SCP-4383 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4383
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$1.3M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
10
One-time setup costs of $1,315,000 driven primarily by an amnestic capacity build and facility/equipment setup; annual recurring baseline is $1,840,000/yr driven by staff wages, diplomatic/legal/cover obligations, and amnestic replenishment and readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M
Amnestics Capacity Build $1.0M
[#14] One-time buildout of amnestic/memetic countermeasure manufacturing/acquisition capacity.
Facilities $150K
[#1] Reinforcement and covert access modifications to Shiramine Shrine burial chamber; one-time structural/setup cost.
Equipment $125K
[#7, #9, #11, #13] Ritual equipment procurement ($20k), sensor/surveillance install ($50k), cold-chain storage unit ($25k), hazmat kit ($30k).
Backup Power Systems $40K
[#10] UPS/genset and emergency systems one-time procurement and installation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $840K/yr
[#2, #19, #20, #3] Two undercover agents and benefits ($200k), nationwide readiness/extra staffing ($500k), cultural consultants/historians ($100k), Onryō Protocol coordinator/admin support ($40k).
Cover Story And Legal $450K/yr
[#15, #16, #24] Cover story/shrine upkeep payments ($50k/yr), domestic legal team & secure communications ($150k/yr), covert discretionary/influence fund ($250k/yr).
Diplomatic And Liaison $200K/yr
[#6] Diplomatic/liaison and treaty-maintenance budget with Imperial Household Agency/JSDF/national contacts.
Amnestics Replenishment $200K/yr
[#14] Annual replenishment, training and distribution capability costs for amnestics/memetic countermeasures.
Logistics And Transport $48K/yr
[#4, #8, #22] JSDF volunteer provisioning/compensation and travel ($30k/yr), Ine Bay water collection logistics ($3k/yr), rapid-deployment transport/vehicle upkeep ($15k/yr).
Risk Modeling And Consultants $25K/yr
[#25] External actuarial/risk analysis, insurance-like arrangements and third-party consultants.
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#21] Annual joint rehearsals with JSDF volunteers, priests, and agents; travel and simulated emergency exercise costs.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#1, #10, #11] Annual maintenance and restoration of shrine modifications ($10k), backup power maintenance/fuel/test runs ($3k), cold-chain energy/calibration ($2k).
Research And Monitoring $15K/yr
[#9, #23] Sensor data/storage/monitoring ops ($5k/yr) and translation/documentation/archival costs ($10k/yr).
Medical Extraction And Transport $10K/yr
[#5] Annual sterile medical extraction, secure cold-chain transport and associated consumables/security for 1L of Emperor's blood.
Medical And Psych Support $10K/yr
[#12] Medical and psychological support for volunteers and agents (pre/post checks, counselling, PTSD support).
Supplies And Consumables $7K/yr
[#7, #13] Ritual equipment upkeep ($2k/yr) and hazmat consumables/replacements ($5k/yr).
Contingency Response Per Incident $0/yr
[#17] Per-incident contingency response fund (immediate mobilization) estimated at $5,000,000 per major incident; held as an event-specific reserve and accounted for in incident scenarios.
High Severity Reserve Per Event $0/yr
[#18] Worst-case disaster mitigation reserve (~$50,000,000 per worst-case event); treated as per-event reserve and considered in catastrophic scenario calculations.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
95.8% probability / year
Normal year with standard protocol enactment or no Fukushū Event; only baseline recurring operations and reserves maintained.
no_event_or_successful_protocol standard_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $2.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized protocol disruption or partial failure requiring regional mobilization, limited amnestic use and discrete cleanup.
interrupted_ceremony localized_manifestations
🚨 Major Incident $7.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.5M vs baseline
Failed Onryō Protocol requiring nationwide mobilization, large amnestic deployment and major containment/cleanup operations.
failed_protocol nationwide_manifestations large_containment_response
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $56.8M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$55.0M vs baseline
Worst-case event where the 24-hour national disaster occurs requiring large-scale disaster mitigation, infrastructure repair and long-term remediation.
protocol_left_incomplete full_scale_national_disaster
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#2, #19] Two undercover agents posted in the foyer (2) plus additional nationwide readiness/extra staffing (~6) funded under the nationwide readiness line item.
Cultural Consultant / Anthropologist 1 [#20] Cultural consultants/historians to advise on protocol accuracy and liaison duties.
Protocol Coordinator / Administrator 1 [#3] Operational staff to coordinate Onryō Protocol logistics, ceremony admin and documentation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are derived directly from analyst-provided line-item estimates and the SCP text; recurring and one-time items are enumerated. Uncertainty remains in annual incident probabilities and per-incident reserve drawdowns (items #17/#18), so confidence is medium.
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