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SCP-4401 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4401
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$14.7M
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
11
Initial one-time setup dominated by contingency and potential decommissioning reserves (~$14.7M), with recurring staffing and operational costs (~$1.5M/yr); major cost drivers are personnel, research/lab buildout, contingency reserves, and possible MTF deployments during eclipses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.7M
Decommissioning Contingency $10.0M
[#25] Project-level contingency for full removal/relocation or permanent shuttering (very rough lower-bound estimate $10,000,000).
Public Safety Contingency $2.0M
[#19] Reserve fund for emergency PR, legal, and immediate public-safety response (~$2,000,000 one-time reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#12, #13] Research lab fit-out and portable instruments (midpoint $450,000) plus controlled exposure containment buildout/shielding (midpoint $700,000).
Facilities $830K
[#3, #5, #8, #11] Prefab compound and utilities hook-up ($250,000), initial perimeter works/signage ($50,000), automated skylight shutter midpoint selection ($200,000), geotechnical survey + stabilization/walkway midpoint ($330,000).
Equipment $615K
[#2, #4, #6, #7, #9, #17, #18] Vehicles/field kit ($200,000), power infrastructure ($130,000), surveillance suite ($75,000), drone kit ($35,000), immediate-response gear ($25,000), archival server hardware ($50,000), security/integration systems ($100,000).
Environmental Mitigation $30K
[#22] Environmental/cultural resource surveys and mitigation planning (~$30,000 one-time).
Training Setup $25K
[#21] Initial comprehensive training course for rangers/MTF and site staff (~$25,000 one-time).
Medical Program Setup $20K
[#10] Initial training & medical/psychological program setup ($20,000 one-time setup).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $860K/yr
[#1, #12, #13] On-site covert rangers (6 FTEs, $360,000/yr), research staff (2–3 FTEs, budgeted $300,000/yr), controlled-exposure facility operational staffing (~$200,000/yr).
Miscellaneous Administrative Overhead $136K/yr
[#26] Administrative overhead (finance/HR/procurement) estimated at 10% of direct recurring operating costs (calculated from items excluding this overhead), result ~$135,900/yr.
Insurance Reserve $100K/yr
[#20] Annual internal reserve contribution for liability and third-party claims (~$100,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #8, #11, #18] Utilities/cleaning/repairs ($30,000/yr), power fuel & battery reserve ($20,000/yr), perimeter/signage upkeep ($5,000/yr), shutter/actuator maintenance ($10,000/yr), periodic geotech inspections ($10,000/yr), IT/security updates ($15,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $85K/yr
[#5, #14] Legal/liaison retainer and cover-story maintenance ($60,000/yr) plus discretionary incident-specific payments/permits ($25,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $69K/yr
[#6, #12, #17] Surveillance cloud/storage and sensor upkeep (~$10,000/yr), research consumables/test subjects/ethics oversight ($50,000/yr), archival cloud storage midpoint (~$9,000/yr).
Medical And Psych Program $50K/yr
[#10] Contracted on-call medical staff and counseling/psychiatric follow-up program (~$50,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $45K/yr
[#2, #24] Vehicle maintenance and fuel for ranger fleet (~$20,000/yr), staff rotation travel and lodging for specialists/inspections (~$25,000/yr).
Training Exercises $30K/yr
[#21] Annual refreshers and site-specific exercises (~$30,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#7, #9, #23] Drone batteries/spares & pilot refreshers ($10,000/yr), consumables/medical supplies/sedative stock ($5,000/yr), general small-item replenishment ($10,000/yr).
Environmental Monitoring $5K/yr
[#22] Ongoing mitigation monitoring and compliance ($5,000/yr).
Mtf Augmentation Per Event $0/yr
[#15] Per-event MTF deployment cost estimated $150,000–$300,000; annual cost treated as contingent and modeled in scenarios (set to $0 in baseline recurring).
Helicopter Charter Per Event $0/yr
[#16] Helicopter/airlift charters ~$40,000–$80,000 per use; budgeted per-use and included in per-event MTF costs in scenarios (set to $0 in baseline recurring).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
38.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: operations, maintenance, research and routine training with no major MTF deployments or public exposure incidents.
no_eclipse_deployments no_public_exposure routine_operations
🚨 Eclipse Mtf Deployments $2.4M/yr
60.0% probability / year +$900K vs baseline
Year with multiple MTF Nu-7 augmentations to cover visible eclipses (2–6 activations), incurring mobilization, travel, lodging, and associated per-event costs.
multiple_local_eclipses increased_trespass_during_celestial_events
🚨 Major Decommissioning Or Public Exposure $14.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$12.5M vs baseline
Catastrophic event year: public exposure, civilian harm, or decision to decommission/relocate the monolith triggers use of contingency funds, extensive legal/PR, and partial/full decommissioning work.
public_media_exposure civilian_casualty_or_large_breach decision_to_decommission_or_relocate
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Park Ranger 6 [#1] Two-person active patrols per shift, 3 shifts/day; 6 personnel total (rotating).
Research Scientist 3 [#12] Research program staffing (2–3 FTEs budgeted; 3 chosen for planning).
Facility Technician / Containment Staff 2 [#13] Operational staffing for controlled exposure facility and secure lab (~$200,000/yr combined).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost estimates are often given explicitly; however several items used midpoints from ranges (skylight shutter, lab buildout, controlled-facility buildout, decommissioning contingency) and event frequencies (eclipse/MTF activations) are uncertain, producing moderate confidence in totals.
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