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SCP-466 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-466
Expected annual
$4.1M
One-time setup
$10.5M
Annual recurring
$3.8M
Personnel
22
Upfront capital (facility retrofits, specialized equipment, BSL lab options, and bespoke containment hardware) drives large one-time costs (~$10.5M), while ongoing staffing (security and medical), consumables, research access and maintenance drive recurring costs (~$3.77M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.5M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.9M
[#3, #15, #24, #22] Option to build BSL-3 ($3–8M midpoint included), initial research setup and consumables, initial animal-model/long-term study startup, and secure data/archive hardware.
Facilities $2.7M
[#1, #2, #12] Structural retrofit of reinforced isolation chamber and adjacent OR/ICU conversion; installation of high-volume washdown/decon infrastructure.
Equipment $1.1M
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #16, #17, #21] Initial PPE inventory, blood-bank fridge/stock infrastructure, hemostatic/surgical startup kits, telemetry/monitor installation, autoclave purchase, diagnostic imaging procurement, modified ambulance purchase, and bespoke containment hardware fabrication.
Contingency Reserve $625K
[#23] Rapid-response reserve fund for emergency contractors, evacuations, mass amnestic administration, and large unplanned medical/disposal expenses.
Ethics One Time Compensation $125K
[#20] One-time relocation/compensation contingency related to ethics/compensation provisions.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #26] 24/7 security guard coverage (12–15 guards), dedicated medical staff (1 physician + 4 nurses), containment engineering FTEs (1–2), and program/administrative management FTE.
Supplies And Consumables $452K/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #11, #12, #13, #14, #27] PPE replacement/consumables, blood-bank replenishment, hemostatic/pharmaceutical restock, waste disposal contracts, decon consumables, PPE laundering/sterilization, monitored feeding/food procurement, and per-incident consumable replacement budget.
Research And Monitoring $432K/yr
[#10, #15, #22, #24] Monitoring/telemetry maintenance and hosting, recurring research consumables and assays, secure data maintenance, and recurring costs for long-term animal-model programs.
Bsl External Access $275K/yr
[#3] Alternative recurring option for external BSL-3 access/outsourcing fees instead of building an on-site BSL-3/4 facility.
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#17] Recurring staffing and maintenance for armored/modified ambulance and secure transfer capability.
Facilities Maintenance $190K/yr
[#25] Incremental utilities and ongoing HVAC/negative-pressure/HEPA maintenance and structural systems upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $175K/yr
[#19] Legal counsel, cover-story maintenance, PR/amnestic administration planning, and litigation reserve (recurring baseline).
Ethics Counseling $90K/yr
[#20] Ongoing ethics-board oversight, staff trauma counseling, psychiatric support for affected individuals.
Training And Drills $50K/yr
[#18] Regular specialized training, drills, contractor trainers, and staff time for containment/medical/security scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.8M/yr
72.0% probability / year
Normal operational year using baseline staffing, recurring consumables, external BSL access fees included.
routine containment no major medical or security incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $4.1M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Single-site medical emergency or containment-related hemorrhage requiring extra OR time, blood use, overtime, and consumable replacement.
major hemorrhage event surgical intervention & large transfusion
🚨 Major Incident $5.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Containment breach or multi-staff casualty, large external contracting, legal exposure, mass disposal and amnestic administration.
partial containment breach multiple serious injuries/deaths external cleanup/legal settlements
🚨 Capital Bsl Construction $9.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.5M vs baseline
Decision/year in which an on-site BSL-3 (or higher) laboratory is built, incurring large one-time capital expenditure.
decision to internalize BSL capability regulatory requirement or discovery of increased infectious risk
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#4] 24/7 guard coverage (12–15 guards recommended); midpoint staffing used.
Research Scientist / Medical Officer (Physician) 1 [#5] Full-time physician (critical care/vascular surgeon on-call) included in medical staffing.
Medical Nurse 4 [#5] 24/7 nursing coverage (4 FTE nurses) to manage sedation, feeding, hemorrhage.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#6] 1–2 FTE containment engineers for HVAC, negative-pressure systems, locks, and autoclaves.
Administrative Staff / Program Manager 1 [#26] 0.5–1.0 FTE management overhead (program manager, procurement, scheduling).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges with substantial uncertainty about whether SCP-466 is an infectious agent (BSL-3 vs BSL-4), frequency/severity of incidents, and whether on-site lab construction is pursued; ranges are wide and anomalous behaviour increases uncertainty.
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