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SCP-4627 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4627
Expected annual
$14.2M
One-time setup
$28.3M
Annual recurring
$13.3M
Personnel
36
Initial containment requires sizable capital outlay (SRA hardware and site build) with ongoing annual operating costs driven by specialized staff, SRA maintenance/power, and large contingency/cover-up reserves. One-time capex dominated by SRA purchase/site construction (~$28.3M total); recurring costs dominated by contingency and staffing (~$13.28M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $28.3M
Equipment $15.9M
[#1, #2, #3, #8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #14, #15, #22, #23, #24, #25, #28] One-time purchases: deployable SRA (~$12M), SRA transport kit, generators/switchgear, ground transport capex, exclusion fencing, surveillance arrays, remote probes/drones, comms hardware, HPC hardware, amnestic stockpile/setup, secure-holding outfitting, BSL conversion hardware, evidence archive, initial mitigation/roadwork, PPE initial kits.
Facilities $12.0M
[#21] Permanent containment site construction (SRA pad, barracks, labs) estimated mid-range.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#13, #14] Research lab outfitting for non-Euclidean modelling, mapping and specialized instruments; separate from HPC hardware.
Public Infrastructure Coordination $50K
[#26] Typical per-incident/per-project road-closure/permit baseline capex for coordination/contractors (one-time per project).
Economic Impact Study $50K
[#32] One-time economic impact / regional analysis budget to quantify indirect costs and plan mitigation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.3M/yr
Contingency Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#30] Large contingency reserve set aside annually for potential containment failure, mass-absorption events, crisis PR and emergency surge expenses (Keter-class risk).
Staff Wages $3.2M/yr
[#6, #7, #13, #16, #22] Rapid-response MTF teams (12-person on-call), local security guards, research staff, medical staff and secure-holding staffing (salaries + hazard pay/overtime/benefits).
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#4, #13, #14] SRA maintenance/calibration/service contracts (5–15% of purchase), ongoing research modelling, simulation time and monitoring programs.
Compensation Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#20] Annual reserve for relocation/compensation payments and hush settlements (annualized budgeting for likely incidents).
Supplies And Consumables $850K/yr
[#5, #11, #10, #12, #14, #15, #23, #24, #28, #25] Fuel for generators, drone/robot maintenance, surveillance upkeep, comms support, HPC cloud/time, amnestic replenishment and per-use costs baseline, BSL consumables, archive operations, PPE consumables, community mitigation refresh.
Insurance And Indemnity $500K/yr
[#31] Underwriting, indemnity bonds and intergovernmental compensation agreement reserves for affected jurisdictions.
Logistics And Transport $350K/yr
[#8, #17] Helicopter charters/aviation support (charter usage), ambulance leases/medevac readiness and ground vehicle recurring maintenance/fuel.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#19] Baseline legal/PR retainer, liaison and routine cover-story operations (retainer-level annual spend).
Vehicle Spare Parts Reserve $300K/yr
[#29] Annual reserve for depreciation, replacement and spare parts for vehicles, drones and field equipment.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#9, #21, #23, #24, #25] Ongoing site upkeep, fencing/roadway maintenance, BSL facility maintenance and archive facility operations.
Forensic Program $200K/yr
[#18] Yearly budget for forensic/missing-persons coordination, lab processing and liaison with local authorities.
Training And Readiness $150K/yr
[#27] Annual drills, SRA emplacement exercises, amnestic administration drills and civil-military coordination exercises.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.3M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, staffing and reserves; no major incidents.
no_manifestations routine_SRA_maintenance regular_research_and_readiness
🚨 Minor Incident $16.3M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Single transient manifestation requiring rapid SRA deployment, limited absorption event, targeted amnestic administration and local cover-up.
single_manifestation SRA_deployment limited_civilian_absorption
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $63.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Widespread or high-profile multi-site manifestations with mass absorption, major legal/PR fallout and full contingency activation (site construction, large settlements).
multi-site_manifestation mass_absorption national_media_exposure
👥 Personnel 36 total
Role Count Notes
Rapid Response / MTF Agents 12 [#6] 12-person deployment teams kept on-call; wages and hazard pay included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / Guards 8 [#7] Local site guards and perimeter staff for exclusion zones.
Research Scientist 6 [#13] Physicists, geometers, spatial-mapping specialists and analysts for ongoing research and modelling.
Medical Officer 4 [#16] Onsite medics and psychological support staff for personnel and civilian care.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#3, #8] Technical staff for generators, SRA integration, vehicle and equipment maintenance.
Administrative Staff 3 [#19, #31] Admin, legal liaisons and PR coordination staff included in recurring budgets.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates drawn from analyst ranges and mid-point assumptions; many line items have wide ranges (especially SRA capex, contingency sizing and per-incident costs) and incident probabilities are inherently uncertain for a Keter-class, non-deterministic spatial anomaly.
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