SCP-4272 — SCP-4272 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4272 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-4272

Expected annual

$249.7M

One-time setup

$572.2M

Annual recurring

$248.1M

Personnel

1074

One-time capital and engineering costs (generator R&D, museum hardening and Faraday shielding, rollout) drive a large upfront bill (~$572M). Recurring costs are dominated by embedded agent salaries, insurance/indemnities, and monitoring/platform operations (~$248M/year).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $572.2M

Facilities $221.5M

[#11, #9, #18] Faraday/EM‑shielding across galleries (midpoint estimate $175,000,000), museum device audit & hardening (midpoint $43,750,000), and containment cell/site-level construction (midpoint $2,750,000). Total = $221,500,000.

Equipment $183.0M

[#2, #3, #8, #12, #19, #29] Per-site Gorton Field Generator manufacture & installation for 500 sites (500 × $250,000 = $125,000,000), non‑lethal/tranquilizer procurement (mid $6,500,000), CCTV reconfiguration hardware (mid $30,000,000), tactical team vehicle/equipment stand‑up (mid $6,500,000), and per‑site cybersecurity hardening hardware (mid $15,000,000) aggregated to $183,000,000.

Crisis Reserve Fund $100.0M

[#30] Crisis contingency reserve (one‑time funded reserve). Chosen mid/high funding to allow emergency suppression and large settlements; $100,000,000.

Youtube Cooperation Settlement $27.5M

[#13] One‑time negotiation/settlement or incentive to secure platform cooperation to alter recommendation behavior (midpoint $27,500,000).

Embedded Agent Startup $20.0M

[#7] Embedded agent startup & training: background cover creation, training, uniforms/comms for ~1,000 agents; midpoint $20,000,000.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $19.1M

[#1, #17, #28] Gorton Field Generator R&D and prototype development (mid $12,500,000), initial research program lab/build ($6,000,000), and forensic containment/quarantine lab buildout (mid $625,000) = $19,125,000.

Social Media Tooling $625K

[#15] Initial social‑media monitoring tooling & automated takedown tooling (midpoint $625,000).

Secure Archive $350K

[#16] Secure archive / digital sink initial build (midpoint $350,000).

Detainee Medical Equipment $125K

[#27] Initial specialized medical equipment for detainee management (midpoint $125,000).

Replacement Artwork Fabrication Seed Fund $0

[#20, #21] Fabrication of replacement artworks and provenance/cover paperwork are per‑incident; no single universal one‑time cost allocated here (handled via insurance/indemnities and scenario contingency).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $248.1M/yr

Staff Wages $129.0M/yr

[#6, #17, #18, #19, #15, #31] Embedded agents (1,000 agents × $120k = $120,000,000) plus research staff, tactical team salaries, containment-site staff, social/SOC analysts and internal audit/admin salaries aggregated to ~$129,000,000/year.

Insurance Indemnities Fund $50.0M/yr

[#22, #20, #21] Insurance indemnities, settlements and contingency reserve for replacements/settlements. Range $10M–$200M/year; conservative baseline reserve chosen $50,000,000/year to cover per‑incident replacement and settlements.

Cover Story And Legal $27.8M/yr

[#24, #25] Legal, diplomatic, cover‑up staff and liaison/bribe funds plus PR/disinformation operations aggregated (legal/diplomacy midpoint $25,000,000 + PR midpoint $2,750,000 = $27,750,000/year).

Visitor Screening And Policies $8.8M/yr

[#10] Visitor screening, lockers, signage and staff at ~ $10k–$25k/site/year; midpoint across 500 sites = $8,750,000/year.

Cctv Secure Storage $6.2M/yr

[#12] Recurring secure storage, audits and air‑gapped recording support (mid $12.5k/site × 500 = $6,250,000/year).

Logistics And Transport $5.0M/yr

[#23] Transportation, couriers and secure logistics contingency (midpoint estimate $5,000,000/year).

Research And Monitoring $3.1M/yr

[#17, #26, #28] Ongoing research program staff/consumables (mid ~$2,500,000) plus transcript/linguistic/psych monitoring teams and recurring forensic analysis (~$650,000) = $3,150,000/year.

Generator Maintenance $3.0M/yr

[#5] Scheduled maintenance, spare parts, amortized replacements for fleet (mid ~$3,000,000/year).

Tactical Teams Operational $3.0M/yr

[#19] Training, maintenance and readiness for rapid response teams (~$3,000,000/year midpoint).

Cybersecurity Recurring $3.0M/yr

[#29] Ongoing museum IT hardening/patching and monitoring (~$6k/site/year midpoint × 500 = $3,000,000/year).

Youtube Cooperation Maintenance $2.8M/yr

[#13] Ongoing platform cooperation/maintenance/account teams estimated midpoint ~$2,750,000/year.

Generator Energy $2.2M/yr

[#4] Energy/electricity for 500 Gorton Field Generators at midpoint ~$4,500/unit/year average? per‑unit midpoint $4,500 -> fleet ~$2,250,000/year. (Note range $1.5M–$3M).

Social Media Staff Ops $1.2M/yr

[#15] Ongoing SOC staff and ops for 24/7 monitoring and takedown (~$1.25M/year midpoint).

Auditing Compliance $1.2M/yr

[#31] Internal auditing, compliance and oversight teams (~$1,250,000/year midpoint).

Containment Cell Operations $650K/yr

[#18] Recurring staffing and operational costs for site containment ($300k–$1M/year; midpoint ~$650k/year).

Forensic Analysis Recurring $300K/yr

[#28] Recurring analysis and decontamination of teleported items (midpoint ~$300,000/year).

Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr

[#8] Consumables for tranquilizer/medical kits estimated at ~$200,000/year fleetwide.

Nonlethal Consumables $200K/yr

[#8] Annual consumables for tranquilizers/medical kits (explicit note: ~$200k/year).

Medical And Welfare $175K/yr

[#27] Medical and welfare recurring costs for detainee management (~$175,000/year midpoint).

Secure Archive Maintenance $125K/yr

[#16] Secure archive annual maintenance and chain‑of‑custody operations (~$125k/year).

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

[]

Youtube Covert Ops $0/yr

[#14] Covert/technical ops option cost range $250k–$3M/year; baseline assumes platform cooperation, so covert ops set to $0/year unless used in alternative scenario.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $248.1M/yr

83.0% probability / year

Normal operational year: rollout complete, embedded staffing, platform cooperation active, routine monitoring and maintenance only.

no major breaches platform cooperation remains effective routine maintenance and incidents only

🚨 Minor Incident $248.8M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline

Single‑site incident requiring replacement fabrication, targeted legal settlement, emergency logistics and local PR response.

single museum transference event local viral copy requires takedowns small settlement and replacement costs

🚨 Major Breach $322.9M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$74.8M vs baseline

High‑profile viral event or simultaneous multi‑site breaches requiring emergency suppression, large settlements, and major crisis spending.

viral irremovable content causing public/political exposure multiple simultaneous museum incidents platform cooperation breakdown

👥 Personnel 1074 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	1000	[#6] Embedded agents deployed to museums (2 per site × 500) forming the largest headcount; compensation included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist	10	[#17] Research staff supporting transference and device control studies; salaries included in staff_wages.
Social Media / SOC Analyst	20	[#15, #26] 24/7 monitoring and takedown analysts; salaries included in staff_wages.
Legal / Administrative Staff	10	[#24, #31] Legal, diplomatic and compliance staff supporting cover stories and oversight; salaries included in staff_wages.
Tactical Response Operator	20	[#19] Regional rapid‑response team operators; salaries included in staff_wages.
Site Director / Containment Staff	6	[#18] Staff for the dedicated containment site (medical, custody, site director); salaries included in staff_wages.
Engineer / Maintenance	4	[#5, #29] Fleet/IT/Generator maintenance engineers for equipment upkeep; salaries included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff	4	[#7, #31] Support staff for training, records, and internal audit functions; salaries included in staff_wages.

📋 Confidence Notes

Many line items are ranges (international coverage, unknown generator performance, and platform/cooperation uncertainty). Midpoint estimates used; contingency/reserve choices introduce discretionary judgment, so confidence is medium.

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