SCP-4227 — SCP-4227 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4227 Keter ? low confidence

SCP-4227

Expected annual

$8.1M

One-time setup

$23.8M

Annual recurring

$7.8M

Personnel

Initial one-time capital costs are approximately $22.44M driven by heavy equipment (ROVs, MRAPs), lab and containment buildouts, and contingency reserves; annual recurring costs are approximately $7.48M driven by staff salaries, a reality-repair contingency reserve, and ongoing operations/maintenance.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $23.8M

Contingent Large Salvage Reserve $5.0M

[#19] Baseline one-time contingency/reserve for large deep-water salvage (per-event costs vary widely; reserve selected at lower-end of range).

Equipment $4.2M

[#3, #4, #7, #8, #12, #14, #17, #26, #29] Perimeter CCTV system (#3), monitoring center hardware (#4), guard armament/kit (#7), MRAP/armored transport purchase (#8), underwater ROVs & sonar suite (#12), diving/hazmat suits (#14), high-precision instrumentation (#17), communications equipment (#26), and data-handling setup (#29).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.0M

[#16] Permanent BSL-level research wing and dedicated wet/dry labs build-out (#16).

Submersible And Dive Support $2.2M

[#13] Manned submersible capability / dive support purchase or retrofit (one-time capital).

Facilities $2.0M

[#1, #18, #20, #24, #25] Perimeter electric fence installation (#1), secure storage/archive fit-out (#18), on-site incinerator (#20), backup power purchase (#24), and site roads/gates/housing build-out (#25).

Amnestics Lab $2.0M

[#21] One-time lab setup for Class-A amnestic production if not already available.

Mobile Bsl Unit $1.5M

[#15] Mobile BSL-3/4 decon/containment/isolation unit purchase and fit-out.

Contingency Reserve One Time $1.0M

[#33] Flexible capital contingency pool for unforeseen capital needs.

Site Infrastructure Buildout $750K

[#25] Roads, gatehouse and on-site housing build-out (capital).

Incinerator $500K

[#20] On-site incinerator capital purchase for corpse/contaminated gear disposal.

Cover Compensation Reserve $500K

[#22] Initial cover/compensation reserve for local government relations and incident compensation.

Backup Power Systems $100K

[#24] Generators, UPS and related secure power hardware purchase.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.8M/yr

Staff Wages $3.6M/yr

[#5, #6, #13, #16, #18, #21, #30] Camera monitoring personnel (#5), armed guards (#6), submersible/vessel crew (#13), permanent research wing staff (#16), archive staff (#18), amnestics administrative staffing (#21), and cataloguing/forensic personnel (#30).

Lambda5 Contingency Reserve $2.0M/yr

[#28] Rolling reserve accumulation for Lambda-5 reality-repair operations and specialized remediation events.

Cover Story And Legal $310K/yr

[#22, #23, #31] Ongoing local government liaison/PR and compensation budget (#22), legal retainer and incident legal costs (#23), and policing liaison/supplemental patrol funding (#31).

Mobile Bsl Ops $300K/yr

[#15] Operations staffing and consumables for mobile BSL-3/4 unit (recurring operations).

Contingent Rolling Reserve $250K/yr

[#33] Flexible recurring contingency pool for unforeseen annual needs (equipment, salvage prep, novel hazards).

Logistics And Transport $200K/yr

[#11] Helicopter/airlift standby contract (annual retainer/standby) and basic logistics support (#11).

Submersible Support Ops $200K/yr

[#13] Ongoing vessel crew, maintenance and operational support for manned submersible capability.

Helicopter Contract $200K/yr

[#11] Standby/helicopter contract retainer (annual).

Supplies And Consumables $155K/yr

[#9, #14, #20, #30] Ammunition/weapons consumables (#9), diving/wet-suit maintenance (#14), ongoing incineration/disposal operations budget (#20), and cataloguing consumables (#30).

Training And Drills $150K/yr

[#27] Regular training, live-fire ranges and simulation readiness costs.

Ammunition And Weapons Maintenance $100K/yr

[#9] Recurrent ammunition resupply, weapon servicing and consumables.

Facilities Maintenance $66K/yr

[#2, #25] Perimeter fence maintenance and electricity (#2) and site roads/gates/housing maintenance (#25).

Research And Monitoring $50K/yr

[#17] Calibration and maintenance for high-precision time/physics instrumentation (#17).

Archive Operations $50K/yr

[#18] Annual operations budget for secure storage/archive facility (utilities, climate control).

Communications Ops $40K/yr

[#26] Satellite/data links and comms maintenance/ops (recurring).

Psychological Support $40K/yr

[#32] Counseling, post-incident monitoring and staff mental-health services.

Diving Suit Maintenance $30K/yr

[#14] Maintenance and replacement budget for specialized diving/wet-suit and hazmat systems.

Backup Power Fuel Maintenance $30K/yr

[#24] Fuel and maintenance for generators/backup power systems.

Data Security $25K/yr

[#29] Ongoing operations, audits and cyberdefense for secure records and backups.

Mtf Deployment Per Event $0/yr

[#10] Mobilization cost per major breach (event-driven; typical per-event planning baseline ~$500,000). Annual expense handled in scenario modeling rather than as fixed recurring expense.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.8M/yr

76.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine operations, no major breaches or salvage events.

no breach events routine maintenance regular training and operations

🚨 Minor Incident $8.0M/yr

20.0% probability / year +$170K vs baseline

Single moderate containment breach requiring MTF deployment and limited emergency response.

localized breach of SCP-4227-A/B MTF deployment and helicopter support amnestics and additional consumables

🚨 Major Breach $13.5M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$5.7M vs baseline

Major breach with reality-damage requiring Lambda-5 remediation and extensive MTF operations.

severe SCP-4227-A reality-bending event Lambda-5 reality repair deployment extended salvage/recovery ops

🚨 Large Salvage Event $17.5M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$9.7M vs baseline

Rare, catastrophic salvage/recovery (e.g., full Boeing 777 recovery) or multiple concurrent breaches requiring multi-million-dollar salvage.

major deep-water salvage (airliner or large structure) widespread damage requiring extended remediation

👥 Personnel 49 total

Role	Count	Notes
Camera Monitoring Operator	12	[#5] 3 operators/shift × 3 shifts + relief/supervision; included in staff wages.
Armed Guard / Security Officer	16	[#6] Four guards on duty at all times; staffing assumes shifts and leave.
Research Scientist	5	[#16] Senior researchers allocated to SCP-4227 studies (5 @ ~$150k).
Research Technician	4	[#16] Lab technicians supporting research (4 @ ~$80k).
Archive / Inventory Specialist	4	[#18] Secure storage/archive personnel (budgeted staff pool).
Forensic / Cataloguing Staff	4	[#30] Cataloguing and forensic analysis personnel (recurring personnel budget).
Amnestics Administrator	1	[#21] Administrative staff for amnestic administration and records.
Submersible / Vessel Crew	3	[#13] Crew to operate/support manned submersible capability (recurring support budget).

📋 Confidence Notes

Many line items have wide ranges (salvage, Lambda-5 events, MRAP purchase vs lease) and event-driven costs dominate long-tail risk; estimates are assembled from analyst ranges but carry substantial uncertainty.

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