenance and routine transport/courier costs for patient transfers and sample movement; per-incident clinical transport costs handled in scenarios.
Staff Health Monitoring $6K/yr
[#28] Ongoing staff medical surveillance, periodic blood-tests and psychological evaluations related to exposure risk.
Sample Chain Of Custody $4K/yr
[#29] Annual costs for chain-of-custody paperwork, evidence storage management, and minor secure storage service contracts.
Cremation Outsourced Per Event $0/yr
[#14] Per-event cremation costs are incident-driven and therefore excluded from baseline; included in scenario increments.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
60.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with standard staffing, routine maintenance and no elevated incident-driven medical/cremation surges.
no surge in human appearances regular maintenance only no large-scale neutralization required
🚨 Low Incident $1.4M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$48K vs baseline
Low-frequency incident year (~10 discovered humans) with per-event medical procedures, diagnostics, amnestics and limited disposals.
≈10 human appearances routine sedation/quarantine/diagnostics per case occasional outsourced clinical procedures
🚨 Moderate Incident $1.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$341K vs baseline
Moderate-frequency incident year (~50 discovered humans) with scaled medical, diagnostic, consumable and administrative burdens.
≈50 human appearances significant per-event clinical and diagnostic workload increased consumables and administrative overhead
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#3, #4] 24/7 guard coverage (2 per shift, 3 shifts) plus rapid-response personnel and escort capability; vehicles support.
Research Scientist 2 [#12, #13] Anomalous-botany / neurology researchers dedicated to SCP-4151 research.
Laboratory Technician / Research Tech 1 [#12, #13] Lab support for sequencing, sample prep, and ongoing spot checks.
Medical Officer 2 [#6, #10] One full-time nurse/paramedic and part-time/on-call physician for stabilization and clinical oversight.
Monitoring Technician 1 [#5] CCTV and intrusion detection monitoring operator (supported by automated analytics).
Groundskeeper / Arborist 2 [#16, #17] Orchard maintenance, pruning, fruit control operations and seasonal work.
Administrative Staff 1 [#22, #25] Admin/records support for bimonthly census, chain-of-custody, and liaison paperwork.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#7, #19, #20] HVAC, quarantine room, generator and cold-storage maintenance support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Medium confidence: many fixed costs (security wages, quarantine HVAC, basic monitoring) are well-bounded; major uncertainties remain around incident frequency, per-incident clinical choices (outsourced vs in-house endoscopy), environmental compliance costs in Italy, and potential non-linear escalation if eradication or incineration is required.
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