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SCP-4186 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-4186
Expected annual
$4.3M
One-time setup
$7.4M
Annual recurring
$4.2M
Personnel
19
One-time capital and decommissioning costs are approximately $7.44M driven by facility purchase, sensors/UAV/lab kit, and a large crisis contingency reserve; annual recurring operations cost about $4.17M/yr driven primarily by staff wages, monitoring subscriptions and legal/PR/liaison costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.4M
Crisis Contingency Reserve $2.8M
[#27] Crisis contingency reserve for extraordinary neutralization attempts (geoengineering, large-scale interdiction) (one-time reserve midpoint).
Equipment $1.7M
[#2, #3, #5, #12, #13, #14, #15, #16, #21] Secure vault/ballistic safe, radar/sensor upgrades, UAV platforms, narcotics safe, evidence locker, vehicles, comms/IT setup, CCTV/access hardware, and evidence cataloging software (one-time hardware/software purchases).
Facilities $1.6M
[#1] Purchase and fit-out of a modest secure operations base near predicted GLADYS path (purchase option midpoint).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $750K
[#9] Laboratory analytical equipment and lab set-up (GC-MS, ICP-MS, mass spec, X-ray, microscopy, BSC).
Decommissioning $275K
[#29] Post-neutralization cleanup and demobilization / decommissioning costs (one-time).
Investigation $125K
[#20] Up-front translation/historical research and intelligence contracting during active investigation (one-time).
Public Cover Campaign $100K
[#18] Initial public cover/OPSEC campaign and staged messaging if required (one-time).
Initial Legal Setup $50K
[#17] Initial legal/regulatory setup, retained counsel onboarding and permit initiation (one-time).
Conservation One Time $10K
[#26] One-time conservation/restoration costs for culturally sensitive recovered items (estimated reserve).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.2M/yr
Staff Wages $2.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #16] Rapid response field team salaries and benefits, scientific research staff salaries, and guard force costs (annual payroll).
Cover Story And Legal $420K/yr
[#13, #17, #18] Legal/regulatory liaison and counsel retainer, PR and OPSEC ongoing efforts, and compliance/permits/liaison costs (annual).
Research And Monitoring $350K/yr
[#3, #4, #12, #20, #21] Sensor telemetry/feed maintenance, commercial satellite imagery subscription, forensic/drug testing budgets, ongoing intelligence/research budget, and related monitoring tasks (annual).
Logistics And Transport $242K/yr
[#6, #14] Aircraft charter hours and pilot retainer for on-call interception plus vehicle fuel and maintenance for field teams (annual).
Supplies And Consumables $208K/yr
[#5, #9, #10, #22] UAV maintenance/spares, laboratory consumables/QA, biosafety PPE and disposals, and specialized sampling consumables/postage (annual).
Decontamination Reserve $175K/yr
[#23] Budget reserve for environmental remediation / cleanup of landing sites (annual contingency reserve midpoint).
Insurance And Liability $175K/yr
[#14, #24] Insurance for vehicles, staff injury, property damage and broader liability reserve (annual).
Facility Lease $170K/yr
[#1] Alternative recurring lease cost for secure operations base (lease midpoint if not purchased).
Community Compensation $125K/yr
[#19] Payments to landowners for temporary access, easements, and recurring access fees (annual).
Eod Retainer $70K/yr
[#11] On-call EOD/hazardous-materials specialist retainer (annual).
Communications And It $65K/yr
[#15] Recurring comms/data hosting and satellite/data plan costs for secure comms and IT infrastructure (annual).
Training And Exercises $50K/yr
[#25] Annual training, drills, hazmat and evidence-handling exercises (annual).
Incident Documentation $35K/yr
[#28] Costs for redaction, FOIA management, record-keeping and leak mitigation (annual).
Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr
[#2] Climate control and monitoring for evidence vault / facility maintenance (annual).
Evidence Hosting $12K/yr
[#21] Hosting and backup costs for digital evidence cataloging and archival systems (annual).
Archive Storage $10K/yr
[#26] Long-term museum-grade storage/access for culturally significant recovered items (annual).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.2M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, recoveries, and no large incidents.
daily GLADYS events routine recoveries no significant contamination or legal escalations
🚨 Minor Incident $4.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small contamination or hazardous package requiring EOD callouts, extra remediation and legal/PR work.
EOD callout localized decontamination small-scale PR/legal response
🚨 Major Breach $4.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant contamination or multi-site events requiring broad remediation, replacement equipment, extended legal/liaison and PR operations.
widespread contamination multiple recoveries/responses major PR/legal escalation
🚨 Research Scale Up $5.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Decision to significantly expand research and containment capacity (new lab capability, hires, and specialized field assets).
need for advanced analysis policy decision to neutralize/scale research discovery of novel risk factors
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Rapid Response / Field Operative 10 [#7] Field operatives for recovery/cordon/recovery duties (standby shift staffing reflected in staff wages).
Research Scientist 4 [#8] Atmospheric scientists, chemists, and forensic analysts (specialist research staff accounted in staff wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#16] Guard force / security posts for facility access control (annual guard costs included in staff wages).
Administrative Staff 2 [#15, #17] Administrative, logistics and liaison support (scheduling, permits, contract management included in staff wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derived from analyst-provided ranges and midpoints; many line items are wide ranges (facility purchase vs lease, contingency reserve, incident costs) and contingent on posture choices, so confidence is medium.
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