SCP-4716 — SCP-4716 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4716 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-4716

Expected annual

$1.9M

One-time setup

$8.1M

Annual recurring

$1.5M

Personnel

6.2

One-time containment and reserve costs are dominated by large mitigation reserves and secure archival upgrades (~$8.07M initial). Recurring annual costs focus on security, rapid-response readiness, intelligence/surveillance and specialist contractors (~$1.525M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.1M

Large Scale Mitigation Reserve $5.0M

[#31] Large-scale mitigation contingency reserve fund (mass relocations, covert large-scale interventions, multi-jurisdictional response) - amortized one-time reserve.

Contingency Reserve $1.0M

[#14] Containment breach insurance / contingency reserve fund (one-time seed).

Covert Recovery Operation $750K

[#12] Covert overseas recovery / capture operation (UK) conservative mid-estimate per operation.

Rapid Response Deployment Costs $300K

[#10] Per-deployment specialized equipment and tooling cost estimate for emergency containment deployments (non-magnetic tools, specialized kits).

Intel Initial Search $275K

[#11] Initial intelligence/investigation budget to locate Gerard Hopworth and potential third volume (OSINT/HUMINT/travel/covert purchases).

Facilities $240K

[#1, #2] Climate-controlled archival vault upgrade (insulation, HVAC, dehumidifier, environmental monitoring, pest/UV controls) and tailored inert-gas fire suppression install.

Field Surveillance Deployment $150K

[#27] Initial field surveillance assets deployment (drones, fixed covert cameras, encrypted comms, safehouse setup).

Equipment $104K

[#3, #4, #5, #7, #22] High-security safes and archival boxes, one-time access-control / biometric/CCTV install, air-gapped scanning workstation & secure storage hardware, initial PPE kit, and initial IT security hardware.

Medical Initial Cache $75K

[#16] Initial emergency medical stockpile and trauma supplies purchase.

Incinerator Purchase $75K

[#17] Purchase of high-grade document incinerator (alternatively could be substituted by recurring contract).

Secure Transport Per Movement $32K

[#13] Secure transport and diplomatic/cover logistics per recovered-volume movement.

Per Deployment Operating Costs $28K

[#28] Typical per-deployment operating costs (travel, lodging, vehicles, overtime) for small retrieval missions.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K

[#6] Specialized conservator initial services/treatments (paper stabilization, deacidification, binding repairs) as an initial setup cost.

Secure Freezer $18K

[#18] Controlled sample storage secure freezer / locked BSL-style storage acquisition.

Policy Rollout $5K

[#19] Restrictive policy implementation initial rollout (signage, initial audits, training materials).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr

Rapid Response Readiness $450K/yr

[#10] Annual readiness and training budget for dedicated on-call rapid-response containment team (training, exercises, readiness reserves).

Staff Wages $330K/yr

[#8, #9] Site security staffing (~6 guards, 3-shift coverage) and monthly documentation archivist/bibliographer pro rata FTE.

Intel Surveillance $240K/yr

[#11] Ongoing monthly surveillance and intelligence budget to maintain tracking of POI and potential volume locations.

Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr

[#15] Annual legal/cover-up reserve for false records, compensations, small-level bribes, and controlled public narrative management.

Research And Monitoring $82K/yr

[#23, #24, #25] Linguistic/cultural/Neo-Sarkic consulting pool, periodic forensic imaging/page-growth monitoring, and forensic chemical/food-residue testing capacity.

Psych Support $38K/yr

[#20] Psychological screening, counseling, and memetic awareness programs for involved personnel.

Public Safety Liaison $35K/yr

[#26] Emergency public-safety planning and liaison annual costs for discreet arrangements with local authorities.

Logistics And Transport $30K/yr

[#17, #27] Recurring secure-destruction contract costs and long-term maintenance for field surveillance assets.

Background Checks $22K/yr

[#21] Continuous vetting, reinvestigation and polygraph budgets for high-clearance staff.

Medical Annual $15K/yr

[#16] Annual refresh/training and replenishment for emergency medical stockpile.

Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr

[#1] Ongoing HVAC/dehumidifier/pest-control and environmental monitoring maintenance for archival vault.

Access Control Monitoring $12K/yr

[#4] Annual monitoring, log retention and tamper-alert operations for biometric access/CCTV systems.

Supplies And Consumables $11K/yr

[#7, #30] PPE replacement and miscellaneous consumables / amortized replacement budget.

It Operations $10K/yr

[#22] IT security operations: logging, redaction, air-gap maintenance, key management.

Replacement Amortized $10K/yr

[#30] Amortized budget for lost/damaged items and miscellaneous consumables (binding materials, replacement safes, uniforms).

Scanning Backup Media $8K/yr

[#5] Secure backup media rotation, write-protected media handling, and maintenance for air-gapped scanning workstation.

Redaction Costs $8K/yr

[#29] Annual costs for records redaction, controlled publishing, and memetic quarantine of documentation.

Secure Freezer Maintenance $5K/yr

[#18] Annual maintenance and inventory control for secure sample storage.

Conservator Maintenance $5K/yr

[#6] Ongoing conservator treatments and annual stabilization maintenance.

Training And Policy $2K/yr

[#19] Annual refresher training and audit costs for restrictive no-food/no-liquids policy.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr

75.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with no major incidents; regular staffing, monitoring, maintenance, and routine intelligence activities only.

no_recovery_operation no_breach routine_surveillance

🚨 Covert Recovery Operation $2.4M/yr

20.0% probability / year +$910K vs baseline

A planned clandestine operation to recover the suspected third volume / capture POI (overseas deployment).

confirmed_POI_location decision_to_recover_volume short-term deployment

🚨 Major Breach $5.0M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline

Containment breach or large-scale ritual use requiring extensive mitigation, multi-jurisdictional response, and activation of large-scale emergency funds.

successful_ritual_at_scale public_exposure multi-jurisdictional_incident

👥 Personnel 6.2 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	Six guards (minimum 2 per shift, 3-shift coverage) as specified in note #9; accounted in staff wages.
Research Scientist / Archivist	0.2	0.1–0.2 FTE bibliographer/archivist for monthly documentation and supervised access (note #8); pro-rated salary included in staff wages.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide specific line-item ranges for most costs, allowing mid-point estimates, but uncertainties remain around frequency of covert recoveries, per-incident legal costs, and the size/frequency of large-scale breach events; ranges and one-off reserves create moderate uncertainty.

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