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SCP-4481 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4481
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$3.9M
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
15
Estimated one-time capital of approximately $3.87M for hanger retrofit, instrumentation, and specialized handling; recurring annual costs about $1.98M driven primarily by staff wages (security and specialist team), facilities maintenance, and contingency/reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.9M
Facilities $1.5M
[#1] Secure hangar retrofit (structural mounts, blast/ballistic doors, partitioning for artifact storage) — retrofit of Site-29 bay to house shuttle-sized wreckage.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#9] Materials analysis and imaging capital equipment (SEM, XRD, CT, mass spec) and lab buildout for metallurgical analysis and high-resolution imaging.
Equipment $665K
[#3,#5,#7,#8,#14,#16,#17] Backup generators and UPS; security cameras/sensors/access control; heavy-lift handling and rigging; internal robotics/remote manipulators; cold storage units; cabinets/inventory systems; IT/classified servers (capital).
Restoration Campaigns $250K
[#12] Restoration & fabrication costs (custom skins, structural replacement parts, adhesives) for an initial major restoration campaign.
Transport And Relocation $200K
[#18] Transport & logistics for future testing / relocation campaigns (barges, heavy-lift aircraft, permits) — one-off campaign estimate (annual if performed).
Initial Cover Story $100K
[#19] Initial media/cover-story costs and local agency payments associated with recovery and initial concealment.
Emergency Equipment $50K
[#21] Emergency response & hazmat equipment (suits, decon trailers, alarmed decon stations).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#4,#13,#21] Security personnel (24/7 guards + supervisor), specialist labor (aerospace restorers, materials scientists, conservators), and hazmat staffing/training (salaries + benefits).
Contingency Reserve $200K/yr
[#25] Reserve for anomalous discovery or escalation (recommended 10–20% of annual operating budget).
Cover Story And Legal $175K/yr
[#19,#20] Ongoing media/cover-story management, liaison with civil authorities, clandestine contracts and legal counsel/records retention.
Depreciation And Accounting $150K/yr
[#22] Internal accounting, depreciation/amortization of capital assets (~5–10% of capital base).
Facilities Maintenance $127K/yr
[#2,#3,#5,#7,#8,#14,#17] HVAC energy & maintenance, generator fuel & testing, security systems maintenance, heavy-lift recertification, robotics maintenance, cold-storage power & monitoring, IT maintenance/audits.
Supplies And Consumables $71K/yr
[#10,#16,#23] Laboratory consumables and examination costs (grinding discs, solvents, PPE), artifact inventory upkeep, and hazardous waste disposal.
Research And Monitoring $43K/yr
[#11,#15,#9] External facility access (synchrotron/TEM campaigns annualized), annual inspection routine for remains, and occasional contracted analysis if capital equipment not used.
Vetting And Clearance $40K/yr
[#6] Ongoing personnel vetting, clearance operations, and administrative overhead for classified access.
Travel And Consultation $25K/yr
[#24] Travel, controlled conferences, publication control, and external specialist consultation.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations, inspections, and scheduled research.
routine_operations scheduled_analyses no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or small contamination event requiring repairs, short-term overtime, and minor external testing.
equipment_failure minor_contamination localized_structural_damage
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
Significant analytical result or recovery of new components prompting an expanded research campaign and external facility time.
major_research_opportunity external_facility_campaign equipment_ramp_up
🚨 Political Exposure $2.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Media leak or local authority involvement requiring emergency PR, legal action, and augmented containment/security measures.
media_leak local_authority_interest public_exposure
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] 24/7 guard coverage (two guards per shift typical), estimates include frontline guards.
Security Supervisor 1 [#4] On-site supervisor/shift lead for security operations.
Research Scientist 2 [#13,#9] Senior specialists/materials scientists for restoration and analysis.
Technician / Lab Technician 3 [#13,#7,#8] Restoration technicians and hands-on lab staff for machining, sample prep, and rigging.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#7,#8] Engineer for heavy-lift equipment, robotics maintenance, and facility systems.
Administrative Staff 1 [#6,#20] Administrative support for vetting, procurement, and cover-company coordination.
Medical Officer / Hazmat 1 [#21] On-call medical/hazmat responder for inspections and decontamination readiness.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provided line-item ranges for almost all costs allowing mid-range estimates, but uncertainties remain around scope of retrofit, instrument purchase vs. contracted analysis, and unpredictable anomalous escalations; hence medium confidence.
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