SCP-4286 — SCP-4286 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4286 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-4286

Expected annual

$19.1M

One-time setup

$13.1M

Annual recurring

$19.7M

Personnel

Initial capital program is large (~$13.1M) driven by lab, imaging and contingency buildout; ongoing annual costs are dominated by staff wages, research operations, and suppression/compensation budgets (~$14.8M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.1M

Facilities $6.0M

[#5, #19, #30, #34] Vault construction and physical upgrades (secure evidence vault, BSL upgrades, contingency reserve as held capital, and offline archive vault).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.5M

[#7, #14] Amnestic production lab and core biomaterials/tissue‑engineering research facility buildout and associated capital instrumentation.

Equipment $2.2M

[#16, #18, #23, #26] Purchase of specialized imaging, biobank/freezer equipment, mechanical testing gear and secure communications hardware.

Monitoring Software Integration $275K

[#1] Development, integration and initial legal/contract work to connect Foundation monitoring to hospital PACS/RIS and custom alerting for anomalous bone morphology.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $19.7M/yr

Staff Wages $4.5M/yr

[#4, #11, #15, #32, #17, #20] Aggregated salaries/benefits for MTF/security teams, assigned medical specialists (radiology/osteology), research PIs/postdocs/technicians, admin staff, imaging technicians and animal technicians.

Research And Monitoring $4.4M/yr

[#2, #15, #17, #18, #21, #22, #23, #20] Ongoing monitoring software hosting/licenses, research operations consumables and staffing, imaging service contracts, biobank supplies, surgical trial spending, immunology R&D, mechanical testing consumables and animal study costs.

Cover Story And Legal $3.2M/yr

[#12, #13, #26, #27, #28, #29] Legal suppression per-incident costs, ongoing influence/retainer budgets, secure communications maintenance, PR/misinformation campaigns, compensation/hush payments and training/paid honoraria for cooperating medical contacts.

Compensation And Hush Pool $1.5M/yr

[#28] Budget pool for buyouts, payments to cooperating personnel and record alterations.

Surgical Trial Costs $1.2M/yr

[#21] Operating room time, surgical teams and post-op care for implantation attempts (per-surgery operational costs).

Immunology R And D $1.2M/yr

[#22] Ongoing immunology work to address host rejection (drug trials, biologics research).

Public Relations And Misinformation $550K/yr

[#27] Paid press, sponsored research and fake case studies to defuse media attention.

Research Ops Non Wage $500K/yr

[#15] Research program non-salary operating costs (animals, consumables, bench fees) separated from salaries in staff_wages.

Rapid Response Mtf Non Wage $450K/yr

[#4] Non-salary rapid-response operational costs (vehicles, equipment replacement, training, on-call logistics) separated from salaries in staff_wages.

Training And Educational Outreach $300K/yr

[#29] Annual briefings, honoraria and covert CME-like courses for cooperating clinicians.

Contingency Allocation $250K/yr

[#30] Annual allocation to contingency/emergency reserve (separate from one-time held reserve).

Logistics And Transport $215K/yr

[#3, #25] Field confiscation operations (per-operation travel/lodging/local security) and secure/refrigerated courier transport for samples/devices.

Supplies And Consumables $188K/yr

[#31] Gloves, sterile packs, reagents, drugs, imaging contrast and general consumables.

Bsl Compliance And Utilities $150K/yr

[#19] Recurring utilities, compliance and upkeep for any required BSL upgrades.

Administrative Overhead Non Wage $150K/yr

[#32] Non-salary administrative costs (auditing, legal retainers, compliance) separated from admin salaries in staff_wages.

Secure Communications Maintenance $125K/yr

[#26] Ongoing encrypted comms, forensic countermeasures and covert record controls (recurring portion; hardware one-time in equipment).

Imaging Maintenance Non Wage $120K/yr

[#17] Service contracts, calibration and radiation safety costs excluding technician salaries (salaries in staff_wages).

Travel And Specialist Air Travel $115K/yr

[#25] Air travel for specialists, secure couriers and armored transport for high-risk items.

Psychological Services $90K/yr

[#33] Counseling for affected civilians and staff.

External Audit And Reviews $75K/yr

[#35] Periodic external/internal reviews of containment and concealment integrity.

Mechanical Testing Consumables $62K/yr

[#23] Consumables and small equipment replacements for materials characterization and testing.

Biobank Maintenance $60K/yr

[#18] LN2, freezer maintenance, backup power and inventory management recurring costs.

Facilities Maintenance $48K/yr

[#6] Secure evidence/device vault security staff, climate control, media migration and annual audits.

Disposal And Biohazard Handling $28K/yr

[#24] Biohazard waste handling and covert disposal for contaminated materials and carcasses.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $19.7M/yr

78.0% probability / year

Normal year with steady containment, routine research and suppression operations; no large public incidents.

no_public_leak standard_research_progress

🚨 Minor Incident $16.2M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$-3492500 vs baseline

Localized leak or viral footage requiring targeted confiscation, extra legal suppression, local MTF mobilization and additional hush payments/PR.

viral_footage localized_public_exposure

🚨 Major Breach $19.8M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$158K vs baseline

Large public breach or mass exposure requiring extensive emergency response, widespread amnestic administration, large hush payouts and contingency drawdown.

mass_exposure coordinated_media_exposure

🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $17.8M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$-1842500 vs baseline

Successful research indicates need to scale biomaterials production and containment research (rapid capital and hiring), increasing both one-time and recurring commitments within the year.

successful_implant_insight need_for_scale_up

👥 Personnel 38 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	18	[#4] Regional rapid-response operational team (on-call rotation; salary portion included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist	4	[#15] PIs and senior research staff funded through research program salaries (included in staff_wages).
Laboratory Technician	6	[#15, #23, #16] Bench technicians supporting biomaterials, mechanical testing and imaging work (salaries included in staff_wages).
Medical Officer / Radiologist / Osteologist	4	[#11, #10] Foundation-assigned clinicians conducting monthly exams and liaison work (salaries included in staff_wages).
Administrative Staff	3	[#32] Program managers, legal/HR/accounting support (wage portion included in staff_wages).
Imaging Technician / Radiology Tech	1	[#17, #16] Technician support for CT/micro-CT and imaging maintenance (salary included in staff_wages).
Animal Technician / Vivarium Staff	2	[#20] Animal care and vivarium technicians (salaries included in staff_wages).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are order-of-magnitude budgets derived from ranges in analyst notes; many recurring items depend on unknown affected-population size and incident frequency, so uncertainty is moderate.

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