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SCP-4479 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4479
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$1.3M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
11
Initial one-time setup is mid-six-figures driven primarily by shaft excavation/structural work and equipment (remote manipulators, CCTV, lockbox); recurring annual costs are roughly $1.04M driven by staff wages, remote-system maintenance, readiness/retainer costs and occasional sealing/exploration operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#19] Establishment of a liquid contingency/emergency response reserve for large-scale portals, structural damage or extended mapping campaigns.
Facilities $350K
[#1, #6] Excavation/lining of 30 m shaft and structural modifications to enforce 'no doors' policy; includes structural engineer, shoring, lining and skilled labor.
Equipment $335K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #10, #13, #15] Artifact-grade lockbox and cradle (#2), remote-handling system purchase & installation (#3), CCTV/sensor installation (#4), redundant UPS/generator hardware (#5), field/sealing response kit (#10), tethered drone systems initial purchase (#13), initial PPE kit (#15).
Initial Cover And Legal Setup $50K
[#20] Initial permits, legal retainers and cover-story preparation costs associated with site work and potential external exposure.
Training And Sop Development $25K
[#9] Initial training program and SOP development (simulators, drills, documentation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $750K/yr
[#7, #8] Dedicated security staffing (6 guards, three shifts) and core research team payroll (1 Project Lead, 2 Research Scientists, 2 Technicians).
Remote Systems Maintenance $55K/yr
[#3, #4, #13, #16] Annual maintenance contracts and spares for robotic manipulators, CCTV, sensors and tethered drone systems plus associated service contracts.
Per Incident Sealing Response $45K/yr
[#11, #18] Budgeted per-incident sealing operational costs (labor, equipment rental, materials) averaged into annual baseline; includes average waste-disposal handling per incident.
Research And Monitoring $30K/yr
[#14, #17] Sample collection/analysis baseline and secure data storage/logging, encrypted backups and communications.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#20] Annual legal, liaison and PR budget to maintain secrecy and handle permits/liability.
Heavy Equipment Retainer $30K/yr
[#12] On-call retainer for heavy-equipment/contractors for immediate sealing jobs.
Insurance And Compliance $25K/yr
[#22] Insurance, regulatory filings and compliance audits.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#21] Secure transfers/off-site testing transport and escort costs (baseline estimate assuming several transfers per year).
Exploratory Campaign Reserve $20K/yr
[#24] Ongoing reserve to fund occasional extended exploratory research campaigns (partial annualized cost).
Training And Sop Refresher $12K/yr
[#9] Recurring refresher training and drills budget.
Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr
[#5, #23] Generator/UPS fuel & basic site upkeep and periodic physical inspection/metallurgical maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#10, #15] Consumable replenishment for field/sealing kits, PPE replacements and general expendables.
Documentation And Archiving $9K/yr
[#25] Administrative costs for containment logs, SOP updates, classification controls and audits.
Waste Disposal Baseline $5K/yr
[#18] Baseline regulated disposal and contaminated-material handling for small returns and routine operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
73.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine maintenance, staffing, occasional small consumables and the annualized expected sealing/retainer costs.
no new large portals routine maintenance only
🚨 Minor Incident $1.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$38K vs baseline
Single small-to-medium portal discovered requiring a sealing response and moderate repairs/replacements.
small portal discovery localized sealing and disposal
🚨 Exploratory Campaign $1.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$88K vs baseline
Deliberate extended exploration/mapping campaign into SCP-4479-1 requiring multi-day deployments, specialized gear and MTF support.
authorized mapping campaign multi-day deployments
🚨 Major Breach $1.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$338K vs baseline
Large or difficult-to-seal portal discovered, requiring extended emergency response, structural repairs and significant sealing operations.
large portal / structural damage extended emergency sealing
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7] Two guards per shift with three-shift rotation (dedicated coverage for shaft area).
Project Lead / Senior Researcher 1 [#8] Project lead to manage testing, incidents and documentation.
Research Scientist 2 [#8] Core research staff for experiments and analysis.
Technician / Remote-system Operator 2 [#8] Technicians doubling as remote-system operators and maintenance support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and a clear containment plan; uncertainty remains due to variable per-incident sealing costs, geology-dependent shaft construction costs and discretionary exploratory campaigns.
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