SCP-4633 — SCP-4633 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4633 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-4633

Expected annual

$8.5M

One-time setup

$13.3M

Annual recurring

$6.3M

Personnel

15.5

Initial capital outlay ~ $13.33M for facility retrofit, lab buildout, contingency reserve and specialized equipment; ongoing annual operations are approximately $6.27M driven mainly by staff wages, research, medical care, and legal/containment operations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.3M

Crisis Contingency Fund Initial $7.5M

[#21] Initial emergency / legal settlement reserve (practical operational reserve for large unexpected costs).

Facilities $2.5M

[#1] Dedicated low-security containment wing (10–20 beds) retrofit / construction including reinforced rooms, decontamination, secure storage, on-site minor surgical suite.

Outbreak Emergency Mobilization Preparation $1.0M

[#28] One-time readiness / mobilization preparation for potential outbreak scenarios (planning, stockpiles, rapid-deploy resources).

Equipment $855K

[#4, #8, #13, #15] Emergency vehicles/equipment ($200k), specialized surgical/diagnostic purchase ($500k), non-lethal restraints & reinforced fittings initial ($75k), secure/offline evidence hardware ($80k).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $850K

[#9, #10] BSL-2 lab buildout and initial research pilot/startup costs (sequencing, reagents, microscopy etc.).

Prosthetics Initial $250K

[#6] Initial custom prosthetics & long-term rehabilitation initial funding (assumes multiple initial patients).

Witness Relocation Settlement Fund $200K

[#19] One-time witness relocation/settlement reserve (per-witness costs budgeted into a pooled fund).

Cyber Trace Operation One Time $100K

[#20] One-time cost allowance for a major cyber trace / forensics operation.

Training Initial $75K

[#22] Initial staff training and protocol development costs.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.3M/yr

Staff Wages $1.6M/yr

[#3, #12] Salaries and benefits for assigned medical staff (surgeon, nurses, PA, therapist, part-time psychologist) and on-site security staffing included in operational payroll estimates.

Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr

[#9, #10, #24] Ongoing lab operation (BSL-2 staffing, reagents), dedicated research program (PI/postdocs/techs), epidemiology/public-safety monitoring and fieldwork.

Surgical And Reconstructive Per Year $750K/yr

[#5] Aggregate annual surgical/reconstructive/ICU costs (per-case $50k–$400k; budget assumes multiple cases per year).

Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr

[#17, #18] PR/debunking retainer and legal counsel / cover-story strategy retainer for ongoing suppression and litigation preparedness.

Insurance Premiums $350K/yr

[#25] Liability and specialized clinical/containment insurance premiums (policy-dependent).

Internet Monitoring And Takedown $300K/yr

[#16] Continuous internet/social monitoring, takedown services, platform relationships and expedited removal subscriptions.

Long Term Patient Housing $300K/yr

[#11] Ongoing residential care, counseling, vocational rehab and adaptive housing modifications for long-term patients.

Facilities Maintenance $275K/yr

[#2] Utilities, HVAC (decontamination/humidity), routine maintenance, housekeeping, waste disposal for the containment wing.

Logistics And Transport $225K/yr

[#4, #23] Emergency response staffing/training/fuel/vehicle maintenance and secure courier/transport budget for samples/evidence.

Cyberforensics Retainer $200K/yr

[#20] Ongoing cyberforensics retainer and incident response capability for tracing origins and subpoenas.

Supplies And Consumables $140K/yr

[#7, #14, #29] Acute medical consumables (blood products, antibiotics, sterile disposables), PPE, hazardous waste disposal and miscellaneous supplies/consumables.

Artifact Disposal And Neutralization $100K/yr

[#30] Secure destruction or long-term containment costs for anomalous tissues/artifacts (per-incident budgeting aggregated annually).

Contracted Imaging Fees $100K/yr

[#8] Annual contracted hospital/imaging fees if dedicated imaging is not fully purchased or for overflow capacity.

Public Events Monitoring $60K/yr

[#27] Monitoring/suppression of organized events and leagues where anomalous gestures could spread.

Witness Support Annual $50K/yr

[#19] Ongoing witness support (relocation support, counseling, NDAs/job placement) annual costs.

Prosthetics And Rehab Annual $50K/yr

[#6] Ongoing prosthetics maintenance, physical/occupational therapy and adaptive-aid replacement.

Ethical And Regulatory Compliance $40K/yr

[#26] IRB/administrative, regulatory, and compliance-related administrative expenses.

Training And Protocols Refresher $40K/yr

[#22] Annual refresher training, drills and protocol updates for safe handling and media/legal procedures.

Digital Evidence Maintenance $30K/yr

[#15] Maintenance, audits and operations costs for secure offline evidence servers and forensic workstations.

Non Lethal Restraint Maintenance $10K/yr

[#13] Replacement and repair of custom restraints and reinforced room fittings.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.3M/yr

58.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with only routine containment, research, and a few handled cases.

few_cases_per_year no_widely_publicized_exposure

🚨 Minor Incident $6.8M/yr

40.0% probability / year +$480K vs baseline

Single severe new case requiring major surgery, prosthetics, legal/witness handling and targeted PR/takedown.

new_severe_case viral_media_exposure small lawsuit or witness settlement

🚨 Major Outbreak $106.3M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline

Moderate social outbreak with hundreds of cases requiring mass medical response, mass PR, legal settlements and quarantine centers.

widespread_social_transmissibility mass_media_amplification failure_of_suppression_measures

👥 Personnel 15.5 total

Role	Count	Notes
Hand/Orthopedic Surgeon	1	[#3] Full-time assigned surgeon (part-time consult noted but staffed for corrective procedures).
Registered Nurse	2	[#3] On-site nursing staff assigned to the containment wing.
Physician Assistant	1	[#3] Full-time PA to support surgical and inpatient care.
Wound-care / Rehab Therapist	1	[#3] Specialist for post-op rehabilitation and prosthetic training.
Psychologist (part-time)	0.5	[#3] Part-time psychological support for patients and witness management.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	10	[#12] 24/7 security coverage (3 shifts plus spares), 8–12 guards assumed (mid estimate).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are informed by explicit analyst ranges for each line item but depend heavily on unknowns (transmissibility, case frequency, litigation scale). Reasonably constrained for a small program but large-event costs are highly uncertain.

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