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SCP-4292 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4292
Expected annual
$7.6M
One-time setup
$701K
Annual recurring
$7.4M
Personnel
13
Initial one-time setup and lab buildout are modest (~$701k), while annual recurring costs are dominated by a large contingency reserve and ongoing staffing, R&D, field ops and legal/cover costs (~$7.415M/yr). Main cost drivers are the emergency contingency fund, R&D/staff wages, field operations, and ongoing medical/monitoring obligations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $701K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $596K
[#7, #9, #10, #21, #22] Analytical chemistry equipment and assay capability, animal testing initial cohort/setup, controlled-substance scale-up lab buildout, initial cataloguing, and contingency pill stock.
Facilities $105K
[#1, #5, #27] Secure containment locker upgrades, isolation suite setup, and site hardening/CCTV/door upgrades.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.4M/yr
Emergency Contingency Fund $5.0M/yr
[#24] Large-scale intervention/reserve fund for mass dependency events or wide dissemination response.
Staff Wages $905K/yr
[#2, #3, #6, #8, #23] Security guard salaries (6 FTE), part-time containment tech, emergency medical call-out premiums, R&D team salaries, and mental-health support.
Research And Monitoring $520K/yr
[#9, #11, #14, #20, #25, #28] Ongoing animal care/testing, longitudinal medical follow-up/addiction medicine, SOP/training/ethics review overhead, monitoring/OSINT, information-security upkeep, and archive/audit compliance.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#17, #18, #19] Local media campaign, public cover/legal support and amnesticization budget, and witness management/safehouses.
Field Ops And Intel $300K/yr
[#15] Intelligence/field operations to locate/detain Person of Interest 'dado' (domestic and overseas deployments).
Lunar Liaison $100K/yr
[#16] Lunar Area-32 liaison/coordination contingency and marginal tasking costs.
Logistics And Transport $70K/yr
[#4, #26] Secure transfer (armored vehicle/per-transfer budget) and animal/zoonotic transport/capture logistics.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#12, #5] PPE/decontamination consumables and medical observation consumables.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $10K/yr
[#13] Incineration/neutralization and hazardous pharmaceutical waste disposal per-year budget.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.4M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine testing, monitoring, and ongoing operational costs.
no breach no large-scale public exposure standard testing tempo
🚨 Minor Incident $7.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small theft attempt, targeted theft/attempted diversion, or localized containment incident requiring overtime, replacements, and legal action.
attempted theft localized breach targeted theft by dependent individual
🚨 Lunar Recovery $9.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Person-of-Interest 'dado' must be recovered from lunar assets/Area-32, requiring significant off-world tasking and extraction costs.
POI located off-world lunar extraction required international/lunar legal/ops escalation
🚨 Epidemic Dependency $17.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Widespread public dissemination leading to mass dependency, requiring mass capture/care operations, large-scale amnesticization and reserve drawdown.
widespread public exposure rapid black-market distribution epidemic of dependency
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#2] Two guards per shift, three shifts with overlap = 6 FTE assigned during active handling/transfers.
Containment Technician 1 [#3] One part-time containment tech (0.25 FTE) for inventory, handling and test prep; represented as one assigned role.
Research Scientist 3 [#8] Medicinal chemistry / pharmacology R&D team: 1–2 chemists + 1 pharmacologist.
Medical Officer 2 [#6, #11] Emergency medical staffing for tests (ER physician/anesthetist + ICU nurse support) and ongoing addiction medicine follow-up staffing.
Veterinary / Animal Care 1 [#9] Vivarium/animal testing support staff for ongoing animal studies.
Psychologist / Mental Health 1 [#23] Staff mental-health support and CISM for personnel exposed to testing effects.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and many explicit estimates, but several items have wide ranges (laboratory scale-up, lunar operations, and the contingency reserve) that dominate totals, producing moderate uncertainty.
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