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SCP-4634 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4634
Expected annual
$84.0M
One-time setup
$46.9M
Annual recurring
$58.5M
Personnel
526
First-year setup and recurring operations run to tens of millions; main one-time drivers are archive construction, bulkhead retrofits, redundancy and contingency reserves, while recurring costs are dominated by permanent remote security staffing and maintenance/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $46.9M
Contingency Reserve $15.0M
[#25] High-availability contingency & escalation reserve for multi-site or worst-case events.
Facilities $12.8M
[#1, #5] Vault/secure archive construction and containment-grade bulkhead retrofit at remote sites (vaults $325k midpoint; bulkheads $12.5M practical midrange).
Property Buyouts And Legal $5.5M
[#9] Contingency reserve for property access agreements, buyouts, legal fees across remote sites.
Redundancy Duplication $5.5M
[#10] Reserve for duplication of critical rooms/infrastructure to avoid single points of failure.
Equipment $4.0M
[#1, #3, #6, #7, #8] Gloveboxes/specialized storage and sensors/access control ($180k), monitoring hub + per-site CCTV/comms hardware ($403k), anti-adhesive door materials & lock plates ($1,000,000), robotic sign-removal kits ($875k), armored vehicle fleet purchase allocated here ($1.5M).
Legal Reserve $3.0M
[#16] One-time legal liability / litigation reserve and initial legal contingency funds.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#11] Test chamber outfit and research lab buildout for controlled experiments ($200–800k; midpoint used).
Incident Response Startup $225K
[#13] Startup hiring/training costs for incident response team and rapid-deployment crew.
Sop And Training Development $125K
[#12] One-time development of SOPs, organization-wide training program, and initial drill design.
Data Systems $125K
[#21] One-time build of secure databases and backups for tracking locations, incidents, and access audits.
Decommissioning Plan $125K
[#23] Protocol development and planning for decommissioning/disposal (~$50–200k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $58.5M/yr
Staff Wages $32.6M/yr
[#2, #4, #13] Archive curator/admin + archive security (~$425k), permanent guard details at remote sites (512 guards * $60k ≈ $30.72M), incident response core team salaries (~$1.5M).
Contingency Replenishment $6.0M/yr
[#25] Annual replenishment/insurance for the contingency/escalation reserve ($2–10M/yr; midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $4.5M/yr
[#3, #11] Central monitoring hub operational costs (bandwidth, operators, maintenance ~$3.25M) plus research staff/consumables for experiments (~$1.25M).
Maintenance Contracts $3.6M/yr
[#19, #7] Annual maintenance/support for bulkheads, sensors, cameras, robotics and spare parts (10–20% of capital) plus dedicated robotic kit maintenance (~$125k).
Repair And Remediation $3.0M/yr
[#14] Repair/remediation reserve for rooms rendered nonfunctional per incident; suggested $1–5M/yr reserve (midpoint used).
Owner Compensation And Business Interruption $2.8M/yr
[#22] Compensation and business-interruption payments for affected owners/occupants (contingency reserve $0.5–5M/yr).
Energy And Utilities $1.7M/yr
[#18] Power and utilities for 128 sealed sites (~$0.64–2.56M) plus Site-90 (~$50–200k).
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#15, #16] PR retainers/contingency (~$400k) plus ongoing legal retainers/litigation management (~$1.25M).
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#8, #13, #20] Vehicle operations/fuel/maintenance (~$350k), rapid deployment travel/per-diems (~$350k), recurring travel/audit logistics (~$500k).
Insurance And Risk Transfer $1.0M/yr
[#17] Insurance premiums and specialized anomalous-event coverage (~$250k–2M/yr; midpoint used).
Red Team And Audits $125K/yr
[#24] Annual penetration testing and simulated 'stick a sign' exercises (~$50–200k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#6] Recurring maintenance for anti-adhesive coatings and sign lock plates (~$50–150k/yr).
Training And Drills $100K/yr
[#12] Recurring refresher training, materials, and drill logistics (~$50–150k/yr).
Data And It $100K/yr
[#21] Hosting, IT staff, audits, and secure backups (~$50–150k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $58.5M/yr
86.5% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, no major incidents beyond routine maintenance and small repairs.
routine_monitoring_and_maintenance no_sign_application_events
🚨 Minor Incident $59.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized sign application event requiring targeted repair, incident response deployment, and PR/legal work.
single-site_sign_application equipment_repair_and_repair_crews
🚨 Major Breach $73.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Multi-site or significant breach requiring large-scale deployments, bulkhead replacements, buyouts, and elevated legal/compensation costs.
coordinated_multi-site_application bulkhead_failures_or_widespread_damage
🚨 Catastrophic Ontological Shift $5.1B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0B vs baseline
Extremely unlikely removal or triggering event leading to wide-scale ontological effects analogous to historical O0-class incident.
unauthorized_instance_removal large-scale_uncontrolled_recovery
👥 Personnel 526 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 512 [#4] Permanent guard details at remote recovery sites (4 guards/site assumed worst-case; staffing estimate taken from note).
Security Officer (archive) 3 [#2] Archive area 24/7 security rotation (2–3 FTEs; midpoint used).
Research Scientist / Curator 1 [#2] Dedicated archive curator/specialist to manage artifacts and handling protocols.
Incident Response Team (specialists) 10 [#13] Core rapid-deployment specialists (8–12 recommended; midpoint used).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are derived from analyst ranges and midpoints; many line items are well-scoped (construction, vehicles, guards) but the anomalous nature of SCP-4634 (potential for outsized, hard-to-predict events) creates material uncertainty, especially for low-probability high-impact scenarios.
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