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SCP-4192 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4192
Expected annual
$924K
One-time setup
$2.6M
Annual recurring
$897K
Personnel
5
Initial setup is capital-intensive (~$2.6M one-time) driven by precision vacuum, trapping and magnet/cryostat equipment plus contingency; annual operations are dominated by specialized staff wages and monitoring (~$897k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.6M
Equipment $2.0M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #9, #14] QED vacuum chamber, ion/particle trap, superconducting magnet/cryostat, vacuum pumps and bakeout infrastructure, RF monitoring hardware, redundant containment unit, and one-time data capture/storage hardware.
Contingency $338K
[#25] Project management overhead and contingency (15% of calculated one-time capital costs prior to contingency).
Facilities $190K
[#6, #7, #8] RF shielding / Faraday cage, high-value locker/vault integration, and facility modifications (power/grounding/HVAC/vibration isolation).
Backup Power And Ups $30K
[#19] One-time purchase and installation of UPS/generator capacity sized for pumps, cryocoolers, monitoring and critical control.
Decommissioning $30K
[#24] Decommissioning and disposal planning and equipment when/if retirement required.
Regulatory Licensing $15K
[#16] One-time filings, legal review and frequency coordination costs for initial approvals and registrations.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $897K/yr
Staff Wages $600K/yr
[#10] Salaries and benefits for lead scientist, RF engineer (0.5–1 FTE), 1–2 lab technicians and a vacuum/cryogenics technician (benefits included).
Security And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#11] Continuous electronic monitoring, intrusion detection, alarm/CCTV monitoring contracts and on-call security response.
Research And Monitoring $50K/yr
[#22] Annual replication/research budget for approved experiments, instrument time and analysis.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#12] Maintenance contracts and consumables for vacuum/cryogenic systems, periodic service and calibration.
Energy Costs $30K/yr
[#13] Electrical costs for pumps, cryocoolers/magnets, HVAC and servers.
Cover Story And Legal $21K/yr
[#16, #17] Ongoing legal counsel/compliance and cover/PR operational security costs.
Security Audits $15K/yr
[#21] Red team audits, RF leak testing, and scheduled containment security reviews.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#23] Secure transport and handling budget (per-move costs averaged into annual expectation).
Insurance And Liability $10K/yr
[#18] Institutional insurance adjustments and riders for anomalous experiments.
Emergency Drills $10K/yr
[#20] Emergency response training, drills, and external contractor fees.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#15] Experimental consumables and small instruments (cables, connectors, calibration items, PPE).
Data Storage And Compute $8K/yr
[#14] Recurring backup, archival storage and compute costs for high-resolution RF data and analysis.
Backup Power Maintenance $5K/yr
[#19] Annual service and fuel/maintenance for UPS/generator systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $897K/yr
92.5% probability / year
Routine year with no major incidents; normal research and operations.
no incidents planned experiments only
🚨 Minor Incident $1.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small containment/equipment incident (e.g., localized RF leakage, pump failure) requiring repair, emergency response and extra audits.
localized equipment failure minor RF leakage detected
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $1.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant positive research result triggers additional experiments and equipment purchases to scale experiments.
approved scale-up experiment funded expansion after breakthrough
🚨 Major Breach $2.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or catastrophic equipment loss requiring replacement, extended response, legal/PR and possibly relocation.
major containment failure catastrophic equipment loss regulated frequency interference leading to public exposure
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Lead Research Scientist 1 [#10] Senior researcher leading experiments and approvals.
Research Scientist / RF Engineer 1 [#10] RF engineering and signal analysis (0.5–1 FTE equivalent salary included).
Lab Technician 2 [#10] Bench technicians supporting experiments, vacuum work and routine maintenance.
Vacuum/Cryogenics Technician 1 [#10] Specialist for cryostat/magnet operations and UHV system servicing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on domain-typical pricing ranges for UHV/trap/cryogenic systems and facility operations provided in the analyst notes; optional items (superconducting magnet, cryogen usage, redundancy) and local vendor/service variance introduce moderate uncertainty.
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