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SCP-4492 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4492
Expected annual
$278K
One-time setup
$896K
Annual recurring
$241K
Personnel
2.5
One-time setup and research (containment modifications, lab test infrastructure, and a contingency reserve) drive initial costs (~$896,500). Recurring costs (~$241,000/yr) are dominated by staff wages, ongoing research/monitoring, training, and legal/insurance obligations, with large per-incident cleanup/legal exposures possible.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $896K
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#20] Recommended one-time contingency/reserve fund allocation for worst-case remediation, legal settlements, or large-scale response.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $325K
[#10] Initial controlled-test program setup: outdoor test range, instrumentation, sampling gear, ethical/permit costs and test planning.
Facilities $38K
[#1, #16] Locker upgrade and facility isolation/retrofit costs (sealed locker interior, tamperproof fittings, small isolation room retrofit and outdoor berm systems).
Equipment $22K
[#2, #3, #6, #12] Access-control and logging hardware, tamper-resistant cameras/sensors, initial PPE/decon stockpile, and secure transport crate.
Training Program Development $12K
[#5] One-time SOP and initial staff training program development and initial training delivery.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $241K/yr
Staff Wages $150K/yr
[#3, #4, #11] Security and research staff wages (e.g., ~1.0 security FTE and research staffing/allocations).
Research And Monitoring $50K/yr
[#11, #13] Ongoing research operations (non-salary test costs, atmospheric modeling) and coordination costs (NOTAM/airspace coordination per tests).
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#14, #15, #18] Baseline insurance premiums and minimal PR/legal retainer; larger incident costs handled per-incident.
Medical Monitoring $10K/yr
[#9] Routine occupational health/medical monitoring program for staff.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#6, #17] PPE replenishment and routine hazardous-waste handling/permitting consumables.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#12, #13] Transport logistics and per-move security/NOTAM coordination baseline (occasional moves/tests).
Personnel Vetting $5K/yr
[#19] Background checks and periodic re-vetting to mitigate insider misuse.
Training Refresher $4K/yr
[#5] Recurring refresher training and SOP updates.
Facilities Maintenance $500/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance for access-control systems and minor facility upkeep (access-control maintenance estimate).
Biohazard Cleanup Per Incident $0/yr
[#7] Per-incident cleanup costs (indoor $1k–$5k; outdoor/public $5k–$25k) — modeled in scenarios, baseline assumes none.
Environmental Remediation Per Incident $0/yr
[#8] Per-incident environmental testing and remediation costs (sampling $2k–$10k; remediation $10k–$100k+) — modeled in scenarios.
Medical Per Exposure $0/yr
[#9] Per-exposed-person medical evaluation/treatment costs ($200–$1,000+ per person) — modeled in incident scenarios.
Legal Compensation Fund Per Incident $0/yr
[#14, #15] Per-incident PR/legal/compensation expenses (small $10k–$50k to major $250k–$1M+) — handled as scenario-driven costs.
Waste Disposal Per Load $0/yr
[#17] Per-load hazardous waste disposal fees ($200–$1,000 per 50–100 kg load) — accounted for in incident scenarios as needed.
Contingency Replenishment $0/yr
[#20] Occasional replenishment of contingency reserve as needed; baseline assumes no annual replenishment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $241K/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with no public activations; containment and planned research continue at baseline levels.
secured_storage scheduled_research no_public_activation
🚨 Minor Incident $253K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$12K vs baseline
Single indoor activation (contained restroom or controlled test) requiring local cleanup, limited medical checks, and small PR/legal handling.
indoor_activation single_person_exposure small_cleanup
🚨 Major Incident $391K/yr
4.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Outdoor/public-area activation or multi-person exposure requiring professional hazmat cleanup, environmental testing, broader medical monitoring, and substantial PR/legal response.
outdoor_activation public_exposure environmental_remediation
🚨 Catastrophic Incident $1.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Large-scale public contamination or repeated targeted misuse leading to major remediation, epidemiological response, and multi-million-dollar legal settlements.
widespread_public_impact agricultural_or_water_contamination major_legal_liability
👥 Personnel 2.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#4] Dedicated security coverage (approx. 1.0 FTE @ ~$50k/yr)
Research Scientist 1 [#11, #10] Ongoing research and characterization support (salary allocation ~$75k/yr; initial research setup is one-time)
Security/Monitoring Operator 0.5 [#3] Monitoring/tamper-detection allocation (approx. 0.5 FTE equivalent @ ~$25k/yr)
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges and clear line items for containment, operations, and incident responses, enabling a mid-level confidence in magnitude; incident frequency and severity are the primary uncertainties driving lower-than-high confidence.
← SCP-4491 ↑ All SCPs SCP-4493 →