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SCP-4480 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4480
Expected annual
$10.5M
One-time setup
$16.7M
Annual recurring
$9.8M
Personnel
27
Upfront one-time capital and buildout costs are substantial (~$16.7M) driven by facility acquisition, emergency reserve, and specialized buildouts; recurring annual operating costs are ~ $9.76M driven by staff wages (MTF, lab, security), legal/cover operations, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $16.7M
Emergency Reserve $10.0M
[#33] Contingency/emergency reserve for catastrophic escalation (multiple-million reserve to allow rapid scale-up or Tier-1 response); one-time establishment of committed balance.
Facilities $4.9M
[#1, #2, #3, #19, #35] Purchase of shell-company industrial building, partitioning/buildout into secure suites/observation cells, biosecurity/HVAC retrofits, secure evidence vault buildout, and potential facility decommissioning/demolition costs; aggregated midpoint estimates.
Equipment $1.3M
[#4, #6, #11, #15, #29] Initial security hardware, hardened IT systems, mobile lab modules/containment trailers, on-site incinerator/autoclave or similar PPE/decon equipment purchase, and vehicle purchases (fleet); aggregated mid-range estimates.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#8, #18] On-site BSL-2/3-capable lab equipment (benches, PCR/sequencing, biosafety cabinets, autoclaves) and initial forensic/chemical testing lab billing; aggregated midpoint.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.8M/yr
Staff Wages $3.0M/yr
[#9, #10, #13, #21] Salaries and benefits for lab/epidemiology team, assigned MTF (readiness and staffing), on-site security personnel payroll, and compliance/HR unit staff; aggregated annual payroll estimate.
Cover Story And Legal $2.9M/yr
[#22, #23, #24, #32] Legal counsel and public-affairs/cover-up operations, victim compensation/hush settlements reserve, litigation/contingency reserve equivalents, and black-ops/deniability (shell companies, covert payments).
Research And Monitoring $1.9M/yr
[#18, #27, #31] Ongoing forensic storage and periodic analysis, mobile/global surveillance and analyst/OSINT subscriptions, and multi-year containment/neutralization research program funding.
Logistics And Transport $1.4M/yr
[#12, #14, #28, #29] Annual budget for deployment/relocation operations (charters, staging), D-Class handling & transport/housing costs, travel and foreign operations pool for locating/establishing new habitations, and fleet maintenance/fuel.
Supplies And Consumables $345K/yr
[#15, #20, #16, #30] Recurring PPE and decon consumables or contracted biohazard disposal, product/inventory replacement/shrinkage, staff vaccination/healthcare program costs, and training/drill consumables/expenses.
Facilities Maintenance $155K/yr
[#5, #7, #19] Security hardware maintenance/monitoring contracts, IT maintenance/auditing/subscriptions, and ongoing secure-vault monitoring fees.
Per Event Outbreak Response $0/yr
[#17] Variable per-event medical treatment, hospitalizations, quarantine, and long-term care costs (range: $2M–$10M per major Vex Event); accounted for in scenarios as per-event costs.
Per Event Deployment Costs $0/yr
[#11, #12] Per-deployment rapid-deploy mobile lab and relocation operating costs (equipment deployment costs $100k–$300k, per-move operational costs $100k–$500k); treated as episodic in scenarios.
Per Event Environmental Remediation $0/yr
[#25] Environmental remediation and deep cleaning after serious outbreaks (range: $100k–$1.0M per serious event); episodic, included in incident scenarios.
Per Fatality Morgue Cost $0/yr
[#26] Morgue, disposition and funeral/cremation per-fatality costs (approx. $5k–$10k per fatality); episodic and modeled in scenarios if relevant.
Per Incident Security And Forensics $0/yr
[#34] Periodic security upgrades and forensic investigations after Vex Events (range: $50k–$500k per incident); episodic and included in incident scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.8M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major Vex Event; routine staffing, monitoring, maintenance, research, legal/cover operations and average deployments.
no Vex Event standard deployments only routine maintenance and training
🚨 Minor Vex Event $10.7M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$950K vs baseline
Limited Vex Event with a localized outbreak requiring modest medical response, a single relocation or deployment, and targeted forensic/remediation work.
localized outbreak single deployment/relocation limited settlements/remediation
🚨 Major Breach $19.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$9.3M vs baseline
Significant Vex Event / containment breach with extensive hospitalizations, large-scale remediation, sizable settlements and emergency escalation.
major outbreak/hospitalizations regional remediation and legal exposure emergency Tier-1 scaling
👥 Personnel 27 total
Role Count Notes
Mobile Task Force (MTF) / Operators 12 [#10] MTF Psi-7 staffing estimate (10–16 operators); includes medics and command staff.
Security Officer / On-site Guards 8 [#13] Local security personnel to supervise D-Class and maintain front operations (4–12 personnel).
Research Scientist / Lab Staff 4 [#9] Lab technicians, epidemiologists, microbiologists for outbreak analysis and surveillance (2–6 staff).
Administrative / Compliance Staff 3 [#21] Internal HR/compliance unit to review/veto policy changes and maintain approvals (2–6 officers).
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most costs so midrange estimates were used; however frequency of Vex Events, severity distribution, and the chosen size of the emergency reserve are uncertain, producing moderate confidence.
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