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SCP-4245 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4245
Expected annual
$11.2M
One-time setup
$17.2M
Annual recurring
$11.1M
Personnel
73
Initial capital needs are substantial (~$17.2M) driven by secure containment wing construction, owned MRI purchase, research program seed funding and litigation/reserve funds; annual operations are large (~$11.1M/yr) driven by staff wages, global field ops/travel, legal/PR and international liaison.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.2M
Facilities $5.0M
[#1] Secure containment wing buildout (holding, neuro-assessment, debriefing, secure evidence storage, HVAC/sound/video isolation and minor medical capability).
Equipment $3.5M
[#2] Dedicated MRI purchase and installation (3T scanner + siting/shielding/installation).
Long Term Research Program Initial $3.0M
[#27] Initial tranche for multi-year epidemiology & mechanism research program (personnel, equipment, oversight).
Countermeasure Development $1.5M
[#28] R&D seed funding for prophylactic/antagonistic countermeasures development.
Litigation Reserve $1.0M
[#25] Initial litigation reserve / indemnity fund for detainees or exposure lawsuits.
Emergency Surge Fund $1.0M
[#34] One-time rapid-response surge reserve for mass-exposure emergencies.
Forensic Media Ai Development $500K
[#20] Forensic media review team and AI model initial development to flag failure-celebration events.
Personnel Vetting Initial $500K
[#30] Initial costs for vetting, security clearances and counterintelligence for ~100 staff.
Field Vehicles And Tactical Equipment $400K
[#21] Purchase and outfitting of field vehicles, covert comms and tactical/forensic kits.
Database Licensing Development $275K
[#14] Database and case-management software initial development/licensing.
Mps Development $150K
[#13] Development and validation of MPS placement protocol and initial training/validation workshops.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#4] Laboratory equipment and instruments (ELISA readers, centrifuges, freezers) for biomarker assays.
Secure Communications Initial $125K
[#23] Initial procurement of encrypted phones, satellite comms and secure datalinks.
Backup Power Equipment $80K
[#24] Backup generators, UPS and site resilience hardware.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.1M/yr
Staff Wages $4.9M/yr
[#6, #7, #12, #16, #19] Clinical staff (neurologists, neuropsychologists, MRI techs, nurses), RTF Mu-3 operational staffing, medical oversight, content moderation FTEs, contact-tracing staff and associated benefits/overtime.
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#8] Field operations travel, deployments to competitions/conferences (flights, accommodation, per-diem, covert equipment).
International Liaison And Covert Contracting $800K/yr
[#18] Payments to local fixers, event staff, broadcasters and covert international liaisons.
Cover Story And Legal $750K/yr
[#17] Legal and public-relations retainers, international legal support for takedowns and litigation defense.
Research And Monitoring $500K/yr
[#13, #20, #27] Ongoing research, MPS refresher training, AI model maintenance and annotator costs, and multi-year study maintenance following initial tranche.
Witness Detention Logistics $500K/yr
[#10] Transport, short-term holding, PPE and food for detained witnesses.
Overhead $500K/yr
[#35] Utilities, janitorial, HR, finance and administrative overhead scaled to program size.
Psychological Aftercare And Compensation $400K/yr
[#31] Psychological aftercare, compensation and quiet settlements for released witnesses.
Covert Disruption Cover Ops $300K/yr
[#9] Covert disruption cover operations at conferences (fake QA reports, hired temporary staff/actors, payments).
Amnestic Acquisition And Administration $300K/yr
[#11] Class‑D amnestic procurement, storage, dosing and administration costs (example baseline ~1,000 administrations).
Insurance Premiums $300K/yr
[#26] Insurance and risk-mitigation premiums (political risk, liability, property).
Hosting And Cybersecurity $250K/yr
[#15] Ongoing hosting, SOC staffing, web-crawler maintenance and cyber threat-hunting for information suppression.
Public Health Coordination $150K/yr
[#33] Liaison and cover arrangements with public health authorities or plausible alternate explanations.
Vehicle Operating Costs $140K/yr
[#22] Fuel, maintenance, insurance and replacement for field fleet.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#5] Laboratory consumables, reagents, assay kits and testing operations (oxytocin assays, EEG consumables).
Training And Exercises $100K/yr
[#29] Annual containment drills, red-team exercises and legal/ethical training.
Secure Comms Service $60K/yr
[#23] Recurring service fees for encrypted comms, satellites and secure datalinks.
Archive Management And Disposal $30K/yr
[#32] Secure deletion/disposal services and archive management for recorded media.
Backup Power Annual $25K/yr
[#24] Fuel contracts and maintenance for backup generators and UPS systems.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Contracted Mri Scanning $0/yr
[#3] Contracted MRI scanning listed as an operational alternative; set to $0/yr in baseline assuming in-house MRI purchase (#2).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.1M/yr
89.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, containment and research activity.
routine_surveillance regular_research_activity standard_field_deployments
🚨 Minor Incident $11.6M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized, short-lived event requiring extra deployments, expedited amnestics and modest legal/PR actions.
single_mass_exposure_under_1000_people additional_travel_and_amnestics
🚨 Major Breach $14.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Significant multi-site exposure requiring surge response, large amnestic deployments, emergency labs and major PR/legal engagement.
multi_event_spread large_scale_media_exposure extensive_litigation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $18.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Widespread, high-visibility exposures requiring full global emergency response, major indemnities and multi-year research scale-up.
global_viral_event major_public_litigation political_exposure
👥 Personnel 73 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#7] RTF Mu-3 operational agents and field operatives for global monitoring and suppression.
Research Scientist 4 [#6, #13, #27] Psychologists/neuroscientists running MPS placements, research and protocol development.
MRI Technician 3 [#2, #6] MRI operation staff for in-house imaging and scans.
Medical Officer 3 [#12] Doctors/nurses for medical oversight, amnestic administration and post-administration monitoring.
Contact Tracer 30 [#19] Contact-tracing workforce for follow-up and exposure management.
Content Moderator 5 [#16] Human content moderation and takedown liaison staff for social-media suppression.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#21, #23, #24] Vehicle/IT/communications maintenance and backup power servicing.
Administrative Staff 6 [#14, #35] Administrative, HR, finance and case-management support for program operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, but many items (frequency of events, choice to buy MRI vs contract, litigation exposure) have wide ranges leading to moderate uncertainty in mid-to-long-term recurring costs.
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