SCP-4174 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4174
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
13
Initial setup including secure cells, HVAC, specialized medical/research equipment, and a large contingency is estimated at roughly $3.1M one-time; annual operations are driven by staff wages, security, and legal/oversight and are roughly $1.44M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #2, #16] Construction/modification of a blast/ballistic-rated containment cell (including furnishings/procedure room) and HVAC installation; includes a second standby cell mirroring initial cell costs.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#15] Emergency/quarantine/rapid expansion/neutralization contingency fund (conservative single-value used per analyst guidance).
Equipment $622K
[#3, #9, #10, #12, #13, #17, #19] Surveillance/sensor systems, autopsy/pathology equipment, on-site incinerator option, initial termination/euthanasia inventory, secure transport vehicle retrofit, decontamination kit, and server hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $289K
[#8, #22] Initial imaging/diagnostic equipment access or modest on-site imaging bench and secure cold/cryogenic sample storage (freezers/LN2 infrastructure).
Initial Training And Sop $35K
[#14] Initial formal SOP development, tabletop exercises, legal review, and hands-on training program setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #24] Two Level-3 security staff (coverage), 6 containment guards, part-time physician + medic, research lead + 2 technicians, plus ongoing hazard pay/turnover support.
Cover Story And Legal $158K/yr
[#20, #21] Legal counsel / public affairs / liaison / compensatory cover costs and ethics/oversight committee and compliance auditing.
Supplies And Consumables $80K/yr
[#11, #22, #23, #12, #25] PPE/consumables, LN2/reagent replenishment, per-termination forensic consumables, per-use euthanasia consumables, and miscellaneous administrative supplies.
Facilities Maintenance $62K/yr
[#2, #3, #17, #19] HVAC maintenance and filter replacement, surveillance/sensor maintenance, HazMat contractor retainer, and server/backup maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $25K/yr
[#7, #8, #14] Contract imaging runs / per-run experiment costs, sample processing, imaging sessions for aging studies, and annual refresher training costs folded into research monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#13] Vehicle fuel/maintenance for secure transport van and incidental transfer logistics.
Contract Disposal Per Event $0/yr
[#10] Item 10 offered either on-site incinerator (chosen in this estimate — one-time) or contracted per-event disposal; recurring contract disposal set to $0 here because on-site incinerator purchase is included.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, periodic experiments, no major containment incidents or emergency disposals.
routine births/monitoring scheduled experiments no breaches or emergency events
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small containment incident or temporary overpopulation requiring short-term overtime, contracted HazMat response, limited terminations and extra disposal events.
temporary overpopulation (short-term) localized breach or harassment limited external contractor engagement
🚨 Major Breach $3.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or rapid reproductive escalation requiring mass termination, major HazMat contractor deployment, large-scale disposal, PR/legal response, and partial facility replacement.
major containment breach mass termination/disposal events significant equipment replacement and external legal exposure
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#4] Two Level-3 security personnel required during experiments (coverage/rotation).
Security Guard 6 [#5] 24/7 containment guards (rotation) to staff cell access and perimeter duties.
Research Scientist 1 [#7] Senior researcher (lead) for aging experiments and oversight of studies.
Lab Technician 2 [#7] Technicians supporting experiments, sample processing, and imaging.
Medical Officer 2 [#6] Part-time physician and medic/EMT or RN for health checks, emergency sedation, and termination assistance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges so midrange estimates were used, but the object's anomalous reproduction and uncertain long-term behavior create material uncertainty (hence medium confidence). Large contingency included to partially mitigate tail risks.
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