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SCP-4577 Safe1 ~ medium confidence
SCP-4577
Expected annual
$14.2M
One-time setup
$11.6M
Annual recurring
$13.8M
Personnel
130
Initial one-time capital and buildout costs are moderate (~$11.6M) driven by facility buy-in, vehicles, cremation capital and contingency reserves; recurring annual operating costs are dominated by personnel wages and ex-resident monitoring (~$13.8M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.6M
Decommissioning Remediation $5.0M
[#25] Planning-level allocation for future decommissioning, demolition and environmental remediation (one-time reserve).
Contingency Reserve $3.0M
[#22] Contingency & escalation reserve (allocated fund for emergency buyouts, spikes, or rapid escalation responses).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $550K
[#13] Research lab buildout, pathology/sequencing instruments and sample storage for forensic investigations.
Legal Initial $550K
[#14] Initial legal/cover-story establishment payments, retainers, and setup of cover operations (mid-range estimate).
Cremation Capital $500K
[#6] Mobile cremator(s) selected (mid-range mobile option) including basic emissions/ash handling hardware.
Vehicle Fleet Purchase $500K
[#17] Patrol cars, response vans and utility trucks for site security, field response and logistics (fleet purchase).
Waste Trucks Purchase $300K
[#8] Purchase of municipal waste trucks (1–3 trucks) to enable twice-weekly collection and offsite transfer.
Morgue Refrigeration $250K
[#5] Walk-in freezers and refrigerated transport vans (2–4 units) and initial body-handling equipment.
Facilities $225K
[#1] Containment perimeter checkpoints, small guardhouses, barriers, signage and lighting (6 staffed checkpoints).
Clinic Buildout $200K
[#16] On-site clinic / medical support build-out (small facility for immediate post-exposure care).
Landfill Sealing $150K
[#10] Landfill-specific fencing, sealing sections and initial remote sensor installation for SCP-4577-A mitigation.
Communications Setup $125K
[#18] Radios, secure networking gear, backup satellite/cellular links and initial data storage hardware.
Equipment $100K
[#2] Perimeter surveillance cameras, NVRs, backhaul and installation (town-wide CCTV).
Environmental Baseline Survey $60K
[#19] Baseline groundwater and soil survey near landfill and initial environmental testing setup.
Training Development $30K
[#20] Initial SOP development, tabletop/exercise materials and training program creation.
Records Systems Purchase $20K
[#24] Initial secure archival systems (encrypted digital and physical records setup).
Ppe Stockpile $20K
[#9] Initial stockpile of biohazard PPE, body bags, decon consumables and replacement kits.
Relocation Compensation $0
[#15] Relocation/compensation not chosen in the baseline posture (occupy town). If relocation is elected, estimated range $10M–$100M (not included here).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.8M/yr
Staff Wages $10.0M/yr
[#3, #4] Security personnel (armed guards) and Foundation-occupied personnel (researchers, mortuary techs, medics, waste crew, admin).
Ex Resident Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#11] Registry, caseworkers, travel, health screening and follow-ups for ~2,000 displaced/former residents (assumed $625/yr avg in model; analyst range $250–$1000).
Research Operations $500K/yr
[#13] Recurring research salaries, consumables, sequencing and pathology assay costs.
Clinic Operations $500K/yr
[#16] Medical staffing (nurses/medics), ambulance readiness, consumables and clinic operational costs.
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#1, #16] General site utilities, guardhouse upkeep, facility repairs and cremator maintenance overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $275K/yr
[#14] Ongoing legal retainer, PR management, forged records maintenance and FOIA/press response costs.
Vehicle Maintenance And Fuel $200K/yr
[#17] Fleet fuel, general maintenance and inspections for patrol, response and utility vehicles.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#8] Twice-weekly municipal waste collection operating costs, tipping fees and contracted hauler payments.
Communications And Storage $80K/yr
[#18] Network, encrypted storage hosting, logging of surveillance feeds and cyber-security services.
Amnestic Program $75K/yr
[#12] Ongoing amnestic supplies, trained administrators and post-procedure monitoring costs.
Psychological Support $75K/yr
[#21] Counseling services, rotation/relief costs and morale programs for exposed staff.
Landfill Monitoring And Response $60K/yr
[#10] Ongoing sensor monitoring, periodic sealing work and on-call rapid-response team for landfill incidents.
Environmental Testing $60K/yr
[#19] Periodic groundwater/soil testing near landfill and small-scale remediation monitoring.
Training And Tabletops $60K/yr
[#20] Refresher training, exercises, and SOP updates for staff handling reanimated remains and waste handling.
Morgue Vehicle Maintenance $50K/yr
[#5] Maintenance, fuel and upkeep for refrigerated morgue transport vans and stretchers.
Ppe And Decon $40K/yr
[#9] Replacement PPE, disinfectants, decontamination showers consumables and body-bag replacements.
Records Management $30K/yr
[#24] Ongoing secure archival storage, retention and legal recordkeeping costs.
Surveillance Maintenance $20K/yr
[#2] Maintenance, hosting and occasional replacement for perimeter CCTV/NVRs and monitoring backhaul.
Cremation Operations $20K/yr
[#7] Fuel, operator labor, ash-handling and emissions compliance testing at normal death rates.
Waste Ash Disposal $20K/yr
[#23] Licensed disposal fees for regulated ash and incineration byproducts.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.8M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal operations year with no major incidents: full occupation posture, routine monitoring, and expected death/removal rates.
normal_death_rates routine_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $14.0M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized spike in reanimations or equipment failure requiring overtime, temporary contractors and increased cremation throughput.
spike_in_reanimations equipment_failure
🚨 Major Escalation Relocation $33.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant escalation such as mass reanimations, public discovery or severe contamination forcing large-scale relocation or buyouts.
widespread_mass_reanimation public_discovery environmental_contamination
👥 Personnel 130 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#3] Armed guards for checkpoints, patrols and 24/7 site security (loaded cost assumed $67,500/guard including benefits).
Research Scientist 6 [#13] Dedicated researchers for SCP-4577 pathology and investigations (part of Foundation-occupied personnel).
Mortuary Technician / Cremation Operator 10 [#5, #6, #7] Morgue, refrigeration and cremation operations staff for immediate removal and incineration.
Medical Officer 8 [#16] Clinic medical staff, emergency responders and post-amnestic care providers.
Waste & Sanitation Crew 12 [#8] Drivers and collection crew for twice-weekly municipal waste removal.
Administrative Staff / Caseworkers 20 [#11, #24] Caseworkers and administrative personnel managing ex-resident monitoring, records and cover paperwork.
Engineers / Maintenance 8 [#17, #10] Engineers and maintenance staff for facilities, sensors, landfill mitigation and vehicle upkeep.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#4] Site leadership and command staff overseeing operations.
Records / Legal Liaison 4 [#14, #24] Legal coordinators and records managers for FOIA, cover-story maintenance and archival retention.
Lab Technician / Technologist 10 [#13] Lab technologists supporting autopsies, histology, sequencing and sample processing.
Logistics / Drivers 10 [#8, #17] Logistics personnel supporting transport, supply runs and non-waste driving requirements.
Mental Health / Counselors 5 [#21] Counseling and psychological support staff to mitigate burnout and trauma.
Other Operations Staff 5 [#4] Additional operational staff (security support, facilities admin, miscellaneous operational roles).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide itemized ranges and clear mappings for most cost drivers; uncertainty remains around policy choices (occupy vs relocate), frequency/severity of reanimation surges, and long-tail remediation or buyout costs, so estimates are medium confidence.
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