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SCP-4226 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4226
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$906K
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
9
Initial containment and equipment/setup costs are modest (~$0.9M one-time) while recurring annual costs are dominated by staffing, D-Class program overhead and MTF readiness, resulting in a ~ $1.66M/yr operating budget.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $906K
Replacement Loss Contingency $500K
[#26] Modeled contingency for loss/damage/recovery and large emergency/amnestics; scenario-dependent replacement/rescue costs.
Incident Response Fund $150K
[#19] One-time/reserve contingency fund to cover immediate unexpected expenses (equipment replacement, emergency relocation, etc.).
Equipment $85K
[#2, #6] CCTV/thermal/laser sensors, UPS/local logging hardware and remote manipulators/robotic tooling (hardware purchases).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#4] Specialty imaging and measurement equipment (high-speed cameras, thermal imagers, laser scanners, calibration and software licenses).
Facilities $44K
[#1, #5] Construct 5 m² lockable reinforced enclosure plus custom plumbing isolation/drip-capture (buildout + plumbing installation).
Legal Cover Remediation $30K
[#14] One-time payments for property owner compensation, front-company fees and removal cover story remediation.
Information Security Setup $20K
[#24] One-time IT hardening, air-gapped analysis workstation setup and memetic-mitigation consultancy/tools.
Amnestic Setup $20K
[#13] One-time procurement/setup for amnestic storage, secure cabinets and training to administer.
Artifact Preservation Kit $3K
[#21] Initial small-parts spares and preservation materials (mirror, basin repair materials, spare valve components).
Data Server Setup $2K
[#3] One-time secure on-site server procurement and configuration (separate from recurring cloud storage).
Ppe Initial Kit $2K
[#7] Initial PPE kit purchase (heat-rated gloves, face shields, flame-resistant garments, nitrile gloves, disposable kit).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $550K/yr
[#8, #9] Ongoing wages/benefits/overhead for continuous security coverage (multiple shifts) and dedicated research staff (lead + technicians).
D Class Program $550K/yr
[#11] D‑Class detention, transport, processing, on-site handling and program overhead for experiments (major categorical recurring cost if D‑Class testing continues).
Mtf Readiness $350K/yr
[#10] Annual allocation to maintain MTF Eta-20 readiness: training, equipment upkeep, transport availability and periodic drills.
Research And Monitoring $85K/yr
[#3, #17, #25, #18, #23, #24] Recurring data storage/cloud backups (~$1,200/yr), training/SOPs and drills (~$10k–$30k/yr), annual re-characterization/safety audits (~$10k–$30k/yr), psychological monitoring (~$15k–$40k/yr), secure records storage (~$3k–$10k/yr), and info-sec maintenance (~$10k/yr).
Medical Treatment $50K/yr
[#12] Annual reserve for burn treatment, emergency care and rehabilitation (~$50,000/yr recommended); per-incident costs are much higher if events occur.
Supplies And Consumables $32K/yr
[#7, #21, #22, #20] Annual replacement PPE (~$1,500), small-parts replacement (~$1,000/yr), experimental consumables and test apparatus fabrication (~$10k–$40k), and waste disposal (~$2k–$8k).
Amnestic Maintenance $20K/yr
[#13] Annual cost for amnestic doses, inventory replacement, storage and administration training.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#15] Transport/secure removal costs per transfer (estimated 1–2 transfers/year at ~$3k–$12k each).
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#2, #16] CCTV/sensor maintenance and storage costs (~$1,000/yr) plus HVAC/power/utilities for containment room (~$1,500–3,500/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing research program, continuous security, MTF readiness and D‑Class testing program active but no major incidents.
routine_testing no_major_incidents
🚨 Minimal Maintenance $566K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$-1090000 vs baseline
Site operated in hands-off minimal containment mode (no D‑Class testing, reduced research activity, reduced MTF standby).
research_paused no_D-class_use reduced_MTF_readiness
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized incident during testing requiring multiple hospitalizations, emergency amnestic doses and equipment replacement but no major breach.
testing_accident multiple_staff_injuries
🚨 Major Breach $2.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Severe containment failure or object damage requiring large-scale recovery, amnestic campaign, legal remediation and possible replacement/reconstruction.
object_damage large_scale_hospitalizations major_amnestic_campaign
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] Continuous guard coverage (multiple shifts) estimated at six personnel to provide 24/7 coverage with rotation.
Research Scientist 1 [#9] One full-time lead researcher overseeing SCP-4226 experiments and program management.
Research Technician / Engineer 2 [#9] One to two lab technicians/engineers supporting tests, instrumentation and daily operations (two assumed).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing mid-point estimates; uncertainty remains due to optional program choices (D‑Class usage, MTF reliance), wide cost ranges for contingencies and unpredictable incident frequency/severity.
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