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SCP-4590 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4590
Expected annual
$756K
One-time setup
$1.3M
Annual recurring
$709K
Personnel
7.55
One-time capital expenditures (cases, HVAC, surveillance, initial analyses and professional assessments) dominate upfront costs; annual recurring costs are driven primarily by security personnel, specialist staff (linguists, behavioral support) and site overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M
Advanced Research Program $550K
[#18] Optional/long-term advanced takwin research program (midpoint estimate of $100k–$1,000k range).
Field Recovery Operation $275K
[#19] Representative per-operation cost for a field provenance/recovery op (midpoint of $50k–$500k).
Contingency Reserve $150K
[#17] Secure replacement / contingency reserve fund for urgent off-site analysis, replacements or high-cost interventions.
Equipment $101K
[#3, #5, #10, #13] Seven museum-grade protective cases ($70,000), surveillance & intrusion hardware ($20,000), initial secure data/storage hardware ($5,000), and emergency kit & rapid-response tools ($6,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $92K
[#6, #7] Initial conservator assessment and minor treatments ($6,500) and comprehensive non-destructive specialist analyses across seven miniatures ($85,000).
Facilities $49K
[#1, #2] Conversion of existing locker into a museum-grade microclimate chest ($32,500) and potential HVAC/room upgrades for stable temp/humidity ($16,500).
Legal And Provenance Package $25K
[#15] One-time assembly of provenance dossiers, legal counsel and cover documentation.
Initial Vetting And Training $9K
[#12] Initial staff background checks, cultural sensitivity and memetic safety training for interacting team.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $709K/yr
Staff Wages $496K/yr
[#4, #8, #9, #10] Incremental security staffing (~6 FTE guards ≈ $375,000), New Persian linguist (≈ $75,000), behavioral scientist/therapist portion (≈ $26,000), and research assistant salary (0.25 FTE ≈ $20,000).
Site Overhead $149K/yr
[#16] Site overhead allocated at ~30% of direct personnel costs (midpoint of 20–40% applied to staff wages).
Research And Monitoring $14K/yr
[#6, #7] Routine conservator visits / contract (midpoint ≈ $11,500) and allowance for follow-up specialist imaging/analysis (~$3,000/yr).
Oversight And Ethics $10K/yr
[#14] Administrative overhead, committee meeting time and ethics board reviews.
Cover Exhibit Maintenance $8K/yr
[#21] Optional small-scale cover/museum maintenance (website, catalogue, controlled loans).
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#2, #5, #20] HVAC/room energy & maintenance ($2,750), surveillance/storage maintenance & footage storage ($2,000), and continuous-case/sensor/HVAC energy ($2,500).
Cover Story And Legal $6K/yr
[#15] Ongoing maintenance/consultation for legal/cover materials and provenance upkeep (midpoint).
Training And Professional Development $5K/yr
[#9, #12] Recurring staff training & cultural sensitivity refreshers (behavioral training ~$3,500; vetting refreshers ~$1,250).
Emergency Drills $4K/yr
[#13] Annual drills, containment kit refreshes and response training.
Documentation And Data Ops $4K/yr
[#10] Ongoing operations for encrypted archival storage, backups and non-staff transcription ops (excludes research assistant salary included in staff_wages).
Medical Monitoring $3K/yr
[#22] Periodic medical and memetic screening for interacting staff.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#11, #6] Archival gloves/writing implements/supports/etc. (~$1,250) and conservator consumables (swabs, pH strips) (~$500).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $709K/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with regular interactions, routine conservation and no major incidents or program expansions.
routine_operations scheduled_interactions periodic_conservation
🚨 Minor Incident $784K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Localized distress or damaging event (e.g., self-harm episode or short-term memetic disruption) requiring emergency conservation, overtime security and investigation.
instance_self-harm memetic_distress temporary_damage
🚨 Major Breach $1.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$395K vs baseline
Theft, significant physical damage, or high-profile incident requiring field recovery, major conservation and legal action.
theft_or_loss major_physical_damage external_exposure
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $1.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$650K vs baseline
HQ authorises an advanced takwin research program or significant scale-up of analysis, incurring large upfront one-time research expenses.
authorization_for_takwin_research major_funding_allocation
👥 Personnel 7.55 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] Incremental coverage estimated at ~6 full-time equivalent guards to maintain 24/7 escorted access and shift coverage.
Linguist / Cultural Expert 1 [#8] New Persian specialist (0.5–1.0 FTE in notes; model uses 1.0 FTE).
Behavioral Scientist / Therapist / Ethicist 0.3 [#9] 0.2–0.5 FTE recommended for monitored social interaction and ethics oversight; midpoint used ~0.3 FTE.
Research Assistant 0.25 [#10] 0.25 FTE research assistant for transcription, metadata tagging and data handling.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items are well-documented with ranges allowing midpoint estimates; uncertainty remains from optional high-cost items (advanced research, field recoveries) and variability in security/staffing overtime, so confidence is medium.
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