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SCP-4609 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4609
Expected annual
$3.0M
One-time setup
$19.8M
Annual recurring
$3.0M
Personnel
6
Initial capital and one-time reserves are large (~$19.8M) driven by site construction, contingency/insurance and incident-response readiness; ongoing annual costs are substantial (~$3.0M) driven by staff wages, research funding, incident readiness and legal/cover-up retainers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.8M
Insurance Reserve $5.5M
[#26] One-time insurance/financial reserve (self-insurance against catastrophic risk) $5,500,000 midpoint.
Facilities $5.2M
[#1, #8, #12] Site construction/retrofit (Site-99 single-occupant containment) $5,000,000 midpoint, living-quarters safety retrofit $24,000 midpoint, perimeter installation/fencing/cameras $225,000 midpoint.
Incident Response Readiness $3.0M
[#19] One-time rapid-deployment / mobile containment readiness setup $3,000,000 midpoint (equipment and unit readiness).
Legal Coverup Reserve $2.8M
[#18] One-time legal/PR/cover-up contingency reserve $2,750,000 midpoint.
Relocation Per Event $1.1M
[#25] One-time planned relocation/transport per event (sealed conveyance, teams) $1,125,000 midpoint.
Equipment $958K
[#2, #4, #5, #6, #15, #16] Containment chamber $375,000 midpoint; data-filtering/control systems $162,500 midpoint; life-support/HVAC $190,000 midpoint; backup power/generators $100,000 midpoint; access-control hardware $100,000 midpoint; secure safes/digital lockers $30,000 midpoint.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K
[#3] Remote manipulation and specialized test rigs / instrumentation $600,000 midpoint (robotic arms, filtered outputs, non-imaging sensors).
Initial Supply Stockpile $300K
[#7] Initial purchase and climate-controlled storage for ~100 years of sealed rations/water, midpoint $300,000.
Amnestic Program Setup $175K
[#17] One-time setup for amnestic program, stock and safe handling protocols $175,000 midpoint.
Successor Selection Per Event $88K
[#23] Secure successor selection / handover ceremony per-event cost $87,500 midpoint (one-time per succession event).
Training Development $62K
[#14] One-time development of knowledge-hygiene and SOP training $62,500 midpoint.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr
Staff Wages $630K/yr
[#9, #12, #13] Dr. Ogden salary + hazard stipend $185,000 midpoint, perimeter guard contract/monitoring wages $165,000 midpoint, on-call maintenance/engineering staff (2–4 FTE) $280,000 midpoint.
Incident Response Readiness $600K/yr
[#19] Annual readiness/refresh for rapid-deployment team, hazmat/mobile containment refresh and training $600,000 midpoint.
Research And Monitoring $550K/yr
[#24] Long-term indirect research program and peripheral study funding $550,000 midpoint (varies with intensity).
Relocation Reserve $500K/yr
[#25] Recurring reserve to fund emergency relocation/transport contingencies (maintain $500,000 standby).
Cover Story And Legal $345K/yr
[#11, #18] Secure periodic messaging production and family stipends $45,000 midpoint, legal/PR retainers and ongoing cover-up legal costs $300,000 midpoint.
Amnestic Program $110K/yr
[#17] Ongoing amnestic stock, administration and protocols; $110,000/yr midpoint depending on usage frequency.
Body Recovery Reserve $100K/yr
[#20] Annual reserve for body recovery, mortuary handling and biohazard disposal (maintain ~$100,000 reserve).
Medical And Psychiatric Care $60K/yr
[#10] Telemedicine contract, psychiatric counseling, periodic in-person exams and emergency planning $60,000 midpoint.
Facilities Maintenance $55K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #15, #16] Data-system maintenance $20,000 midpoint, HVAC/life-support energy & maintenance $17,500 midpoint, generator fuel & maintenance $6,500 midpoint, access-control maintenance $5,000, secure-archive storage/audit ops $6,000.
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#7, #21, #22] Ongoing replacement/rotation of food/water $4,500 midpoint, decontamination/shelf-life management $6,500 midpoint, content curation/licensing $9,000 midpoint.
Training Refresh $12K/yr
[#14] Annual refresher training and drills $12,500 midpoint.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing operations, reserves and readiness maintained.
routine_operations no_incident_or_relocation
🚨 Minor Incident $3.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Isolated accidental exposure or small drill/medical emergency requiring limited amnestic use and legal/medical response.
isolated_exposure limited_amnestic_use medical_treatment
🚨 Major Incident $4.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.8M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or death of researcher triggering relocation, successor handover, major incident response and legal actions.
researcher_death relocation_of_SCP large_scale_response
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#9] Dr. Ogden (single on-site researcher); salary/hazard stipend included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#12] Perimeter security / contracted guards (estimated 2 FTE equivalents covered by guard/monitoring budget).
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#13] On-call HVAC/electrical/robotics technicians (2–4 FTE estimated; midpoint used = 3).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide itemized ranges for most line items allowing midpoint estimates, but uncertainty remains in frequency of incidents, reserve sizing and program intensity (research, legal payouts), so overall confidence is medium.
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