SCP-4385 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4385
Expected annual
$8.2M
One-time setup
$27.1M
Annual recurring
$8.1M
Personnel
32
Upfront capital costs are substantial (monitoring hardware, regional forensic centers, labs, vehicles, and a contingency seed) totaling tens of millions; recurring operational costs (staffing, telemetry, legal cover, lab services, and OPSEC) are on the order of several million per year, driven mainly by staff wages and continuous phone-monitoring infrastructure.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $27.1M
Nationwide Telecom Hardware $10.0M
[#1] Covert DPI boxes, SIP probes, fiber taps and appliances to instrument major PSTN/cellular/VoIP exchanges across North America; installation complexity drives cost.
Regional Autopsy Centers $5.0M
[#9] Build-out of 3–6 regional secure autopsy/forensic removal suites (negative-pressure rooms, morgue bays, decon).
Contingency Seed Fund $5.0M
[#22] Seed contingency/catastrophic-response reserve to be held for extraordinary incidents or legal sink costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.6M
[#13, #14] Initial purchase and installation of advanced materials analysis equipment (SEM, mass spec, XRD/XRF) and initial research-program setup costs.
Phone Crawler Software $1.2M
[#2] Development and initial deployment of phone-crawler software, ML voice classifiers, alerting and number databases.
Redundancy Initial $650K
[#19] Geographic backup monitoring centers, redundant comms and disaster-recovery infrastructure (initial build).
Sigint Kit $600K
[#5] Field SIGINT/signal-tracing kits: IMSI-catchers alternatives, RF analyzers, portable SIP tracers and spares.
Evidence Vaults Initial $600K
[#12] Initial construction of climate-controlled, shielded evidence vault(s) with alarm/physical security.
Cybersecurity Initial $600K
[#18] Initial hardening, red-team audits and OPSEC setup for monitoring infrastructure.
Vehicles Purchase $550K
[#8] Purchase/fitting of 3–5 armored/secure vans and mobile lab/forensic/refrigerated transport vehicles.
Public Health Planning $150K
[#25] One-time preparedness planning for multi-exposure/mass-casualty coordination with public-health/EMS partners.
Training Initial $125K
[#20] Initial curriculum and certification program development for field medical/forensic teams.
Facilities $0
[]
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.1M/yr
Staff Wages $3.6M/yr
[#6, #14, #13, #3, #18, #23] Salaries, benefits and hazard pay covering MTF Pi-1 roster, research staff, monitoring analysts, lab technicians, cybersecurity/OPSEC staff and minimal admin/liaison support.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#3, #24] Ongoing phone-monitoring compute, storage, long-term archives, model retraining, and non-wage data/licensing costs (excludes staff wages included in staff_wages).
Cover Story And Legal $700K/yr
[#4, #15, #16] Telco liaison retainer, legal cover costs, PR/cover-up retainer and averaged per-incident settlement/compensation and local law-enforcement engagement.
Cybersecurity Ops $600K/yr
[#18] Ongoing OPSEC, red-team testing, SIGINT stealth ops and secure communications operations.
Contingency Replenishment $500K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment allocation to maintain contingency reserve after occasional draws for major incidents.
Supplies And Consumables $275K/yr
[#10, #11, #17, #13] Forensic disposables, PPE, OR consumables per-victim averaged across expected incidents, mortuary per-body holding costs and hazardous-waste disposal contracts.
Facilities Maintenance $250K/yr
[#8, #9, #11, #12] Vehicle maintenance & fuel, autopsy center maintenance, mortuary facility overhead and vault upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#7, #8, #23] Annual average of field deployment travel, fuel, aircraft charters for distant calls and cross-border operation travel costs.
Cross Border Operations $200K/yr
[#23] Foreign liaison, legal cross-border operations, travel and local facility use averaged annually.
Training And Certification $175K/yr
[#20] Regular training, recertification and exercises for pathology teams, MTF and evidence techs.
Redundancy Ops $125K/yr
[#19] Ongoing costs for backup centers, redundant power and failover testing.
Psychological Support $125K/yr
[#21] Counseling, resilience training and memetic safety briefings for monitoring/operators and field teams.
Database Maintenance $60K/yr
[#24] Ongoing maintenance of tech-support numbers database, dynamic blacklisting, data licenses and heuristics.
Public Health Coordination $50K/yr
[#25] Ongoing coordination and preparedness activities with hospitals/EMS for multi-exposure responses.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.1M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, staffing and maintenance; incident frequency low and covered by regular budgets and reserve replenishment.
routine_monitoring scheduled_training no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $8.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
One or a few local SCP-4385 manifestations requiring field deployment, a complex forensic autopsy and modest cover-up actions.
single_local_manifestation field_deployment forensic_extraction
🚨 Major Incident $10.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
High-profile case (multiple victims or complex anomalous material) requiring extended forensic work, legal settlements, heavy PR, and use of contingency funds.
high_profile_death complex_extraction legal_settlements
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $20.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline
Mass-exposure or major public leak requiring emergency mass-response, full contingency draw, international operations and extensive legal/PR remediation.
mass_exposure major_leak cross-border_crisis
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Agent / Security Officer 12 [#6] On-call Mobile Task Force (Pi-1) roster for 24/7 response; salaries/hazard pay included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 5 [#14, #13] Multi-disciplinary research team (neuroscience, memetics, telecoms, materials) partially funded from research budget; included in staff_wages.
Monitoring Analyst / Data Engineer 8 [#3, #2] Analysts and engineers who validate detections, label data and maintain ML models; wages included in staff_wages.
Lab Technician / Forensic Tech 3 [#13, #10] Technicians supporting advanced materials analysis and autopsy prep; included in staff_wages.
Cybersecurity / OPSEC 2 [#18] Staff responsible for securing monitoring infrastructure and OPSEC; wages included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer / Pathologist 1 [#10, #11] Senior medical/pathology staff to oversee autopsies and hazardous removals; included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff / Liaison 1 [#4, #23] Admin, legal liaison and telco-coordination support; included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many quantified ranges enabling midpoint estimates, but incident frequency, covert installation complexity, legal costs and contingency draw probabilities are uncertain; model therefore has moderate confidence.
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