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SCP-4650 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4650
Expected annual
$118K
One-time setup
$374K
Annual recurring
$111K
Personnel
0.75
Initial one-time setup is approximately $373,900 driven mainly by forensic contingency and cybersecurity/audit costs; recurring annual operations are approximately $110,850, driven by staff wages, cybersecurity monitoring, and legal/insurance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $374K
Forensic Contingency Fund $250K
[#15] Forensic/incident-recovery contingency fund (recommended set-aside ~$250,000).
Cybersecurity Audit And Remediation $42K
[#14] One-time network audit and remediation / air-gap enforcement (midpoint estimate ~$42,500).
Facilities $35K
[#1, #4] Secure object cell construction/refit (~$27,500 chosen midpoint) and one-time HVAC/engineering adjustments (~$7,500).
Equipment $16K
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #20] Mechanical key/tether & holder and spares (~$3,250), mechanical locks/door hardware (~$4,500), non-networked lighting/recorders one-time purchase (~$3,000), signage/physical exclusion marking one-time (~$650), and non-electronic transport cases (~$5,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $12K
[#13] Small sacrificial/devices test bench and bench equipment for controlled electronics testing (one-time ~$11,500).
Small Contingency Reserve Onetime $10K
[#22] Small flexible reserve for unexpected one-time needs (~$10,000 one-time hold).
Decommissioning And Disposal Planning $8K
[#23] Decommissioning/disposal planning and potential destructive testing (~$8,500).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $111K/yr
Staff Wages $48K/yr
[#7, #8] Senior oversight researcher fractional salary allocation (~$27,500/yr) and incremental security coverage (~$20,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $19K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #21] Routine inspections and maintenance (~$3,000/yr), sacrificial device replacements (~$3,000/yr), cybersecurity monitoring/review (~$10,000/yr), and nuisance/mitigation repairs (~$3,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#16] Legal, compliance, and limited public affairs / cover-story reserve (~$15,000/yr).
Insurance Liability $11K/yr
[#17] Institutional liability/insurance line item (~$11,000/yr midpoint).
Training And Drills $6K/yr
[#18] Annual training and tabletop drills for no-electronics protocols (~$6,000/yr).
Contingency Fund Annual Topup $5K/yr
[#22] Annual top-up for the small contingency/escalation fund (~$5,000/yr).
Medical And Emergency $3K/yr
[#10] Medical/emergency response budget and occasional occupational health screenings (~$2,750/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#5, #11] Replacement/maintenance for lighting/recorders (~$600/yr) and PPE/consumables for entries (~$1,100/yr).
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#9, #20] D‑Class processing/escort per-incident budget (~$900/yr expected) and transport/exercise recurring costs (~$600/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $800/yr
[#4, #6] HVAC/ventilation energy & maintenance (~$700/yr) and signage replacement small annual (~$100/yr).
Recordkeeping And Physical Logs $600/yr
[#19] Tamper-evident physical logbooks and chain-of-custody supplies (~$600/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $111K/yr
73.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine maintenance, inspections, and occasional low-level nuisance activity.
no_major_incidents routine_inspections normal_D-Class_usage_rate
🚨 Minor Incident $116K/yr
25.0% probability / year +$5K vs baseline
One or more key-displacement events leading to additional D‑Class entries, increased consumables use, minor forensic/IT time.
key_fall_or_turn increased_D-Class_entries localized_electronics_disruption
🚨 Major Breach $411K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
SCP successfully compromises critical electronic assets requiring major forensic response, replacement hardware, and extended legal/PR work.
server_compromise widespread_electronics_failure incident_response_and_replacement
👥 Personnel 0.75 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 0.25 [#7] Fractional (10–25%) dedicated senior researcher oversight allocated to SCP-4650.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.5 [#8] Incremental guard coverage (partial shifts) to control access and escort D‑Class; estimated as ~0.5 FTE equivalent.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are derived from analyst-provided ranges using midpoints and recommended set-asides; one-time contingency (forensics) and cybersecurity remediation carry significant uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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