SCP-4382 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4382
Expected annual
$23.4M
One-time setup
$137.3M
Annual recurring
$22.3M
Personnel
98
Initial setup dominated by large one-time relocation, contingency and capital costs (~$137.3M); recurring costs driven by ongoing staffing, monitoring, censorship and legal/PR operations (~$22.26M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $137.3M
Civilian Relocation $60.0M
[#13] Direct compensation and relocation for displaced residents (300-household moderate scenario estimate).
Decommissioning Remediation $30.0M
[#28] Long-term decommissioning, remediation and community reintegration contingency (if neutralization/shrink).
Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#22] Reserved fund for escalation/kinetic containment options and large-scale interventions.
Infrastructure Compensation One Time $10.0M
[#14] One-time compensation / road repairs / utilities and infrastructure remediation.
Outpost Construction Or Lease $6.0M
[#1] Hardened outpost construction (or equivalent retrofit/lease buy-in) including housing, decon, med bay, generator, hardened comms and limited lab space.
Mtf Equipment $2.0M
[#4] Armored vehicles, breaching gear, containment pods and specialist MTF kit.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M
[#16] Initial lab build-out and specialized non-visual analysis equipment for research program.
Surveillance Sensor Procurement $1.8M
[#7] Acoustic arrays, seismic, radar, thermal and other non-visual sensor purchase and deployment.
Vehicles Procurement $1.8M
[#19] Patrol trucks, armored transport vehicle purchase.
Comms It Infra $750K
[#9] Encrypted satcom, fiber runs, redundant servers and air-gapped backups.
Drone Fleet Procurement $625K
[#8] Non-visible-video drones with LIDAR/radar/audio samplers and retrieval capability.
Legal Setup $600K
[#10] One-time legal/contract setup for censorship, no-fly orders and imagery contracts.
Power Systems One Time $450K
[#20] Generators, tanks and redundant power infrastructure.
Perimeter Control $300K
[#2] Checkpoints, gates, blockades, concrete berms and access-control infrastructure (~6-12 sites).
Security Equipment Initial $300K
[#3] Initial weapons, armor, equipment issue for site guards.
Secure Sample Storage One Time $300K
[#17] Climate-controlled vaults, chain-of-custody systems and specialized containment for samples.
Software Development $300K
[#24] Initial development of custom signal processing, archival and AI filtering software.
Medevac Kit One Time $200K
[#21] One-time medevac / hazmat kit procurement.
Initial Surveying $125K
[#15] Initial geospatial and field survey campaigns, buoys/marker installation.
Medical Equipment $100K
[#5] Emergency surgery kit, sedative stocks, psychiatric monitoring gear initial procurement.
Facilities $0
[]
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $22.3M/yr
Staff Wages $9.3M/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #16, #15, #24, #25, #6] Aggregated fully-burdened wages and benefits for site security, MTF operators, medical/psychiatric staff, core research personnel and associated analysts/techs.
Satellite Censorship $3.0M/yr
[#10] Ongoing costs for airspace/satellite censorship, national-level coordination and imagery suppression.
Infrastructure Losses Compensation Annual $2.0M/yr
[#14] Annual compensation / lost-revenue remediation for businesses, farmland and utilities.
Cover Story And Legal $1.5M/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing PR/disinformation, legal administration and rapid-response takedowns; excludes hush funds/insurance.
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#19, #21] Fuel, vehicle maintenance, supply convoys and medevac standby costs (operational transport).
Insurance And Hush Funds $1.0M/yr
[#23] Insurance premiums where applicable and discretionary off-books payments.
Local Infrastructure Support $1.0M/yr
[#26] Grants, local jobs and political buy-in payments to sustain cooperation.
Medevac Contracts $700K/yr
[#21] Standby medevac/ambulance/hazmat contracts and vendor fees.
Data Analysis Annual $425K/yr
[#24] Ongoing signal-processing, AI model maintenance and archival operations.
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#15, #16, #24] Field campaigns, sensor redeployment and non-staff research operational costs.
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#1, #2, #19, #20] Building and perimeter upkeep, checkpoint upkeep, vehicle depot and generator servicing.
Comms Bandwidth $275K/yr
[#9] Bandwidth, hosting, sysadmin and telemetry ingestion costs.
Training And Drills $250K/yr
[#25] Regular joint exercises, travel and overtime for interagency coordination.
Sensor Maintenance $225K/yr
[#7] Calibration, maintenance and data-analysis support for non-visual sensor suites.
Drone Ops $200K/yr
[#8] Drone operations, repairs, spare parts and fuel.
Power Fuel Servicing $175K/yr
[#20] Fuel contracts and generator servicing.
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#18] PPE, sedatives, batteries, audio stimulators and regular consumables resupply.
Perimeter Maintenance $100K/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance and upgrades for staffed checkpoints and barriers.
Sample Storage Annual $60K/yr
[#17] Climate control, security and chain-of-custody costs for archived samples.
Long Term Care $0/yr
[#27] Reserved estimate for permanent-exclusion lifecycle costs (set to 0 in baseline; long-term care scenario would add recurring costs).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $22.3M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major breaches or political exposure; contains ongoing monitoring, staffing, censorship and legal/PR activity.
steady_monitoring no_major_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $24.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized containment event (small breach/medical surge) requiring extra MTF deployments, repairs, overtime, and PR/legal rapid-response.
localized_loop_spike small_breach medical_evacuations
🚨 Major Breach $82.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Significant escalation: rapid expansion or destructive event requiring large-scale relocation, expanded legal settlements and major remediation.
rapid_expansion explosion_at_point_alpha mass_civilian_exposure
🚨 Political Exposure $42.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Discovery or leak escalates to public/political awareness requiring national-level intervention, large hush/settlement payouts and extended censorship contracts.
major_leak media_investigation satellite_imagery_breach
👥 Personnel 98 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Site Guards 36 [#3] 3-shift staffed perimeter force (12 guards/shift = 36 total) per analyst note.
Rapid Reaction / MTF Operators 24 [#4] 2 MTF teams (≈12 operators each) held at readiness for entry/retrieval and escalation.
Research Scientist 10 [#16] Physicists, neuroscientists and materials scientists for small dedicated research program.
Research Technician / Data Analyst 6 [#24, #7] Data analysts and techs for signal processing, sensor management and non-visual data pipelines.
Medical Officer 5 [#5, #21] On-site medics, psychiatrist/neurologist and psych techs for paired-team monitoring and emergency response.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#20, #19] Generator, vehicle and sensor systems maintenance staff.
Logistics / Drivers 6 [#19] Drivers and logistics personnel for patrols, supply convoys and fuel runs.
Administrative Staff / HR / Legal Liaison 4 [#6, #11, #12] HR for pairing program, PR/legal liaisons and administrative support.
Outpost Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1] Site director / executive oversight for Outpost 4382.
Security Supervisors / Shift Leads 2 [#3, #4] Senior leads responsible for guard rotations and coordination with MTF.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates based on analyst ranges and on-canon containment requirements; large uncertainties remain around civilian compensation scale (#13), the frequency of censorship/national-cooperation costs (#10), and escalation probabilities for anomalous behavior.
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