SCP-4185 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-4185
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$2.1M
Annual recurring
$2.3M
Personnel
21
One-time setup and cover costs are modest (~$1.29M) with recurring annual operations driven primarily by staff wages and contingency, totaling roughly $2.27M/year; major cost drivers are security/research staff, contingency, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1M
Facilities $980K
[#1, #7, #8, #23] Includes site buyout/parcel control (optional), perimeter fencing/physical barriers, track resurfacing/cover-story repairs, and purchase/replication options for long-term relocation.
Site Buyout 300K $300K
[#1] Optional one-time buyout (alternative to recurring site control payments) cited in analyst notes.
Site Purchase Min $300K
[#23] Lower-bound estimate for outright purchase of school parcel (alternate relocation/purchase option).
Replicated Track Min $250K
[#23] Lower-bound estimate to construct a replicated secure track on Foundation property (alternate relocation option).
Legal Cover Setup $150K
[#19] One-time establishment of legal/cover structures, settlement reserve, and initial local-government liaison funding.
Equipment $140K
[#4, #6, #9, #10, #11, #17, #18] CCTV installation, secure communications hardware, vehicle purchases, backup generator/UPS, basic medical equipment/AEDs, audio/PA system, and initial IT security hardware.
Training Initial $20K
[#21] Initial SOP development and training for guards/researchers.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#2, #3, #13] Security patrols (12 FTE guards fully loaded), site supervisor and admin, and research team salaries (investigators, techs, clinician, data analyst).
Contingency Fund $225K/yr
[#22] Escalation/contingency reserve (~15% of operating costs) for unforeseen events, legal suits, relocations, or scale-up.
Research And Monitoring $202K/yr
[#5, #6, #12, #15, #24] Continuous video storage/archival, replacement/refresh of secure comm hardware, clinical testing per subject, incident forensics budget, and data-analysis/consultancy.
Insurance And Risk Management $100K/yr
[#25] Liability insurance and reserves for legal defense and indemnity.
Cover Story And Legal $95K/yr
[#1, #14, #19] Annual payments to school for exclusive access/NDAs, compliance/legal ongoing retainer, and liaison/cover operations.
Medical Services $50K/yr
[#11] On-call paramedic/EMS arrangements and readiness coordination.
Logistics And Transport $24K/yr
[#9] Vehicle fuel, insurance and maintenance/operating costs for patrol/rapid response fleet.
Recruitment And Participant Payments $20K/yr
[#14] Annual recruitment, subject compensation and related admin payments.
Psychological Aftercare $20K/yr
[#16] Counseling, PTSD treatment and long-term monitoring for affected subjects/witnesses.
It Support Updates $10K/yr
[#18] IT security support, updates and classification handling for sensitive data.
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#21] Recurring refresher training, tabletop exercises and SOP updates.
Facilities Maintenance $8K/yr
[#4, #10, #17] CCTV/NVR maintenance, generator fuel/maintenance, and audio/PA upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#20] Batteries, PPE, small replacements and consumables.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; ongoing site control, monitoring and research at planned staffing levels.
no major incidents standard testing cadence routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
One-off serious incident requiring additional investigation, short-term increased medical/legal support and temporary PR/legal measures.
single disappearance or adverse event forensic investigation required
🚨 Major Breach $3.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Significant containment complication or public exposure requiring property purchase/relocation, major legal response and expanded investigation.
public exposure need to purchase/secure site or build replicated facility
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $3.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Multiple serious incidents and/or major litigation + rapid scale-up of containment/research requiring relocation and significant emergency expenditures.
multiple disappearances major litigation or political exposure urgent relocation/scale-up required
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#2] Two-person patrols per shift with rotations/leave amounting to ~12 FTEs.
Security Supervisor 1 [#3] One site supervisor for scheduling, incident reporting and liaison.
Administrative Staff 1 [#3] One administrator for scheduling, records and local coordination.
Research Scientist 3 [#13] Principal investigators and lead researchers dedicated to SCP-4185 monitoring.
Lab Technician 2 [#13] Technical staff to run tests, maintain sensors and collect samples/data.
Medical Officer / Clinician 1 [#13] On-team clinician/psychologist included in research staffing (note: on-call EMS is a contracted service [#11]).
Data Analyst 1 [#13] Data analyst for video, telemetry and temporal anomaly analysis.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for wages, equipment, maintenance and legal/contingency, enabling a high-confidence accounting; remaining uncertainty derives from scenario probabilities and ranges for property purchase/scale-up.
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