SCP-4400 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4400
Expected annual
$17.0M
One-time setup
$19.8M
Annual recurring
$16.8M
Personnel
162
Initial one-time setup and containment infrastructure are estimated at roughly $19.8M driven by vaults, vehicle/aircraft acquisition, robotics and an incident reserve; ongoing yearly operations are roughly $16.8M driven primarily by staff wages, security, MTF readiness, research and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.8M
Incident Response Reserve $10.0M
[#19] Liquid contingency/reserve for emergency containment, mass amnestic operations, legal fallout and large-scale incident response.
Equipment $5.5M
[#6, #9, #12, #13, #17, #18] Perimeter/surveillance hardware, radiation and portable instrumentation, robotics/ROV purchase program, high-resolution mapping hardware, fleet and helicopter acquisition, and secure communications setup.
Facilities $2.5M
[#5, #7, #10, #14, #27] Welding covers installation, power infrastructure civil works, decontamination modular facility, lead-lined containment vault construction, and initial tunnel/structural engineering work.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#15, #21, #22, #26] Archaeological lab equipment and consumables, forensic clean-room / lab buildout, initial conservation program, and initial secure research/data archival server setup.
Amnestic Stockpile $500K
[#16] Initial production/procurement and secure stockpiling of Class B amnestics for embedded personnel and contingency campaigns.
Waste Handling One Time $200K
[#11] One-time expenditures for initial radioactive waste handling, transport prep and start-up of licensed disposal contracts (lab-scale baseline).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.8M/yr
Staff Wages $9.0M/yr
[#1, #3, #15, #30] Salaries, payroll taxes and benefits for covert park staff/cover employees (~75 FTE), security guards (~72 FTE), embedded archaeological researchers (~9 FTE) and core on-site operational staff.
Research And Monitoring $2.4M/yr
[#6, #9, #12, #13, #15, #21, #28, #29, #8] Ongoing surveillance telemetry/processing, instrument calibration/service, robotics maintenance, mapping data processing/storage, archaeological analysis costs, forensic operating costs, high-level physics/theoretical research program, psychological effects research, and radiation-protection program recurring costs (dosimetry, training, medical screening).
Logistics And Transport $1.6M/yr
[#4, #17, #12] MTF Xi-Kai baseline readiness and logistics, annual aircraft flight operations and helicopter support, and field vehicle operations/fuel for response and transport.
Facilities Maintenance $820K/yr
[#5, #7, #14, #24, #27] Annual maintenance and utilities for welded covers and access points, generator/UPS/solar upkeep and fuel, vault HVAC/monitoring, public-trail and local infrastructure upkeep, and periodic structural/tunnel maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#2] Diplomatic, legal retainers, treaty administration, black-budget assistance payments and liaison costs to maintain the operating-treaty and local agency cooperation.
Administrative Overhead $550K/yr
[#30] Site director, classified accounting, procurement, HR and administrative support costs (non-wage overhead represented separately from direct staff wages).
Long Term Healthcare Reserve $350K/yr
[#20] Ongoing mental health care and radiation-related long-term healthcare reserve for exposed personnel.
Local Compensation $300K/yr
[#25] Annual compensation, relocation or secrecy payments for displaced or affected local civilians.
Waste Handling Recurring $250K/yr
[#11] Annual radioactive waste transport, disposal fees and licensed storage for routine sampling and small-volume waste.
Security Equipment $200K/yr
[#3] Recurring equipment, uniforms, armaments and small equipment replacement for guarded posts.
Training And Drills $200K/yr
[#20] Regular MTF and archaeology training, radiation and amnestic protocol drills.
Supplies And Consumables $110K/yr
[#10, #22, #9] Decon consumables and laundering, conservation consumables, and minor replacement radiation instrument consumables.
Amnestic Maintenance $100K/yr
[#16] Annual quality control, storage, shelf-rotation and limited production/maintenance costs for Class B amnestic stockpiles.
Surveillance Operations $100K/yr
[#6] Operations/telemetry costs for CCTV, tamper sensors, seismic/RFID feeds and secure telemetry to Site-484.
Communications $100K/yr
[#18] Encrypted radio networks, satellite airtime and comms maintenance.
Conservation Ongoing $75K/yr
[#22] Ongoing conservation, climate control and specialist conservator time for recovered artifacts.
Data Archival Upkeep $35K/yr
[#26] Secure research data archival, offsite backups and server upkeep.
Public Relations $0/yr
[#23] Public relations / tourist management is treated as a subset of the Site control/cover budget in #1; direct incremental recurring cost included within site control staffing/operations.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.8M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, scheduled deployments and no major containment incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $17.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or exploratory accident requiring extra MTF deployments, limited medical evacuations and targeted amnestic use.
small_breach single_mtf_deployment limited_amnestics
🚨 Major Breach $24.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$7.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or large exposure event requiring mass amnestic operations, major recovery/cleanup, legal response and reserve drawdown.
large_breach mass_exposure major_recovery_and_cleanup
👥 Personnel 162 total
Role Count Notes
Park employees / Cover staff 75 [#1] Covert park staff (rangers, guides, maintenance, ticketing) embedded as Foundation operatives; headcount and fully-burdened wages included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 72 [#3] Foundation guards posted at sequestered buildings (12 posts, multiple shifts); wages included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 9 [#15] Archaeologists and specialists embedded in operations; wages included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff 6 [#30] Site director / HR / procurement / accounting support counted in staff_wages; additional administrative overhead is captured separately.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and canonical containment requirements; many items have wide ranges (staffing levels, reserve needs, vehicle/aircraft choices) and overlap between cover/subset budgets, so figures are approximate but grounded in line-item estimates.
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