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SCP-4684 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4684
Expected annual
$32.1M
One-time setup
$180.3M
Annual recurring
$31.4M
Personnel
196
Initial one-time establishment costs are dominated by a recommended contingency reserve and a secure joint research facility; annual recurring costs are driven primarily by payroll for embedded surveillance personnel and facility leases/maintenance, resulting in multi‑million dollar ongoing expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $180.3M
Crisis Contingency Fund $137.5M
[#21] Recommended emergency reserve for large containment events (mass amnestics, emergency construction, international fallout).
Facilities $15.9M
[#2, #10, #24] Includes joint research facility build-out (structural/hardening) plus observation-post fit-out and archival vault/setup.
Equipment $10.6M
[#4, #13, #14, #15, #16] Surveillance hardware, vehicles and rapid-response vehicle/equipment purchases, containment hardware, and secure-communications hardware.
Rapid Response Setup $3.3M
[#14] Regional rapid-response team vehicle and equipment procurement (armored vans, mobile ritual kits, PPE).
Embedded Humint Initial $3.2M
[#7] Initial costs to create/relocate and establish cover identities (two per post aggregated).
Vehicle Fleet Acquisition $2.8M
[#15] Acquisition of covert/unmarked surveillance and support vehicles for posts and teams.
Specialized Containment Materials One Time $1.9M
[#13] One-off procurement/construction of wards, sigils, arcane seals, and custom artifacts.
Diplomatic Munich Establishment $1.1M
[#9] One-time costs associated with diplomactic/Munich agreement establishment and formal liaison setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $990K
[#6, #12] Initial central data/ingestion hardware/setup and R&D initial stockpile/starting materials for thaumaturgic prototyping.
Personnel Vetting Per Individual $755K
[#19] Per-staff initial vetting costs (€3,500 avg per staffed individual × estimated headcount).
R And D Initial Stockpile $660K
[#12] Rare reagents and initial prototyping materials stockpile (seed inventory).
Secure Communications One Time $385K
[#16] Encrypted satcom, tactical radios, spectrum-analysis gear procurement/setup.
Personnel Vetting Program $385K
[#19] Program-level setup costs for vetting infrastructure, polygraph/thaum-screening tooling and processes.
Legal Initial Negotiations $330K
[#8] Initial legal negotiations and retainer/setup costs for local counsel.
Cover Companies Setup $138K
[#18] Initial legal/company formation and paperwork to establish front companies and plausible deniability.
Legal Coverup Initial Capability $138K
[#23] Initial capability build for PR/cover-up tooling (domains, initial ops prep).
Medical Initial Stock $110K
[#20] Initial medical/amnestic stock and decontamination supplies.
Training Initial Workshops $110K
[#22] Initial joint workshops and tabletop exercise setup costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $31.4M/yr
Staff Wages $14.3M/yr
[#3, #11, #6, #17, #19, #7] Salaries and benefits for embedded on-site surveillance operatives (2× per post), Department of Thaumaturgy core team, portions of remote-operations analysts, intelligence analysts, program vetting administration, and ongoing payroll for certain cover identities.
Facilities Maintenance $10.4M/yr
[#1, #5, #10, #13, #16, #24] Observation-post leases (rent + utilities), equipment maintenance & connectivity, research facility utilities/site security, containment-materials maintenance, communications leases, and archival climate/security upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $2.8M/yr
[#14, #15, #25] Rapid-response readiness (fuel, ammo, training) and vehicle fleet recurring costs (fuel, insurance, maintenance), plus courier/local transport.
Supplies And Consumables $2.1M/yr
[#12, #20, #22, #25] R&D consumables and prototyping expendables, medical/amnestic replenishment, recurring training exercise costs, and miscellaneous operational consumables/overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#8, #9, #18, #23] Cultural/linguistic staff retainers and local legal counsel, ongoing diplomatic/liaison costs, cover-company maintenance, and legal/PR/cover-up ops budget.
Research And Monitoring $220K/yr
[#6, #17] Remote ingestion/analysis/cloud operations and automated anomaly detection (non-payroll ops/hosting portion).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $31.4M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with ongoing monitoring, research, and limited routine interventions.
no breaches routine maintenance scheduled R&D activities
🚨 Minor Incident $33.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized containment/response requiring rapid-response deployment, temporary PR/legal actions, and equipment repairs.
localized breach or exposure targeted rapid-response deployment limited amnestic distribution
🚨 Major Breach $91.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Large-scale containment failure or international incident requiring emergency reserve expenditure, mass amnestics, reconstruction, and high-level diplomatic/legal action.
widespread breach significant civilian exposure international legal fallout
👥 Personnel 196 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 166 [#3] Two full-time surveillance/observer operatives per post (83 posts).
Research Scientist / Thaumaturgist 15 [#11, #10] Department of Thaumaturgy core team embedded at joint facility (estimated 10–20; midpoint used).
Intelligence Analyst 6 [#17] Analysts for OSINT, geolocation, and investigation duties.
Remote Data Analyst / Video Analyst 4 [#6] Staff to process video/audio ingestion, automated detection oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#10, #13] Technicians for facility, containment-material, and equipment maintenance/repairs.
Administrative Staff / Site Support 2 [#18, #23] Admin and cover-company accounting/legal support included in payroll.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and sensible midpoints; thaumaturgic-specific supply needs and contingency sizing introduce substantial uncertainty, while leases and staffing are better-defined.
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