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SCP-4557 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4557
Expected annual
$7.1M
One-time setup
$13.3M
Annual recurring
$6.6M
Personnel
37
One-time establishment and contingency reserves are approximately $13.27M, with recurring annual operations of about $6.64M driven primarily by MTF staffing, embedded cover personnel, and site security/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.3M
Facilities $9.2M
[#1, #4, #5] Building purchase, Area-555 fit-out and initial perimeter/fence installation; includes building acquisition, conversion to secure lab/containment room, and initial perimeter works.
Emergency Escalation Reserve $2.8M
[#28] Contingency reserve for rapid procurement, emergency deployments and temporary containment in extreme escalation.
Equipment $470K
[#6, #10, #11, #15, #16] CCTV hardware & installation, initial MTF vehicle fleet, tranquilization kits, containment-specific hardware and generator/UPS initial purchase.
Amnestic Production And Training Initial $360K
[#19] Initial amnestic synthesis/stockpile and training/equipment for administration (development/stockpile + training).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $335K
[#17, #26] Research instrumentation (sequencing, microscopy, contractor imaging access) and initial secure data retention/backups for CCTV and research data.
Legal Property Transfer $88K
[#2] Title search, corporate shell setup, escrow, notaries and legal closing costs to conceal Foundation ownership.
Zoonosis Vaccinations Initial $75K
[#14] Pre-exposure rabies vaccine series for at-risk personnel (initial series for ~25 staff).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.6M/yr
Staff Wages $4.4M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #12, #18, #20] Salaries and benefits for CCTV/security analysts, on-site guards, MTF Pi-1 roster, on-call veterinary coordinator, research specialists, and embedded NYPD/Foundation personnel.
Risk Premium Overhead $1.1M/yr
[#30] Operational risk premium (20% applied to baseline operational recurring budgets) to account for heightened readiness, redeployment and opportunity costs due to unreliable containment.
Cover Story And Legal $495K/yr
[#22, #23, #24, #25] Cover-story maintenance/PR, media monitoring/digital takedowns, legal counsel/retainers and shell company/insurance/accounting overhead.
Supplies And Consumables $318K/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #14, #19, #27, #29] Tranquilization drug replenishment, veterinary consumables, quarantine food/enrichment/PPE, zoonosis boosters/medical surveillance, recurring amnestic per-dose costs, training & PPE refresh, and baseline specimen welfare costs.
Research And Monitoring $138K/yr
[#6, #17, #26] CCTV storage/licensing/maintenance, research consumables and contracted imaging costs, and secure data retention maintenance/backups.
Facilities Maintenance $134K/yr
[#3, #5, #15] Annual property taxes and municipal fees, perimeter/fence upkeep and containment hardware upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $66K/yr
[#10, #21] MTF/response vehicle fuel and maintenance plus per-incident crime scene/cleanup deployments.
Power And Environmental $16K/yr
[#16] Generator/UPS maintenance, fuel and electricity for HVAC, CCTV and containment systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.6M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with normal monitoring, staffing, maintenance and occasional minor incidents handled within routine budgets.
few or no manifestations routine MTF readiness standard research cadence
🚨 Medium Frequency $7.6M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Monthly appearances requiring regular MTF responses, increased amnestic usage and modest research ramp-up.
monthly manifestations increased overtime and amnestic consumption higher incident cleanup frequency
🚨 High Frequency $10.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Weekly or multiple simultaneous manifestations, emergency escalations, large-scale amnestic operations and temporary expansion of containment/research.
weekly/multiple manifestations containment breach or uncontrolled spread emergency procurement and temporary facilities
👥 Personnel 37 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Agent (Pi-1 roster) 14 [#9] Team of 12 operatives + 2 supervisors maintained for 24/7 rapid urban response; roster costs included in staff_wages.
On-site Security Officer / Guard 6 [#8] Six guards (2 per shift across 3 shifts) to control building access and react to breaches.
Security Analyst / CCTV Operator 4 [#6, #7] 24/7 CCTV monitoring staff (3–4 analysts) for live monitoring and detection of demanifestations.
Research Scientist / Specialist 4 [#17, #18] Biologists/ethologists/neuroscientists (3–6 recommended); mid-range staffed to support ongoing studies.
Veterinarian / Medical Officer 1 [#12] On-call veterinary coordinator for capture stabilization and specimen care.
Embedded Foundation Personnel (NYPD covers) 8 [#20] 6–12 embedded agents in local police for reporting and amnestic administration; mid-range staffing assumed.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items have wide ranges and NYC-specific variability (notably property purchase and MTF/embedded personnel compensation). Estimates use midpoints and conservative risk premiums; uncertainty remains around manifestation frequency and emergency escalation needs.
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