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SCP-4615 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-4615
Expected annual
$118K
One-time setup
$4.3M
Annual recurring
$48K
Personnel
1
One-time full reactivation/readiness buildout is estimated at ~$4.30M driven by facility work, contingency reserves, vehicles and sensor/equipment procurement; baseline annual archival and minimal oversight costs are low (~$48k/yr). Major cost drivers when active are regional MTF salaries and recurrent vehicle/operational costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.3M
Facilities $1.8M
[#12, #18] Engineering containment installation ($150k–$1M per install) and optional long-range monitoring infrastructure setup (~$500k–$3M) combined for a tri-regional capability.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#22] One-time contingency/reserve fund allocation for critical reemergence on infrastructure (reserve fund midpoint estimate).
Equipment $900K
[#4, #6, #7, #8, #9, #21] Vehicle procurement (6 vehicles at ~$90k each), portable containment kits (3 kits), portable sensor suites (3 teams), drone/aerial gear (3 teams), secure refrigerated evidence lockers, and initial PPE kits.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K
[#10, #11] Initial R&D and laboratory analysis setup (research program seed, lab instrumentation and first-year campaign capabilities).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $48K/yr
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#15] Minimal ongoing legal/PR retainer and occasional wrap-up costs after Neutralization (lower-end ongoing retainer estimate).
Staff Wages $18K/yr
[#19] Archival/records care and minimal oversight staffing (≈0.1–0.25 FTE) after Neutralization.
Data Storage And Gis $10K/yr
[#20] Secure data storage, backups, GIS mapping licenses and cloud costs for archived case files and imagery.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[#12, #18] [] (no active containment facilities maintained under Neutralized baseline).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[#14, #21] [] (consumables and PPE replacement not required under Neutralized baseline).
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[#10, #11, #17] [] (no ongoing active research program in baseline; episodic campaigns would be funded in alternate scenarios).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#5, #13] [] (vehicle ops, fuel and per-deployment logistics not incurred under Neutralized baseline).
Mtf Team Salaries $0/yr
[#2, #3] [] (on-call MTF salaries / three-region readiness not maintained under Neutralized baseline; if reactivated this becomes the primary recurring cost ~$1.8M–$2.25M/yr).
Incident Response Fund $0/yr
[#1, #14, #16] [] (per-incident rapid-response and consumables fund; accounted for in adverse scenarios).
Drone Maintenance And Licensing $0/yr
[#8] [] (drone maintenance/licensing would be recurring if teams deployed).
Vehicle Operations And Fuel $0/yr
[#5] [] (vehicle ops/fuel/maintenance incurred only if active teams are maintained).
Per Deployment Logistics $0/yr
[#13] [] (airfares, hotels, per-diem covered per deployment in active scenarios).
Victim Family Compensation $0/yr
[#16] [] (per-incident compensation reserved for events; budgeted in incident scenarios).
Forensic Investigations Budget $0/yr
[#17] [] (extended forensic/cold-case operations funded only if linkages are investigated post-reactivation).
Long Range Monitoring Maintenance $0/yr
[#18] [] (ongoing maintenance for distributed detection network only if deployed).
Insurance And Liability $0/yr
[#23] [] (insurance/liability premiums not allocated in minimal archival baseline).
Ppe And Medical Monitoring $0/yr
[#21] [] (medical screening and PPE replacement budget active only for deployed responders).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $48K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Neutralized state with only archival maintenance, minimal legal/PR wrap-up, and data storage ongoing.
archival_maintenance no_reactivation
🚨 Minor Reactivation $193K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$145K vs baseline
Isolated reappearance(s) requiring one-off response: scene management, local MTF deployment, analysis, PR, and limited forensic work.
single_manifestation local_search temporary_media_attention
🚨 Major Reactivation $6.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$6.3M vs baseline
Full program reactivation: rebuild tri‑regional rapid-response capability, procure vehicles/equipment, deploy monitoring network and fund contingency reserve in a single year.
multiple_manifestations reappearance_on_critical_infrastructure loss_of_neutralization
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Administrative Staff 1 [#19] Part-time archivist/records custodian for SCP archival maintenance and periodic audit.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0 [#2, #3] Rapid-reaction MTF teams (two field techs, two containment/security, two researchers per team) are not maintained under Neutralized baseline; would be staffed in reactivation scenarios.
Research Scientist 0 [#10, #11] Dedicated research staff funded only if active R&D program resumed.
Engineer / Maintenance 0 [#12, #18] Engineers would be engaged if containment installations or sensor networks are constructed.
Medical Officer 0 [#21] Medical monitoring for responders only required if teams are deployed.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derive from analyst-provided order-of-magnitude ranges and explicit notes about Neutralization; many line items have wide ranges and scenario-dependent applicability, so totals are medium-confidence order-of-magnitude figures.
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