SCP-4512 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4512
Expected annual
$5.0M
One-time setup
$8.5M
Annual recurring
$4.8M
Personnel
29
Initial baseline setup and capital reserves are roughly $8.48M one-time, driven by a hardened mock containment site, equipment and contingency funds; recurring operations cost roughly $4.82M/year, dominated by MTF personnel wages and homeowner remediation/legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.5M
Property Acquisition $2.0M
[#18] Optional hotspot buy-outs: 5houses (~$400k each). Optional; included here as a one-time option.
Contingency Capital Reserve $2.0M
[#25] Contingency capital fund recommended for escalations / extraordinary containment attempts.
Facilities $1.0M
[#9] Containment test site construction (double-lined concrete, sensors, permits).
Insurance Reserve $1.0M
[#19] Insurance / emergency litigation reserve (one-time funded reserve).
Equipment $980K
[#3, #4, #5, #8, #23] Response vehicles ($360k), vacuum truck and pumps ($400k), initial PPE kit ($50k), radios & drones ($130k total), sensor integration initial hardware/software portion ($40k).
Mtf Initial Recruitment And Training $900K
[#2] Specialized MTF recruitment & training (18 operatives × $50k training each).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#10] Bench-level laboratory (microbiology, GC/MS, ICP, DNA sequencing setup, BSL-2 PPE).
Hl Lvr Development $200K
[#6] HL-LVR (crawler) initial software design and integrations.
Evidence Storage Setup $50K
[#11] Climate-controlled archive space setup, secure shelving and catalog database.
Permits And Legal Setup $50K
[#15] Environmental permits, hazardous-waste hauling permitting and initial legal costs related to permits.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.8M/yr
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#1] MTF Iota-9 salaries and benefits: 18operatives × $120,000/year.
Research And Monitoring $860K/yr
[#6, #7, #10, #17, #23, #24] HL-LVR hosting/ops ($60k), data analysis & SOC ($210k), lab operations/reagents ($150k), research grants & collaborations ($300k), sensor/GIS data fees ($20k), archive/forensics staff (~$120k).
Homeowner Compensation And Remediation $750K/yr
[#12] Homeowner compensation, property remediation, temporary housing, and nondisclosure fees (~50 events/year × ~$15k average = $750k/year).
Cover Story And Legal $420K/yr
[#13, #14] Emergency legal team & FOIA management (~$300k/year) and public relations/cover operations (~$120k/year).
Contingency Compliance Reserve $250K/yr
[#16] Annual contingency / compliance reserve for SCP demands unpredictability.
Supplies And Consumables $130K/yr
[#5, #15] Field PPE consumables & decon waste disposal (~$30k/year) and per-event hazardous disposal (~$100k/year).
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#3, #4, #8, #20] Vehicle & trailer maintenance & fuel (~$30k), heavy equipment maintenance/backup (~$30k), drone/battery maintenance (~$15k), ongoing MTF operations (lodging/per diem/etc. ~$25k).
Facilities Maintenance $70K/yr
[#9, #11] Containment test site maintenance/utilities (~$50k/year) and evidence storage ongoing costs & curator salary (~$20k/year).
Annual Training And Exercises $50K/yr
[#22] Continuing exercises, tabletop and live drills with partners and internal teams (~$50k/year).
Medical Support $30K/yr
[#21] Medical screening, post-exposure prophylaxis, field med kits and incident medical care.
Insurance Replenishment $0/yr
[#19] Replenishment of insurance / litigation reserve as-needed (budgeted as a one-time reserve; recurring replenishment variable).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.8M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; contains expected 50 manifestations with standard response and upkeep.
regular_manifestations no major escalations standard legal/PR workload
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
One or more higher-impact manifestations causing elevated property damage, localized media attention and emergency mobilization.
unexpected high-volume manifestation local media exposure increased remediation & legal actions
🚨 Major Containment Attempt $7.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Escalation requiring large-scale containment effort or capital-intensive response (heavy engineering, national mobilization, use of contingency capital).
SCP demands escalate coordinated or intensified manifestations decision to launch heavy containment mobilization
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#1] 18 operatives in 3 regional teams to provide 24/7 coverage (salaries included in staff_wages).
Data Analyst 2 [#7] Analysts to triage HL-LVR hits (part of data analysis & SOC budget).
Sysadmin / IT 1 [#7, #6] On-call sysadmin for HL-LVR hosting/ops and SOC (budgeted in research_and_monitoring).
Cybersecurity Specialist 1 [#7] Cybersecurity to prevent leak/abuse (budgeted in research_and_monitoring).
Archive / Forensics Staff 2 [#24] Evidence processing and chain-of-custody staff (1–2 FTEs budgeted).
Curator / Collections Manager 1 [#11] Curator and storage management (small salary & storage costs budgeted).
Research Scientist 2 [#10, #17] Research leads / academic collaborators supported by lab ops and research grants.
Lab Technician 1 [#10] Laboratory technician for bench-level analyses (included in lab operations budget).
Medical Officer 1 [#21] Occupational health and post-exposure care (budgeted in medical_support).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based directly on analyst notes with explicit line-item figures; many figures are order-of-magnitude and frequency assumptions (50 events/year) drive large recurring items (homeowner remediation). Contingency and optional buy-outs add uncertainty, so confidence is medium rather than high.
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