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SCP-4224 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-4224
Expected annual
$6.2M
One-time setup
$19.4M
Annual recurring
$6.0M
Personnel
32
First-year one-time setup is estimated at roughly $19.4M driven by panopticon construction, lab upgrades, bespoke life-support, robotics and secure IT; recurring annual operations are roughly $6.0M/yr driven by staff wages, R&D, high-containment operations and consumables.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.4M
Facilities $11.0M
[#1, #4] Panopticon construction (255 cells, structural mods, observation galleries) and HVAC/HEPA/negative-pressure installation and hazardous-gas plumbing upgrades. Midpoint estimate used.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.0M
[#7] BSL-3/BSL-4 laboratory upgrades, containment lab buildout, decontamination systems and analytical capacity. Midpoint estimate used.
Equipment $3.1M
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #13, #15, #16, #20, #25] Bespoke life-support systems, UPS/generator purchase, RJ-O1 collection/storage hardware and remote manipulators, robotics/remote-handling gear, autoclave/incinerator purchase, conditioning/stimulus hardware, servers/storage, initial spares stock, and secure O5 terminal setup. Midpoint estimates summed.
Contingency Reserve $1.2M
[#21] One-time recommended contingency/reserve fund for major remediation or replacement after breaches; set-aside midpoint.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.0M/yr
Staff Wages $2.8M/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Medical staffing (physicians, nurses, respiratory therapists), dedicated security/tactical teams (multi-shift guards and supervisors), and containment researchers/technicians. Midpoint salary aggregates used.
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#7, #12, #23] Ongoing high-containment lab operational costs, routine biological surveillance/testing (staff & environment), and long-term R&D on RJ-O1/DR-O1. Midpoint recurring estimates summed.
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#11, #13, #20] PPE and decontamination consumables, recurring waste treatment/disposal, and replenishment of spare/consumable inventory. Midpoint recurring estimates used.
Facilities Maintenance $350K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #15, #16] Generator fuel & maintenance, HVAC filter replacement and testing, secure storage monitoring, robotics/equipment maintenance, conditioning infrastructure maintenance, and server/storage operational upkeep. Midpoint recurring estimates summed.
Cover Story And Legal $245K/yr
[#18, #25] Legal counsel, cover-story maintenance, OPSEC expenses and recurring SOC/certification/secure-terminal operations. Midpoint recurring estimates combined.
Logistics And Transport $110K/yr
[#14] D-Class sourcing, medical screening, transport, sedation/preparation pipeline costs (ongoing budget midpoint).
Lifecycle Transition Promotions $100K/yr
[#24] Budget for occasional promotion/turnover events (promoting a 4224-1 to SCP-4224, medical stabilization and upgrades). Frequency uncertain; provisioned as annual budget.
Psychological Care $90K/yr
[#19] Counseling and behavioral management services for staff and contained individuals; midpoint recurring estimate.
Training And Certification $75K/yr
[#22] Initial and annual recertification training for high-containment procedures; midpoint recurring estimate.
Incident Response And Contractors $60K/yr
[#17] Annual cost for incident response drills, emergency contractors and rapid-deploy containment kits; midpoint recurring estimate.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.0M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard operations, routine testing, and planned research; no major containment incidents.
normal_operations scheduled_research routine_testing
🚨 Minor Incident $6.3M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized contamination or equipment failure requiring targeted decontamination, overtime, limited temporary isolation and replacement of consumables.
localized_DR-O1_release PPE_breach equipment_failure
🚨 Major Breach $9.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Significant aerosolized DR-O1 release or multi-cell containment failure requiring mass decontamination, quarantine, asset replacement, and legal/evacuation expenses.
multi-cell_breach large_aerosol_release mass_contamination
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $7.2M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Discovery that RJ-O1/DR-O1 can be produced or applied at scale, prompting rapid scale-up investments and expanded staff/containment.
positive_R&D_results O5_directive_for_scale_up
🚨 Political Exposure $11.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Leak or external discovery leading to major legal, PR, relocation and bribery/cover-up expenses.
media_leak external_inspection O5-level_intervention
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
Medical Officer 12 [#8] Includes onsite physician(s), nurses, respiratory therapists and on-call intensivist coverage for 24/7 monitoring of SCP-4224 and routine care for 255 SCP-4224-1s. Headcount chosen to match recurring medical wage budget midpoint.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 [#9] Dedicated panopticon guards, perimeter security and rapid response teams across shifts; reflects midpoint of 12–20 guard estimate and associated recurring security budget.
Research Scientist / Containment Technician 4 [#10] Behavioral scientists, conditioning specialists and lab technicians performing conditioning, assays and sample processing; consistent with recurring research staffing budget midpoint.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derived from analyst ranges (many midpoints used). Reasonably detailed line items exist but wide ranges and uncertain frequencies (e.g., promotion events, breach probabilities, R&D scale) limit precision, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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