SCP-4676 — SCP-4676 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4676 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-4676

Expected annual

$46.0M

One-time setup

$62.0M

Annual recurring

$45.1M

Personnel

150

Initial one-time capital for a modest global containment and rescue capability is roughly $56.3M driven by beacon R&D/deployment, SAR capital, and sensor/drone deployment; recurring annual operations are ~ $45.1M/yr driven by staff wages, SAR operations, replacement/obsolescence, and contingency/response expenditures.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $62.0M

Equipment $36.0M

[#2, #5, #6, #7, #9] Includes initial beacon unit inventory for 2,000 personnel, communications/backend setup, SAR vehicles/helicopter capital for regional units, initial drone & sensor deployment, and amnestic production facility capital.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.0M

[#1, #12] Neural-thought beacon R&D and initial multi-year neurobiology lab setup / specialized equipment (fMRI/MEG) for mechanism and countermeasures research.

Beacon Installation $6.0M

[#3] Surgical deployment costs for installing beacons in 2,000 personnel (OR time, med staff, post-op monitoring).

Contingency Reserve $5.0M

[#18] One-time contingency/litigation reserve allocation for exposures or large settlements.

Facilities $2.5M

[#15] Facility retrofits for no-lone infrastructure across ~10 major sites (estimated midpoint).

Mobile Clinic Capital $2.5M

[#8] Capital for mobile clinics/vehicles per region (five-region moderate program).

Training Initial $2.0M

[#14] Initial 'never alone' policy training for 2,000 staff at ~$1,000/person (one-time).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $45.1M/yr

Staff Wages $15.0M/yr

[#24] Salaries for containment staff, medics, analysts, pilots, engineers and support (estimated 150 FTEs, fully-burdened).

Sar Ops $6.0M/yr

[#6] Annual operations for regional SAR teams (fuel, maintenance, crew salaries) for a 5-region program.

Replacement And Obsolescence Fund $5.8M/yr

[#20] Replacement/tech refresh fund (estimated ~15% of capital tech spend annually).

Research And Monitoring $3.0M/yr

[#12] Ongoing neurobiology research program operations (PIs, postdocs, animal models, imaging studies).

Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr

[#13] PR/legal retainers, per-incident cover-up budgets and settlement reserve for ongoing operations.

Emergency Medical Care $2.0M/yr

[#10] Acute stabilization and ICU-level care reserve for ~100 serious cases per year (mid-range).

Beacon Spares Replacement $1.6M/yr

[#2] Annual ~20% spare stock replacement and initial inventory turnover for 2,000 beacons.

Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr

[#19] Travel, deployable team transport, heavy-equipment shipping and per-diem for regular operations.

Beacon Maintenance And Firmware $1.0M/yr

[#4] Ongoing battery replacement, field techs, firmware updates, and security hardening.

Mobile Clinic Deployments $1.0M/yr

[#8] Per-deployment costs for civilian incident response and amnesticization (assumes ~100 deployments/yr at moderate cost).

Contingency Reserve Replenish $1.0M/yr

[#18] Annual replenishment target for contingency/litigation reserve as used.

Drone Sensor Maintenance $800K/yr

[#7] Maintenance, analytics, and data pipelines for persistent sensor/drone network.

Psychological Services $600K/yr

[#16] Counseling, rehabilitation, and reintegration services for rescued survivors.

Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr

[#15] Ongoing maintenance for retrofitted sites and 'no-lone' infrastructure sensors/alarms.

Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr

[#9] Amnestic agents, secure storage replenishment and per-procedure consumables (mid-range throughput).

Communications Ops $500K/yr

[#5] Hosting, redundancy, satellite airtime, logging and cybersecurity operations.

Training Refreshers And Audits $500K/yr

[#14] Annual refresher training, drills, compliance audits for buddy/never-alone policies.

Public Mitigation And Ranger Retainer $500K/yr

[#21] Ground-level preventive measures, signage campaigns and ranger cooperation retainers.

Third Party Data Subscription $500K/yr

[#23] Commercial satellite imagery/cellular data feeds and ground-truthing services to augment sensor net.

Crisis Exercises And Simulations $500K/yr

[#25] Large-scale public emergency simulation exercises and after-action reviews (1–2/yr cadence).

Forensics And Autopsy $300K/yr

[#11] Forensics, autopsy, hazardous evidence control and disposal per fatality (mid-range incident frequency).

Record Redaction And False Id $300K/yr

[#17] Ongoing costs for record redaction, false identities, and administration of cover records.

Biohazard Cleanup And Remediation $200K/yr

[#22] Decontamination crews, PPE, and hazardous waste disposal for incident sites.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $45.1M/yr

78.0% probability / year

Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, maintenance, and expected deployments.

no large-scale exposure routine sensor alerts scheduled research and maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $47.6M/yr

20.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline

Localized cluster of incidents requiring multiple deployments, extra medical care, and additional amnesticization.

clustered SCP-4676 events in multiple regions ~100 additional deployments increased emergency care and amnestic throughput

🚨 Major Breach $65.1M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline

Significant public exposure or multi-region surge causing heavy casualties, large legal payouts, and major asset mobilization.

simultaneous incidents with high-profile civilian exposure mass casualties requiring extended ICU care large-scale litigation/settlements

👥 Personnel 150 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	40	[#24] Frontline security and rescue personnel for site and field operations; supports SAR teams and containment.
Research Scientist	20	[#12, #1] Lead investigators and lab staff for mechanism, imaging, and countermeasure research.
Medical Officer / Paramedic	30	[#6, #8, #10] Medics for SAR teams, mobile clinics, and emergency/ICU stabilization of rescued victims.
Engineer / Maintenance	20	[#7, #5, #20] Drone/ sensor technicians, communications engineers, and maintenance staff for tech and replacement cycles.
Drone Pilot / SAR Operator	10	[#7, #6] Pilots and remote operators for long-endurance drones and SAR support.
Analyst / Data Analyst	10	[#5, #23] Telemetry and third-party data analysts monitoring alerts and coordinating responses.
Administrative Staff	10	[#13, #17, #24] Legal/PR liaisons, records management and cover-story administration.
Logistics / Field Coordinator	10	[#19, #6] Deployment coordinators handling transport, temporary bases and supply chains.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and assumptions about region count (5 regions), staff size (150 FTEs), and deployment frequency; uncertainty remains due to SCP unpredictability, variable unit costs, and scale choices.

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