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SCP-4556 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4556
Expected annual
$1.0M
One-time setup
$1.9M
Annual recurring
$1.0M
Personnel
9.5
Initial one-time setup is roughly $1.86M (land acquisition/remediation, on-site infrastructure, surveillance, power, and an on‑prem compute cluster). Recurring annual costs are about $1.00M/yr, driven primarily by personnel wages (security, analysts, stipends), research/compute operations, and therapy/oversight programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.9M
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #2, #11, #12, #18, #19, #30] Purchase/lease-equivalent chosen as purchase; includes site acquisition/title (~$750k), initial remediation (~$150k), onsite cabins/utilities hookups (~$110k), D-class setup (~$30k), one-time road repairs (~$50k), speed-control road works (~$8k). #30 (planning summary) referenced here.
Equipment $730K
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #10, #14, #16, #21, #22] Telephoto PTZ camera system + installation (~$70k), communications backhaul install (~$50k), NAS/50–200TB (~$20k), microgrid + generator (~$130k), environmental/tamper sensors (~$12k), vehicles + UAV (~$70k), on-prem small compute cluster hardware (procurement option) (~$300k), lab trailer fit-out (~$40k), incident response kits/training one-time items (~$15k), secure document system one-time components (~$15k), perimeter signage/hard markers (~$8k).
Front Company Setup $20K
[#20] One-time legal/cover-company setup and initial PR/permit contingency (~$20k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10K
[#13] One-time cognitive testing / monitoring hardware and software for screening/rotation program (~$10k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.0M/yr
Staff Wages $538K/yr
[#9, #12, #13, #23] Security staff (3 FTE regional/unarmed responders incl. benefits) ~243k/yr; surveillance analyst(s) & remote watch ~80k/yr; part-time psychologist/monitoring ~40k/yr; site technician/admin ~70k/yr; D-class stipends/medical/supervision for retirees (3 persons) ~105k/yr.
Low Profile Therapy Program $120K/yr
[#26] Optional / low-profile retreat program staffing (coordinator + part-time therapists), housekeeping and program supplies (~$120k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $110K/yr
[#14, #15, #22, #27, #28] On‑prem compute operational costs (power/cooling/support) chosen here (~$60k/yr); exploratory experimental budget/modest consulting (~$40k/yr); recurring secure-documentation/licenses and archival storage (~$10k/yr). Cloud option (note #15) retained as alternate in notes but not selected for baseline.
Contingency Reserve $75K/yr
[#29] Oversight, third-party audits, rotating oversight and emergency corrective action reserve due to conceptual influence risk (~$75k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#20] Ongoing legal counsel, local liaison, permits, FOIA management and minimal PR reserve (~$50k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr
[#2, #11, #17, #18, #19, #21] Environmental/site monitoring & easement compliance (~$10k), on-site housing/cabin upkeep (~$5k), cabinet corrosion control/spot maintenance (~$2k), dust mitigation/road upkeep (~$20k), speed-control maintenance (~$1.5k), annual readiness exercise allocation (~$6.5k).
Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr
[#7, #10, #25] Fuel/propane and generator consumables, vehicle fuel/insurance/maintenance, PPE/cleaning and modest retreat supplies (~$30k/yr).
Replacement Cycle $20K/yr
[#24] Annual amortized refresh and unexpected electronics replacements for cameras, comms, batteries, solar gear (~$20k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#5, #10, #21] Rapid-response vehicle operating costs, UAV maintenance, and travel/discretionary incident deployment funds (~$15k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine maintenance, staffing, and modest research/therapy activity.
no intrusion regular maintenance and research operations
🚨 Minor Incident $1.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Small unauthorized approach, minor repair, brief incident response and PR.
unauthorized visitor small field deployment and limited PR/legal action
🚨 Major Breach $1.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant disturbance (vehicle intrusion, vandalism, or focused discovery) requiring full incident response, remediation, replacement of equipment, and extended PR/legal effort.
sustained intrusion equipment destruction or contamination local political exposure
👥 Personnel 9.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#9] Regional/unarmed rapid-response staff rotating to intercept/redirect unauthorized individuals; salaries and benefits included in staff_wages.
Surveillance Analyst 1 [#23] Remote/part-time feed review and triage; automated detection reduces FTE requirement.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#7, #10, #17] Site technician for power, vehicles, solar/microgrid and minor maintenance.
Psychologist 0.5 [#13, #26] Part-time psychologist for screening, monitoring, and therapy program support; included in staff_wages/therapy budget.
Administrative Staff / Site Manager 1 [#20, #22] Local admin/liaison tasks, records management and legal/permit coordination.
D-class Personnel 3 [#12] Retired D-class performing zero-clearance maintenance and upkeep; stipends and medical supervision included in recurring personnel costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range, drawn from ranges provided in analyst notes and mapped to a mid-tier operational model (purchase + on‑prem cluster + modest staffing). Uncertainty remains due to wide cost ranges for property remediation, acquisition vs lease choices, and optional program scale (therapy/cloud vs on‑prem).
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