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SCP-4477 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4477
Expected annual
$21.2M
One-time setup
$11.4M
Annual recurring
$21.0M
Personnel
64
One-time capital purchases (facility upgrades, transport, URA setup) are ~11.45M; recurring annual operations are ~21.02M driven mainly by MTF payroll, analytics, per-event deployments, amnestic supply, and a contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.4M
Transport Purchase $5.0M
[#4] Acquisition of light turboprop + helicopter (one-time purchase estimate $5,000,000).
Facilities $4.5M
[#3] Site-88 capital upgrades / staging facility buildouts (midpoint of $3–$6M range).
Ura 8171 Setup $1.0M
[#14] URA-8171 setup / containment safety upgrades ($1,000,000 one-time).
Equipment $300K
[#11, #18] One-time purchase of covert surveillance & comms hardware (surveillance $200k, comms included $100k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#12] Furnishing/maintenance and mock "staged party" research facility buildout ($250k one-time).
Class A Reserve $200K
[#8] Reserve production for Class A amnestic (one-time reserve production $100k–$300k; midpoint used).
Vehicle Fleet Purchase $200K
[#17] One-time unmarked vehicle fleet purchase (~$200k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.0M/yr
Staff Wages $7.0M/yr
[#2, #5, #9, #1] Full MTF Y-36 payroll (~$4.8M), dedicated guard rotation (~$80k), Department of Analytics personnel (~$1.8M portion), plus allocated portion of SCP-4477 bedside clinical staffing (~$350k).
Contingency Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#20] Annual allocation / reserve fund for potential large-scale public Active Event (recommended $5M retained).
Logistics And Transport $3.2M/yr
[#4, #6, #17] Transport operations/aircraft maintenance ($800k/yr owning), per-event deployment ops (~$2.34M/yr for 52 events), and ground vehicle maintenance (~$70k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $2.3M/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #22, #9] Ongoing staged-party research budget (~$800k), D-class program recurring costs (~$550k), URA-8171 program care/oversight (~$225k), data analysis R&D (~$500k), and analytics tooling/cloud infra portion (~$200k).
Supplies And Consumables $1.5M/yr
[#1, #7, #16] SCP-4477 long-term medical supplies & pharmaceuticals (remainder of #1), Class B amnestic stock & administration (~$1.0M), and consumables/PPE (~$250k).
Facilities Maintenance $700K/yr
[#3] Site-88 staging facility operating costs, utilities, hangar upkeep, secure comms, janitorial (~$700k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #21] Per-deployment legal/cover costs related to Class A ops (~$100k), analytics emergency PR (~$100k portion), censorship/takedown legal reserve (~$250k), and Ethics/oversight legal (~$150k).
Training And Exercises $400K/yr
[#15] Regular MTF/medic training, exercises, certifications (~$300k–$500k; midpoint used).
Misc Administrative $112K/yr
[#23] Small administrative & logistics costs (permits, petty cash, translators; midpoint ~$112.5k).
Evidence Handling $100K/yr
[#19] Evidence handling, redaction, storage and destruction annual costs (~$50k–$150k; midpoint used).
Surveillance Maintenance $50K/yr
[#11] Annual refresh/maintenance/consumables for covert surveillance & forensics equipment (~$50k/yr).
Secure Comms Ops $38K/yr
[#18] Secure communications operations, audits and recurring service costs (~$25k–$50k; midpoint used).
Annual Summary $0/yr
[#24] Aggregate/summary line (no direct additional cost; included for audit linkage).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.0M/yr
97.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine weekly Active Events and no major public incident; operations run with owned transport and current staffing/research posture.
weekly_active_events no_major_exposure routine_deployments
🚨 Major Public Incident $28.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
A large public gathering or viral media event requiring mass remediation, large R-16/MTF mobilization, mass amnestic administration, and major PR/settlement costs.
mass_gathering_exposure viral_video mass_amnestic_deployment
🚨 Breach And Mass Exposure $36.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Severe containment failure or coordinated exposure resulting in widespread online dissemination and legal/political fallout needing extensive remediation and prolonged operations.
containment_breach coordinated_leak legal_political_exposure
👥 Personnel 64 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#5] MTF Y-36 roster (~40 personnel assigned; includes rotation covering the dedicated guard slot #2).
Department Analyst / Data Analyst 10 [#9] Analytics team (8–12 analysts + sysadmin/devops; midpoint used).
Research Scientist 6 [#12, #22] Research staff for staged-party experiments, analysis and R&D (part of research budgets).
Medical Officer 4 [#1, #12] ICU-level nursing/physician staff allocated to SCP-4477 long-term care and research medical monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#3, #17] Facility and vehicle/aircraft maintenance staff support (site upkeep, vehicle maintenance).
Administrative Staff 2 [#9, #21] Site/admin/legal/ethics coordination staff (analytics support, Ethics Committee liaison).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based directly on analyst-provided ranges and midpoints; many costs (transport ownership vs charter, contingency sizing, frequency/severity of exposures) are policy-dependent and thus introduce moderate uncertainty.
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